Originally the party was going to be outside so my husband spent all day getting the yard ready, but last minute
weather changes forced us to do the party inside which was fine.
Not exact matches
There are few signs at the local or federal level that policymakers are taking the risks of climate
change and extreme
weather seriously, and some
forces are even exacerbating the risk.
Turns out climate
change is a
force in developing the Tasmanian industry as warmer
weather leads mainland producers to invest in the island's cooler climate.
It's not wet and soggy yet, but that's what happens to newspaper when the
weather comes, and they'll be
forced to cram it into various holes when the forecast
changes.
After wet
weather forced a late venue
change, our team stormed to victory, with a very strong performance.
(Caveat: The
weather might
force the governor to
change his plans, or turn his Nassau County appearance into an impromptu emergency storm update).
He didn't utter the words «climate
change» but Gov. Andrew Cuomo said at a news conference earlier today that
weather is getting more extreme and dangerous,
forcing New York to rethink how it builds its infrastructure and transportation.
Cuomo decided at the last minute to put in a quick appearance on the final morning of the conference,
forcing a number of people to
change their flights (and then to get caught in some very bad
weather, as I recall).
There are no viable methods of cleaning up oil from ice and, in addition to
weather conditions, much of the area where drilling would take place is incredibly remote, said Rear Adm. Jonathan White, the former chief oceanographer of the Navy and head of its climate
change task
force.
OSLO, Jan 8 (Reuters)- Governments need to plan better for rising migration driven by climate
change, experts said on Thursday, citing evidence that extreme
weather and natural disasters
force far more people from their homes than wars.
My main problem with that study is that the
weather models don't use any
forcings at all — no
changes in ozone, CO2, volcanos, aerosols, solar etc. — and so while some of the effects of the
forcings might be captured (since the
weather models assimilate satellite data etc.), there is no reason to think that they get all of the signal — particularly for near surface effects (tropospheric ozone for instance).
Changing wind
forces at different altitudes determines
weather systems, PNNL researchers found
The 11 years solar cycle acts an important driving
force for variations in the space
weather, ultimately giving rise to climatic
changes.
As we discussed recently in connection with climate «forecasting `, the kinds of simulations used in AR4 are all «projections» i.e. runs that attempt to estimate the
forced response of the climate to emission
changes, but that don't attempt to estimate the trajectory of the unforced «
weather».
When the
weather really starts to
change and summer is in full
force it's so nice to get out of the city and really just relax.
A determined, widespread effort to weaken or destroy the institution teachers are counting on to protect them economically will
force them into retirement or to hunker down and wait in brooding resentment for a
change in the political
weather.
As the seasons
change from spring to summer, or fall to winter, retailers are
forced to clear shelf space for new
weather - appropriate merchandise, offering a window of opportunity for savvy shoppers.
If
weather forces an itinerary
change we divert to the best, «safe, accessible sites» to ensure you get the best scuba diving available.
Dynamic
weather conditions will
force the team members to adapt to
changing visibility conditions.
It's a theory now substantiated by physics and observations regarding total radiative
forcing and sensitivity, and in our current case of warming attributable to increased
forcing agents form human / industrial means we are experiencing a
change in trends pertaining to
weather events driven by total
change factors.
For
weather predictions, accuracy disappears within a few weeks — but for ocean forecasts, accuracy seems to have decadal scale accuracy — and when you go to climate
forcing effects, the timescale moves toward centuries, with the big uncertainties being ice sheet dynamics,
changes in ocean circulation and the biosphere response.
Products needed by those vulnerable to rising seas and stormier
weather associated with climate
change include: (1) desalination capacities for drinking water (2) soil washing and / or new crops to deal with salinization of soils from rising seas flooding them and then receding (3) shelters from wind and storm surges that would not require people to abandon their possessions and animals to the
forces of nature they are trying to escape
When the disbelievers attending and participating in these events are finally
forced to function under the «real» dire
weather related conditions where climate
change is happening now and most prevalent, perhaps then we can hope for them to move toward «action» and farther away from their empty «talk».
He is properly trying to CLARIFY these differences and pointing out that Climate
Change is NOT a
Forcing that has any physical impacts on either «
weather» overall and «extreme events» in particular.
Once the ice reaches the equator, the equilibrium climate is significantly colder than what would initiate melting at the equator, but if CO2 from geologic emissions build up (they would, but very slowly — geochemical processes provide a negative feedback by
changing atmospheric CO2 in response to climate
changes, but this is generally very slow, and thus can not prevent faster
changes from faster external
forcings) enough, it can initiate melting — what happens then is a runaway in the opposite direction (until the ice is completely gone — the extreme warmth and CO2 amount at that point, combined with left - over glacial debris available for chemical
weathering, will draw CO2 out of the atmosphere, possibly allowing some ice to return).
Rather, climate
change is a consequence of
changed physical conditions...» and further down states this: ``... climate is the same as
weather statistics -LSB-...] This statistics, however, -LSB-...](is not) a
force that influences the outcomes.»
Listening to Navarro Llanos describe Bolivia's perspective, I began to understand how climate
change — if treated as a true planetary emergency akin to those rising flood waters — could become a galvanizing
force for humanity, leaving us all not just safer from extreme
weather, but with societies that are safer and fairer in all kinds of other ways as well.
«IPCC AR5 draft leaked, contains game -
changing admission of enhanced solar
forcing — as well as a lack of warming to match model projections, and reversal on «extreme
weather»,» Watts Up With That, December 13, 2012.
