Sentences with phrase «well observed period»

For the coverage uncertainty on the global average to be significantly larger would require the variability in the nineteenth century data gaps to be much larger than in the well observed period.

... Even in the satellite era — the best observed period in Earth's climate history — there are significant uncertainties in key observational datasets.

... Even in the satellite era — the best observed period in Earth's climate history — there are significant uncertainties in key observational datasets.

Not exact matches

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

The increased socioeconomic inequalities in breastfeeding observed in the intervention group supports the argument that population intervention strategies could inadvertently exacerbate, rather than mitigate, socioeconomic inequalities, particularly when the intervention aims to change individual behaviours rather than targeting «upstream» structural changes.25 Our results are also compatible with an observational study from Brazil reporting that breastfeeding rates increased first among the socioeconomically better - off, followed by increases among the poor, over a 20 - year period of active breastfeeding promotion campaigns in Brazil.26

On that generous assumption, the Coalition government achieved a reduction in net administration costs of 27 per cent in real terms between 2011 - 12 and 2014 - 15, which is much better than we observed over comparable periods in the three decades covered by our earlier analysis.

It would be nice if he could observe a period of silence now, or even better, a sincere retraction.

«The court observes first of all that the data to be retained make it possible, in particular, (1) to know the identity of the person with whom a subscriber or registered user has communicated and by what means, (2) to identify the time of the communication as well as the place from which that communication took place and (3) to know the frequency of the communications of the subscriber or registered user with certain persons during a given period.

They observed how affectionate and responsive mothers were to their children at each age period, as well as how much mothers provided age - appropriate learning materials.

While a GCM portrayal of temperature would not be accurate to a given day, these models give fairly good estimates for long - term average temperatures, such as 30 - year periods, which closely match observed data.

Though the total amount of phosphorus entering the lake seems to be the best predictor of bloom size, that variable alone doesn't fully explain the observed size increase during the study period examined by the team, 2002 to 2013.

Severe health effects have been observed in populations drinking arsenic - contaminated water over long periods, and research has established that drinking water contaminated with arsenic causes skin cancer and several internal cancers such as lung, bladder, and kidney cancer, as well as cardiovascular disease and other adverse outcomes.

Jindong Zhang, a post-doctoral research associate in CSIS, spent several months over a period of four years in Wolong dodging landslides, mudslides and rubble strewn roads to survey forest recovery at a finer scale than can be observed from satellites and getting a better handle on the nuances of tree species, height and soil conditions.

In fact, the calculation has been done very carefully by Hansen and co-workers, taking all factors into consideration, and when compared with observations of ocean heat storage over a period long enough for the observed changes to be reliably assessed, models and observations agree extremely well (see this article and this article.).

As discussed in the appendix, even in periods with overall good coverage in the observing system, large regions in Southern Hemisphere (SH) are not well sampled, and their contribution to global heat content variability is less certain.

hi Garry there is something I observed about my nipples during cold weather my nipples sink for a period of time and also when I do hiit it's sink also but comes back is this a good or bad sign

Two sets of London roommates, almost all of whom are university graduates working well below their skill sets, are observed over a week - long period that involves potentially life - changing choices.

«In the past, all a king had to do was look good in uniform,» observes King George V (Michael Gambon)-- the first British monarch to address his subjects via radio — early on in Tom Hooper's splendid period drama The King's Speech.

L.A. School Report observes, «The quality of those courses, in which most of the work is done online and over a shorter period of time, has been questioned by LA Unified watchers as well as those within the district, including the school board president.»

It is observed that traditional assessment methods are often not well aligned with current understandings of learning, and are of limited value for assessing deep understandings, life skills that develop only over extended periods of time, or more personalised and flexible forms of learning.

Defining «Good»: Teachers will be observed on at least 3 occasions over the period stated.

At the meeting, Juergen Boos said: «A new spirit of optimism can be observed in Italy's cultural scene right now: The Italian book market underwent a period of dynamic upheaval and drastic change in recent years — including the consolidation of publishing houses as well as new bookstore concepts and the new book fair Tempo di Libri in Milan.

In a prepared statement, Boos is quoted, saying, «A new spirit of optimism can be observed in Italy's cultural scene right now: the Italian book market underwent a period of dynamic upheaval and drastic change in recent years — including the consolidation of publishing houses as well as new bookstore concepts and the new book fair Tempo di Libri in Milan.

