Sentences with phrase «well models predict»

This slideshow shows how well models predict past temperature trends, and the extent to which human activity was the primary cause of warming over the last century.

The remaining groups of data — two sets of 69 ratings and their corresponding chemical information — were used to test how well the models predicted both how an average person would rate an odor and how each of the 49 individuals would rate them.

The team also incorporated a radar simulator to evaluate how well the model predicted the number and size of ice crystals.

For example, in New Jersey our best models predicted the percentage of students scoring proficient or above on the former Grade 6 NJASK tests in 70 % of the districts for the language arts portion of the test and in 67 % of the districts for the math portion in our sample of 389 school districts.

The commonly used method for determining how well a model predicts results is through correlations and illustrated through scatterplot graphs.

Our best models predict that the globe will heat up by anywhere between 1.8 to 6.4 degrees Celsius over the next century.

What you really want to know is how well the model predicts when you don't know any part of the future, not just HadCRUT3 but also the Keeling curve.

Not exact matches

And that should have given it the world - topping medal haul — just as the Canadian Olympic Committee predicted — had two other countries not punctured holes in the best - known and, till now, highly reliable medal - forecasting model.

Are reasoning and imagination — the twin faculties that most of us associate with innovation — enough for Ray Kurzweil to know which of the formulas that he's dreamed up based on past technological trends will lead to the best mathematical models for predicting future trends?

While nobody has a crystal ball that can predict the future, a good financial model will help you understand the key elements that make your business tick and help you avoid the kinds of problems that can doom your business before it even starts.

LONDON — One of the Bank of England's most senior policymakers has acknowledged that the central bank is unlikely to predict the next financial crisis or even the next recession in the UK because economic models are simply not good enough.

Testing that has been completed on components of the system, dubbed KRUSTY, has been «greatly successful — the models have predicted very well what has happened, and operations have gone smoothly,» said Dave Poston, chief reactor designer at the Los Alamos National Laboratory.

We use this data and combine it with other information we have about you to help us predict your preferences, to direct marketing offers that might be more relevant to you, and to help us better analyze customer information for business modeling purposes.

The strength of their [Kosinski and his Cambridge colleagues] modeling was illustrated by how well it could predict a subject's answers.

We first backtest the model to examine how well it predicted actual past returns.

The simple model under - predicts consumer spending in the 1990s, probably because of wealth effects spun off by the housing bubble, and over predicts in this recovery, but tracks consumer spending — 70 percent of the US economy — pretty well.

The salient points are (I) inflation is below target and expected to remain well sub-target for the next 5 10 20 and 30 years; (II) it has been well below target and Fed forecasts for a decade suggesting great skepticism about models that predict acceleration (iii) the 2 percent target is supposed to be an average so inflation should sometimes exceed it especially after a long shortfall (iv) if the 9th year of expansion with unemployment approaching 4 percent is not the time for above target inflation when will that moment ever come?

By combining our data collection with best - in - class research techniques and data modeling to predict future performance, we help you reach better marketing, sales, and product development decisions — with greater confidence.

Because well - educated white men have the easiest time raising money today, any model using demographics to predict success would favor them — the opposite of her intention.

I wasn't making a deduction but an inference to best explanation: that their model was an attempt to predict which stocks would have min vol in the coming time period.

After reading Ronald's paper I immediately wanted to test the hypothesis that the model is good at predicting the 1 - day ahead direction of returns.

In her free time, Vivienne has developed a predictive model of diabetes to better manage the glucose levels of her diabetic son and systems to predict manic episodes in bipolar suffers.

I'm less than half way through them now, but so far I am finding that they get goals and assists at roughly 127.5 % the rate the model predicts, which to me is pretty conclusive evidence that they are in fact significantly better at shooting than the average MLS player.

«If we want to predict the future correctly, we'd better use models that accurately describe these microbial processes.»

Medicines that are personally tailored to your DNA are becoming a reality, thanks to the work of U.S. and Chinese scientists who developed statistical models to predict which drug is best for a specific individual with a specific disease.

