RECAST The main objective of the study was to assess the impacts of climate change induced uncertainty and growth of
weather variability on the social and economic coping range of selected infrastructure and real estate, with the aim to generate insights, methods and procedures that enable better adaptation to climate change.
Onozuka, D., M. Hashizume, and A. Hagihara, 2010: Effects of
weather variability on infectious gastroenteritis.
«Effects of
weather variability on maple syrup production studied.»
Not exact matches
Many of the other 24 studies in the new issue found a strong likelihood of human influence
on extreme
weather events, but stopped short of saying they were completely out of the realm of natural
variability.
For the last six years, BAMS has published a December issue containing research
on extreme
weather events from the previous year that seeks to disentangle the role of anthropogenic climate change from natural
variability.
In recent years, many studies have sought to unsnarl the role of anthropogenic climate change from natural
variability on extreme
weather events (SN: 1/20/18, p. 6).
Christoph Schar of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich and his colleagues investigated the effects of greenhouse gases
on weather variability as well as general overall temperatures.
Cabrol advocates making an unprecedentedly robust, high - resolution study of environmental
variability on Mars by peppering its surface with
weather stations.
«Communicating the reality of climate change to the public is hampered by the large natural
variability of
weather and climate,» the Goddard scientists wrote in the draft, which was circulated by Hansen Friday evening and posted
on the ClimateProgress.org blog shortly after.
The reduced day - to - day
variability that we observed makes
weather more persistent, resulting in heat extremes
on monthly timescales.
On this latter scale teleconnections manifest as a response of middle - latitude weather to the dominant modes of variability of the tropics (the Madden - Julian Oscillation and the Boreal Summer Intra-seasonal Oscillations, which similar to El Niño and La Niña characterize variations of climate but on shorter time scales
On this latter scale teleconnections manifest as a response of middle - latitude
weather to the dominant modes of
variability of the tropics (the Madden - Julian Oscillation and the Boreal Summer Intra-seasonal Oscillations, which similar to El Niño and La Niña characterize variations of climate but
on shorter time scales
on shorter time scales).
Therefore, the strongest motivation for the current scientific review is the need for a synoptic organization of the available knowledge
on the field of interactions at different planetary systems, in parallel with a comparative analysis encompassing the inter-connection among planetary space
weather aspects belonging to different disciplines (e.g. plasma
variability and its effects
on atmospheric heating).
Although Frank J. Schwartz, a shark biologist with the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, says there's too much natural
variability in
weather cycles to blame the recent shark attacks
on global warming, George H. Burgess, the director of the International Shark Attack File at the Florida Museum of Natural History.
Jiacan has worked
on several projects
on climate dynamics, including the response of large - scale circulations in the warming climate, its effects
on regional
weather patterns and extreme events, tropical influence
on mid-latitude
weather, and dynamical mechanisms of sub-seasonal
variability of mid-latitude jet streams.
Every component of agriculture — from prices to plant pollinators and crop pests — exhibits complex relationships to climate, depending
on the location,
weather variability, and agricultural and economic practices and policies.
It is important to note that any potential effects will be spatially and temporally variable, depending
on current forest conditions, local site characteristics, environmental influences, and annual and decadal patterns of climate
variability, such as the El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycle, which can drive regional
weather and climate conditions.
His research interests include studying the interactions between El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the monsoons of Asia; identifying possible effects
on global climate of changing human factors, such as carbon dioxide, as well as natural factors, such as solar
variability; and quantifying possible future changes of
weather and climate extremes in a warmer climate.
We focus
on weather extremes, their impacts,
variability, predictability and change.
The reliance
on a single track for its profits also subjected the Company to
variability in results due to potential adverse
weather conditions
on its two Sprint Cup weekends per year.
On the very small scale, one could have a runaway between whether or not a
weather pattern has a thunderstorm at a specific time and place or whether it is dry and sunny at that specific time and place — but that's not the same as a change in climate (see internal
variability, chaos, butterfly effect).
I doubt they did at all —
variability on annual timescales is probably basically «
weather.»
If future global emissions are not curbed, human - driven global warming could cause further large declines in long - term temperature
variability, the lead author tells Carbon Brief, which may have far - reaching effects
on the world's seasons and
weather.
We focus
on weather extremes, their impacts,
variability, predictability and change.
Weather forecasts
on timescales of days to season can be used to reduce vulnerability to
weather variability as well as capitalize
on opportunities.
The intent of the working group is to spearhead a dedicated effort across the national and international climate communities to advance progress
on identifying anthropogenic influences
on weather and climate amidst the «noise» of internal
variability.
Before joining NIDIS, Molly was an extension climate specialist with Illinois - Indiana Sea Grant (IISG) and the Midwestern Regional Climate Center (MRCC), where she provided science - based information and educational opportunities to stakeholders across the Midwest
on the topics of extreme
weather, climate
variability, and climate change.
Requires the Climate Service Program to: (1) analyze the effects of
weather and climate
on communities; (2) carry out observations, data collection, and monitoring of atmospheric and oceanic conditions; (3) provide information and technical support to governmental efforts to assess and respond to climate
variability and change; (4) develop systems for the management and dissemination of data; (5) conduct research to improve forecasting and understanding of
weather and climate
variability and change and its effects
on communities; and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of climate information by local and regional stakeholders.