This should be the main priority, including at multi-decadal AMO scales, and with the regular occurrence solar minima, as these govern dominant regional climatic and
weather pattern
changes, regardless of relatively small increases in non-condensing GHG
forcings.
Paul Driessen — September 23, 2013 «The real climate
change «deniers» are the alarmists who deny that natural
forces still dominate
weather and climate events, and refuse to acknowledge that thousands of scientists do not agree with IPCC proclamations and prescriptions.»
To quantify the impact of
changes in short - lived climate pollutants and regional climate
forcings, in addition to the impact of warming induced by greenhouse gases, on
weather extremes in Africa.
A rerun of the instrument to generate synthetic
weather under future conditions may give insight to the consequence of
changes in large scale
forcings on the relevant statistics.
However, for regional downscaling (and global) models to add value (beyond what is available to the impacts community via the historical, recent paleorecord and a worst case sequence of days), they must be able to skillfully predict
changes in regional
weather statistics in response to human climate
forcings.
It is not the pure prediction of the (regional) trends that is aimed for (type 4), but the occurrence of certain (relevant)
weather types conditioned on an assumed
change in the large scale
forcing.
Do scientists know enough to separate human factors from the numerous, powerful, interrelated solar, cosmic, oceanic, terrestrial and other
forces that have repeatedly caused minor to major climate
changes, climate cycles and
weather events throughout human and geologic history?
Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the observed warming over the last few decades may be manifest as a
change in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2 and 7) and there is now considerable interest in testing the ability of climate models to simulate such
weather regimes (Chapter 8) and to see whether the greenhouse gas
forced runs suggest shifts in the residence time or transitions between such regimes on long time - scales.
IPCC AR5 draft leaked, contains game -
changing admission of enhanced solar
forcing — as well as a lack of warming to match model projections, and reversal on «extreme
weather»
We should spend less time worrying about El Niño or La Niña
weather patterns and more time dealing with the fact that climate
change will be the biggest
force in the state's water future, writes scientist Juliet Christian - Smith.
I always believed that the oceans were an important element in localised
weather conditions over the short term but feel that relatively sudden shifts in climate occur through external
forcings such as volcanic eruptions, meteor strike and the effects of
changes in cosmic rays and sun spot activity, which are, unfortunately, all chaotic by nature and unpredictable.
Ahh, but short term
weather events are also caused by short term external
forcing changes (earth rotation & orbit).
In
weather / climatology neither the
force of Hurricane Katrina nor the climate
changes over the past 4 billion years give much information as to what has happened over the past 1,000 years.
Human migration and socio - political ramifications are also to be considered further strained as droughts and other
weather events
change with the shifting climate due to the
forcings human industrial output has imposed on the climate system.
Researchers now believe that the underlying cause of the mysterious retreat by the Mongol invading
forces of Hungary, during 1462 AD, was the bad
weather - likely induced by the natural climate
change associated with the LIA onset.
9.3.1 Global Mean Response 9.3.1.1 1 % / yr CO2 increase (CMIP2) experiments 9.3.1.2 Projections of future climate from
forcing scenario experiments (IS92a) 9.3.1.3 Marker scenario experiments (SRES) 9.3.2 Patterns of Future Climate
Change 9.3.2.1 Summary 9.3.3 Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios 9.3.3.1 Implications for temperature of stabilisation of greenhouse gases 9.3.4 Factors that Contribute to the Response 9.3.4.1 Climate sensitivity 9.3.4.2 The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake 9.3.4.3 Thermohaline circulation
changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales of response 9.3.5 Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conc
changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales of response 9.3.5
Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conc
Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6
Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conc
Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on
changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conc
changes in extremes of
weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conclusions
On the shorter term, fluctuations occur because a state would not be in equilibrium if it were constant, but the
change in external
forcing means that with the same climate, the shorter term imbalances would be
changed, so the
weather patterns even in the shorter term would evolve differently.
House Republicans are pushing a bill to
force NOAA to «protect lives and property by shifting funds from climate
change research to severe
weather forecasting research».
(trouble is 35 is for carbon dioxide concentration, and 65 is for
forcing, so if that's the calculation it was indeed a typo in a spreadsheet) Actually CO2 as a percentage of all radiative
forcing would be: 43/65 * 100 = 66 % You messed up the link (I think) so that it actually leads back to this page rather than the FAQ section http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/02/whats-wrong-with-warm-
weather.html Never mind, as you know, I don't think the costs imposed by that
change are large, not as long as sea level rise is only 50 cm over a hundred years (and the midpoint for the scenarios I consider most policy relevant, ie those excluding lots of coal burning after 2050, is somewhat lower still) and the
change in «
weather extremes» largely amounts to nothing more than what would be expected from moving south a few hundred kilometres.
«What we have seen with Hurricane Sandy - it's doing nothing on climate
change that
forces the government to intervene - it's only government that can deal with extreme
weather.»
As we discussed recently in connection with climate «forecasting `, the kinds of simulations used in AR4 are all «projections» i.e. runs that attempt to estimate the
forced response of the climate to emission
changes, but that don't attempt to estimate the trajectory of the unforced «
weather».
But the challenge is then shifted to how to calculate the delta
changes, and then use them to create a new scenario of surface
forcing that captures the spatio - temporal
weather variability that is desired from a daily
forcing data set.