As a starting point, look at the relationship between season wins and the first
week point spreads.
The quarterback has a significant impact on week - to -
week point spreads and is widely considered the most important position in the game.
Not exact matches
I've
pointed out several instances of you
spreading misinformation in the last
week alone.
UBS analysts pinpointed a key abnormality in last
week's correction: «a U.S. equity decline of 7.4 %, as seen over the last five working days, has historically been associated with a high yield
spread widening of 75 — 80 basis
points... The actual move has only been 21 basis
points.»
One of my favorite preparations I tasted in the
week prior was a super simple crostini
spread with a little bit of fromage blanc and topped with a spoonful of cherries cooked in red wine — simple, but so delicious and a perfect jumping off
point to today's creamy polenta.
Coinciding with the official release of the 2014 NFL schedule, the LVH Superbook has opened
point spread and totals (over / unders) for all
Week 1 games.
Following their
Week 4 bye, the Eagles opened as 2.5 -
point favorites at Bookmaker and have received 82 % of
spread tickets and 89 % of total dollars wagered.
Oakland has this
week's biggest
spread as a 12.5 -
point underdog against the Broncos.
The Falcons have dominated the Lions against the
spread for many years and they lay just four
points on the
Week 16 odds menu.
The San Francisco 49ers started out at 5 -
point favorites to win the 2013 Super Bowl, but over the past few
weeks that
spread has diminished.
This
week they opened as a 4 -
point home underdog and have received just 33 % of
spread bets.
Based on this information, we placed Brady's value to the
spread at 6 -
points and re-assessed the early lines from CG Technology to determine how Brady's suspension will likely impact the Patriots» lines for the first four
weeks of the season.
Sports Marketwatch — Early Moves SUPER BOWL XL Edition NFL Playoffs — Super Bowl XL 2/3/2006 11:15 AM EST by Daniel Fabrizio SportsInsights.com Welcome to this
week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL
point spread market.
However, with Cam Newton's Panthers taking a step back last
week in a 27 -
point loss at home to the Titans, the betting public is siding with the Lions to bounce back and cover the
spread at home, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a big half
point away from road dog Carolina.
Last
week, they beat Hawaii 56 - 23 — covering the 24
point spread in the process.
Despite the Patriots nearly imploding last
week at home against the winless Colts, nearly nine out of ten
spread bets are sticking with New England to cover in DC, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a pivotal 1.5
points away from the home dog «Skins.
For what it's worth, the Patriots
Week 1
spread moved 6 -
points (Pick»em to +6) following the announcement of Brady's suspension which seems to validate our research.
Each
week during the NFL season, lottery players will try to beat the
point spread on some or all of that
week's games.
Because the line for that
week's matchup was already posted, the move from Texans -13 to -7 revealed that the difference between Watson and Tom Savage is approximately six
points to the
spread.
The public had no problem laying 7
points with New England in
Week 3, as 67 % of
spread wagers took the Patriots.
The Titans opened as a 6.5 -
point home favorite and are garnering 72 % of
spread bets, yet the line has dropped to -5, indicating there are big bets backing the Steelers in this
week's early action.
Despite unranked Mississippi State owning the 17th best scoring defense in the country, nine out of ten
spread bets are confident in # 6 Arkansas winning by at least 14
points in Little Rock in front of their home crowd, especially after coming off a 49 - 7 blowout of Tennessee last
week.
This came just days after CG Technology released
point spreads for every game between
Weeks 1 and 16, which Bet Labs Sports, our sister website that analyzes historical data to create winning betting systems, leveraged to develop their own win total valuations.
Welcome to this
week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL
point spread market.
Michigan took care of business on the big stage in
week 1, beating Florida 33 - 17 to easily cover the four
point spread.
5Dimes released
Week 1 lines very early on, and then CG Technologies posted point - spreads for every week 1 g
Week 1 lines very early on, and then CG Technologies posted
point -
spreads for every
week 1 g
week 1 game.