Working has greatly slowed down my progress as well: I'm currently working for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration as part of a team trying to predict snowfall rates from satellite and weather forecast model data.

Existing forecasting models are good at predicting roughly when an area might experience the right mix of conditions to create a flash flood, but they can't say precisely when or where a flood will strike.

The timing of the 1998 peak suggests that curbs on industrial production were responsible, at least in part, for the decline, but the magnitude of the drop has baffled scientists because the best models had predicted a smaller decline.

When applied to the road networks in actual cities, Transims did better than traditional models at predicting traffic jams and local pollution levels — one reason why Transims - inspired agent - based models are now a standard tool in transportation planning.

They next tested six randomly selected best - and worst - performing lipidoids in rats and found that the correlation between performance in rats and in zebrafish was 97 percent, suggesting that zebrafish are a good model for predicting drug - delivery success in mammals.

«This study is important, in part because we now have a new xenograft model that will for the first time allow us to apply new biomarkers to better predict disease progression and test new therapeutics.»

«The next step for us is to utilize these computer models to screen a virtual library of hundreds of thousands of new amines, and identify some new amine candidates predicted to have way better carbon absorption properties.

These models utilize machine - learning techniques — the same ones used by companies like Netflix or Amazon that «learn» a customer's preferences and make recommendations based upon that data — in order to predict which chemical structures are likely to have the best overall CO2 absorption properties.

An ensemble of the 13 best performing models was used, both for CLIM and H - CLIM to predict the spatially - distributed mean and maximum area burnt for the period 1950 - 2015 to explore to what extent hydrology adds.

The researchers provide a new mathematical model that can be used by population geneticists and ecologists to better predict how social groups will influence the way species maintain genetic diversity and evolve, and ultimately help in the conservation of species.

They then compared the oxygen isotope ratio in Yonderup dripwater with that predicted by a model (which simulated the dripwater δ18O based on measurements of rainwater δ18O), as well as that measured at a different cave in the region.

«Computational models like this one might one day be able to predict the clinical course of a disease or injury, as well as make it possible to do less expensive testing of experimental drugs and interventions to see whether they are worth pursuing with human trials,» he said.

Climate models have always offered a range of possible temperature rises, but it turns out the ones that best fit what's happened so far all predict even greater warming

This tough decision could become a little easier, say Prajna Banerjee at Stanford University School of Medicine in California and colleagues, who have developed a model that can better predict the likelihood that a second IVF treatment will succeed.

Barnard and his team predicted how SoCal's shores would evolve from 2010 through 2100 by modeling the factors that influence beaches — estimates for sea level rise as well as wave and storm behavior and predicted climate change patterns if the world eventually stabilizes its greenhouse gas emissions by mid-century, then starts reducing them.

This finding is important because government agencies and consulting companies use 2 - D shallow flow models to predict dam breaks and floods, as well as to estimate flood hazards.

Nadeau also studies the potential impacts of climate change on species around the globe, using modeling, field observation and experiments to predict where species are most vulnerable and determine how conservation groups can best mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on animal populations.

Scientists are checking advanced climate simulation models against existing data to find that they're running right on track to better predict drastic climate change

When these factors were used together, the model was markedly better at predicting likely success of subsequent treatments than age - based predictions (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073 / pnas.1002296107).

The group's models could also help interpret data from future clinical trials that evaluate the effectiveness of booster shots in schoolchildren, «as well as predict the potential impact of new vaccination strategies,» he said.

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

Sometimes it is very hard to tell if one model is really better than another or if it predicts climate for the right reasons.»

One of the most intriguing oddities to surface in 2012 was that the new particle appeared to decay into pairs of photon more often than our current best theory, the standard model, predicts the Higgs should.

Then they mapped out the millions of citations to those papers, and searched for a statistical model that best predicted scientists» future success based on their early publication history.

The new monitoring data does not show which of two competing models best predicts the future concentration of Fukushima radiation along the U.S. West Coast, Smith said.