In Stefan's words: «Once an overall long - term goal has been defined, it is a matter of science to determine
what emissions trajectories are compatible...» By separating the decision on «long - term» goal from the «matter of science» to turn the crank and determine trajectories misunderstands how real goals function in nearly every area of complex and expensive policy coordination.
I asked: How can your spreadsheet say what the temperature increase to 2100 [will be] when you have no idea
what the emissions trajectory will be?
How can your spreadsheet say waht the temperature increase to 2100 when you have no idea
what the emissions trajectory will be?
Not exact matches
It is well - recognized that many of the original
emissions scenarios in IPCC overstated the
trajectories that were actually realized (indeed, this was a minor point made in the NRC / NAS 2001 report that was picked up on, and misunderstood or misrepresented, by the Appeals Court), but so
what?
Over the years, IPCC has issued numerous scenarios describing the
trajectory of civilization and
what they may mean for CO2
emissions and the like.
And when you look at the
trajectories for
emissions, and for
what you would need to do to blunt warming, you realize that if we keep sort of dilly - dallying we will be in trouble.
After hearing the speeches, and knowing
what you do about the
trajectory of
emissions here and overseas,
what's your personal sense of the likelihood the world will see a price on greenhouse gas
emissions sufficient to shift choices in energy sources or technologies?
But here's
what could be., exploring different
trajectories for aviation efficiency and demand and their impacts on carbon
emissions.
Stated another way, ignoring climate change allowed Blue to ignore the need to compare his company's greenhouse - gas -
emissions trajectory with
what the science tells us must be done to retain a recognizable climate.
One of the most significant factors is likely to be
what the studies assume after the target year of the national climate plans, which determines the countries» post-2025 or post-2030
emissions trajectory.
What this figure shows are the global
emission trajectories (in Gigatonnes, Gt, of carbon) that are required to limit humanity's total cumulative
emissions (that is, the sum total of all carbon that we will ever emit) to a certain level.
Given current
emissions trajectories, there is a chance that the temperature increase by 2100 could be near 6oC.21 The last time Earth exhibited a global mean temperature that high,
what are now sagebrush grasslands in the southwestern Wyoming and Utah were covered by subtropical, closed canopy forests interspersed with open woodlands (Townsend et al., 2010), reminiscent of subtropical areas in Central America today.