Now, said Patz, the causal chains are much easier to trace, thanks to
weather attribution research of the kind Cullen's team conducts.
A new analysis published in the journal Environmental
Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event
attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme
weather events.
Through the rapidly growing field of
research known as «event
attribution ``, scientists have a way to gauge whether climate change has altered the chances of particular types of extreme
weather occurring.
The
research leading to these results has received funding under the EUCLEIA (EUropean Climate and weather Events: Interpretation and Attribution) project under the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme [FP7 / 2007 -2013] under grant agreement no 607085 (PAS, NC, J - V, HvS, GvO, RV, PW, PY) PAS was partially supported by the UK - China Research & Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership (CCSP) China as part of the Newt
research leading to these results has received funding under the EUCLEIA (EUropean Climate and
weather Events: Interpretation and
Attribution) project under the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme [FP7 / 2007 -2013] under grant agreement no 607085 (PAS, NC, J - V, HvS, GvO, RV, PW, PY) PAS was partially supported by the UK - China
Research & Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership (CCSP) China as part of the Newt
Research & Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership (CCSP) China as part of the Newton fund.
Her main
research interest is the quantification of uncertainty and validation of climate models, in particular with respect to extreme events, in order to undertake
attribution studies of extreme
weather events to external climate drivers.