Higher settings work well for observing trends, and lower periods are good for timing.

As John Hussman observed a few weeks ago, stocks can benefit from inflation once it is widely anticipated and well - reflected in valuations, but otherwise, stocks are not a very good inflation hedge in periods when inflation is rising.

We can define periods of economic and market agreement and periods of discord by using timely variables, such as the New Orders series from the monthly Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Report, to forecast the probability, at any time, of agreement between the economy and the market.5 Typically macro-based measures suffer from a significant lag in reporting as well as frequent revisions, making them inferior to the immediacy of observing market data, month by month, day by day, even tick by tick.

The table that you see above is based on my experience with my own dogs, but it's always good to observe how your dog responds to extended periods of time in his crate and adjust accordingly.

[6] In San José, California, where more than 10,000 community cats were sterilized and returned over a four - year period as part of a shelter - based community cat program, it was observed that «impounded feral cats are surprisingly healthy and have good bodyweight.»

This may allow you to see more of their bodies, a better opportunity to view calves, and also observe them for longer periods of time.

Brown observes: «It would be ironic if this horrible period in our history was producing really good art, for a change.

... There is relatively good agreement between the observed anomaly and the combined curves for the period 1870 - 1910, but increasing divergence from 1910 onward.

The best estimate of the human induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.

The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.

Application of this method for determining southern California Santa Ana wind occurrence resulted in a good correlation between derived large - scale SAOs and observed offshore winds during periods of low humidity.

Item 8 could be confusing in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas... The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period....

That is to say, the models are run over the whole period, with our best guesses for what the forcings were, and the results compared to the observed record.

They only underestimated the observed trend by about 30 %, similar or better in magnitude than the CMIP5 models over the same period (although these tend to overestimate the trend, still mainly due to problems related to aerosols).

But again the «models» estimate includes an observed ice sheet mass loss term of 0.41 mm / year whereas ice sheet models give a mass gain of 0.1 mm / year for this period; considering this, observed rise is again 50 % faster than the best model estimate for this period.

Standard error involves both natural variability (including that not well understood because it operates on long time scales, and therefore has not been observed during the period of modern technology) as well as measurement error (or error / uncertainty in the proxies).

Daily maximum and minimum temperature data at 121 well - distributed stations for the period 1970 - 2003 have been used to study the observed changes in objectively defined values...

Human - induced forcing exhibited a slow rise during the early part of the last century but then accelerated after 1960.2 Thus, these graphs highlight observed changes in climate during the period of rapid increase in human - caused forcing and also reveal how well climate models simulate these observed changes.

The period between was a period where oscillation of Climate was observed as variation of (much higher) sea levels rather than recurring glaciation events, for well over 200 Million years until the last ~ 3 Million.

the proposed harmonic model (which herein uses cycles with 9.1, 10 — 10.5, 20 — 21, 60 — 62 year periods) is found to well reconstruct the observed climate oscillations from 1850 to 2011, and it is shown to be able to forecast the climate oscillations from 1950 to 2011 using the data covering the period 1850 — 1950, and vice versa.

In SPM we can read also «The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.»

2 / Models totally fail reproducing the [1880 — 1910] and [1940 — 1970/75] cooling periods, as well as they fail reproducing the pause observed since the late 90's.

Instead of plotting individual year datapoints for observed temperatures, plotted 3 - year (36 - month averages ending in December): this reflects an expectation that models can't predict accurately every annual period, but over longer 3 - year periods the model and observation trends should better match.

The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period (Figure SPM.3).»

IPCC has stated (AR4 WG1 Ch.9) that the «global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include anthropogenic forcings... Therefore modeling studies suggest that late 20th - century warming is much more likely to be anthropogenic than natural in origin...» whereas for the statistically indistinguishable early 20thC warming period «detection and attribution as well as modeling studies indicate more uncertainty regarding the causes of early 20th - century warming.»

A more definitive reconciliation of modeled and observed temperature changes awaits the extension and improvement of the observations and the algorithms used in processing them, better specification of the natural and human - induced climate forcings during this period, and improvement of the models used to simulate the atmospheric response to these forcings.break

In general, the observed trends fall within the simulated range of trends, with better consistency for the longer period.