Sports Marketwatch — Early Moves PLAYOFF Edition NFL Playoffs — AFC / NFC Championship Weekend 1/20/2006 10:01 AM EST by Daniel Fabrizio SportsInsights.com Welcome to this
week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL
point spread market.
In one of many cases of reverse line movement this
week, the Rams have gained a
point and a half on the
spread as they get set to take on the Cowboys.
At the time of publication, 79 % of
spread bets are on USC -LRB--16.5 at Pinnacle) this
week, indicating that bettors remain unfazed about laying
points with the Trojans.
We have previously posted
Week 1 lines from the offshore sportsbook 5Dimes, however, this is the first Las Vegas book to post their
point -
spreads and their limits are significantly higher than the $ 50 max bet at 5Dimes.
Welcome to the Pinnacle Pulse «Inside the Lines» where the line managers at PinnacleSports.com look to give you an insider's view of the
point spread movement on key games each
week and provide you with a little gambling theory to help you find a smarter way to bet courtesy of Pinnacle Sports.
Only one of this
week's five conference games features a
spread under 10
points, though «Michigan -12» seems a bit on the aggressive side, considering Michigan's current state.
The «Latest Line» column in the New York Daily News last
week listed the
point spread for Saturday's Raiders - Rams game as follows:
Last
week I explained that home - field advantage has been overvalued by college football bettors, and that visitors have historically provided value on the
point spread.
Any bettor could estimate the
Week 17
spread by examining the previous game between the two teams and adjusting for home field advantage which is typically valued at 2.5 -
points.
-- Yesterday CG Technologies posted NFL
point spreads for every single NFL game between
Week 1 and 16.
With the Patriots streaking and facing a flailing Dolphins team in
Week 12, oddsmakers opened the Pats as 17 -
point home favorites, the largest
spread of the season.
Despite the largest
spread of the
week, more than nine out of ten
spread wagers are sticking with the 13 - 0 Packers to cover in a big way, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from home dog KC.
With this in mind, we looked ahead to NFL
Week 5
point spreads and found two games with line movement that has piqued our interest.
Most
weeks there will be at least two or three games with the dreaded
spread of +2.5 leaving bettors asking themselves, «Should I bet the +2.5, buy the half -
point to +3, or just take the moneyline?»
In the teams
week nine showdown, the 6 - 1 Patriots opened as 9 -
point favorites, however the public did not follow their typical behavior of betting the favorite as 53 % of
spread wagers took New York and the
points.
After opening as 25 -
point home favorites, Michigan has received just 48 % of early
spread tickets in this
week's game against Indiana.
In one of the most lopsided bet games of the
week, more than eight out of ten
spread wagers are going with # 8 Houston to keep their undefeated record intact and win by at least four
points on the road against the 8 - 3 Golden Hurricane.
In addition, our public betting trends illustrate that Colorado has received the majority of
spread money throughout the
week, which is likely responsible for this 3 -
point line movement as oddsmakers pivoted based on this action.
And even though the 2 - 7 Golden Gophers played hard last
week on the road against then # 17 Michigan State (lost 31 - 24), the betting public is pounding Wisconsin, with more than eight out of ten
spread bets confident in Russel Wilson engineering a 28
point win or more on the road.
Despite one of the largest
spreads of the
week, the betting public remains overwhelmingly confident in Houston covering against the 2 - 8 Green Wave, mostly due to the fact that the Houston offense looks unstoppable and Tulane ranks near the bottom in
points allowed and overall defense.
Despite looking like world beaters last
week in their 35 - 3 blowout of Akron, Miami isn't receiving much love from
spread bettors even though they are getting nearly 13
points on the road.
In one of the largest
point spreads of the
week, nearly six out of ten
spread wagers are taking the
points are going with # 24 Auburn to keep it relatively close at home against the # 2 Crimson Tide.
Even with the «Skins coming off a big road victory at Seattle last
week, more than eight out of ten
spread bets are going with Mark Sanchez and the Jets to escape FedEx Field with at least a four
point victory.
Welcome to this
week's edition of the Sports MarketWatch, where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com, gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL
point -
spread market.