His research focusses
on understanding and predicting climate
variability and change in the polar regions, including the response of Arctic extreme
weather to climate change.
According to the U.S. National Assessment
on the Potential Consequences of Climate
Variability and Change, determining the role of
weather in the incidence of waterborne disease outbreaks is a priority...
According to any textbook
on dynamic meteorology, one may reasonably conclude that in a warmer world, extratropical storminess and
weather variability will actually decrease.
(v) conduct research to improve forecasting, characterization, and understanding of
weather and climate
variability and change and its effects
on communities, including its effects
on agricultural production, natural resources, energy supply and demand, recreation, and other sectors of the economy; and
If we could get a much better handle
on the causes, effects, and timing of the natural
variability, thus removing more of the unknowns from the
weather / climate equation, it would be much easier to see the actual amounts of CO2 forcing.
«The authors write that «the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring fluctuation,» whereby «
on a timescale of two to seven years, the eastern equatorial Pacific climate varies between anomalously cold (La Niña) and warm (El Niño) conditions,» and that «these swings in temperature are accompanied by changes in the structure of the subsurface ocean,
variability in the strength of the equatorial easterly trade winds, shifts in the position of atmospheric convection, and global teleconnection patterns associated with these changes that lead to variations in rainfall and
weather patterns in many parts of the world,» which end up affecting «ecosystems, agriculture, freshwater supplies, hurricanes and other severe
weather events worldwide.»»
The problem with this obsessive focusing
on one single data point out of 365, is that there is a lot of short term,
weather driven
variability that can affect the exact timing and size of the minimum in ice coverage.
«The CCR - II report correctly explains that most of the reports
on global warming and its impacts
on sea - level rise, ice melts, glacial retreats, impact
on crop production, extreme
weather events, rainfall changes, etc. have not properly considered factors such as physical impacts of human activities, natural
variability in climate, lopsided models used in the prediction of production estimates, etc..
Legates, D.R. and W. Soon, 2011: Chapter 4: Sea level changes in Bangladesh: observational constraints
on human, geologic and
weather - climate
variability related factors, in Climate Change Issues and Perspectives for Bangladesh, Rafique Ahmed, and S. Dara Shamsuddin (Eds).
The fact that there has
on any basis been little further warming over the course of the last 10 to 15 years over and above that which had already occured by the mid / late 19902 suggests that recent extreme
weather events are not the consequence of additional warming (there having been all but none these past 15 years) and therefore must be due to natural
variability of
weather events in an ever changing and chaotic world in which we live.
Now you have talked about 4 years
weather data having a meaning (0.25 degree climb in GAT) whereas we all know that natural
variability on a seasonal basis at least in Australia can be around 10 degrees C and
on a daily basis something around the same as well.
«Climate
variability refers to variations in the mean state and other statistics (such as standard deviations, the occurrence of extremes, etc.) of the climate
on all temporal and spatial scales beyond that of individual
weather events.
In particular, my foci include modeling trends in the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice
variability on midlatitude extreme
weather events.
Based
on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased
weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
Savings may vary above or below the average rate based
on geography and
weather variability particular to your jurisdiction.
I agree gbaikie that models are not appropriate for prediction but could assist in sorting out natural
variability as distinct from anthropic influences
on weather and climate.
A physicist is no more likely than a sociologist to know what human emissions will be 50 years from now — if a slight warming would be beneficial or harmful to humans or the natural world; if forcings and feedbacks will partly or completely offset the theoretical warming; if natural
variability will exceed any discernible human effect; if secondary effects
on weather will lead to more extreme or more mild
weather events; if efforts to reduce emissions will be successful; who should reduce emissions, by what amounts, or when; and whether the costs of attempting to reduce emissions will exceed the benefits by an amount so large as to render the effort counterproductive.
This Section places particular emphasis
on current knowledge of past changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow cover, extent of land and sea ice, sea level, patterns in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, extreme
weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate
variability.
The most natural type of long term
variability is in my view based
on slowly varying changes in ocean circulation, which doesn't necessarily involve major transfer of heat from one place to another but influences cloudiness and other large scale
weather patterns and through that the net energy flux of the Earth system.
Until the rest of natural climate
variability is understood and incorporated into the process of understanding how the
weather works, and the climate is affected by the rest of the solar system, and its interactions with the rest of the galaxy, the background senseless chatter will fall
on deaf ears.
Similarly to
weather forecasting, efforts can be made to setup a model to match initial conditions at a certain point in time but they are likely to break down pretty quickly because we lack the quantity and quality of data to be precise enough in the setup (and possibly because the chosen model does not accurately produce
variability similar to that observed
on Earth).
How can any climate scientist in all honesty measure the natural
variability of
weather and expect to accurately pinpoint where the pendulum will be at a precise time
on a longer millenia time scale.
Or the millions of acres of farmland and fruit trees or any number of ways that monetary damages today are exponentially larger than in the 19th century from exactly the same natural
variability weather events that have been going
on for thousands of years.