Sentences with phrase «weather forecast models do»

It's not surprising because weather forecast models don't work either, and climate is the average of the weather.

Not exact matches

But Klotzbach and other experts say the models, and seasonal forecasts, still provide useful insight into something as unpredictable as extreme weather even if they do not always pan out.

The military satellites can probably survive well beyond 2012, although they do not provide all the data NOAA needs for its weather - forecasting models.

If we thought weather forecasting models were inaccurate solely because the weather doesn't «know» what it's going to do there'd be no point in investing in bigger and bigger supercomputers would there?

This is quite subtle though — weather forecast models obviously do better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.

Of course you may claim that the weather men do produce better forecasts, but that is because they have learnt where the models go wrong, and can adjust their forecast appropriately.

Thus the weather forecasting centers started to do «re-analyses» in the 1990s — which involved going back over the older data and running it with the most up - to - date forecasting model.

Since you mention weather, I ask you how well the UK MET people have done over the last 4 or 5 years using some of these models in their seasonal forecasts?

Their paper does not appear to do much more than test whether climate models can produce weather forecasts.

Several days ago, Andy Revkin did a nice post querying a number of weather forecasters and researchers about the relative merits of the different forecast models [link], particularly since everyone seemed to be paying attention to the European model (ECMWF) rather than NOAA's GFS model.

Similarly to weather forecasting, efforts can be made to setup a model to match initial conditions at a certain point in time but they are likely to break down pretty quickly because we lack the quantity and quality of data to be precise enough in the setup (and possibly because the chosen model does not accurately produce variability similar to that observed on Earth).

Nor do climate models generally produce weather forecasts.

Models used for weather forecasting are relatively easy to test, but those tests do not cover all features that are important in climate research.

So does the NCEP process of using an operational weather forecasting model to integrate the actual measurements into a meteorologically coherent set of data presented on a regular grid.

There are those who say that the models do an adequate job on circulation, but just watch the weather channel for how far ahead we can forecast a storm track.