And yet «The observed fingerprint of temperature changes in the Atlantic are precisely
what the models predicted would happen when the slowdown began in earnest.»
If the counter argument is that these changes are a response to Global Warming - it would be really good to see a graph showing
what the models predicted / hindcast on average for the global cloud cover.
In January, Sewall wrote me that «both the pattern and even the magnitude of the anomaly looks very similar to
what the models predicted in the 2005 study (see Fig. 3a [below]-RRB-.»
«As the global temperature standstill hits 18 years beyond
what the models predicted the climate activists are left with more than 50 excuses to explain why temperatures are not rising.
Obviously, his belief in AGW would be seriously challenged by such knowledge despite
what models predicted and irrespective of Al Gore's movie, An Inconvenient Truth.
You might almost think the slight appearance of warming matters, but let's put it in perspective — it's not remotely close to
what the models predicted.
His result of 0.3Wm - 2 was half
what the models predicted.
An international team studying gas clouds in a distant galaxy has found that the temperature of the gas matches almost exactly
what models predicted for the young cosmos.
That's almost exactly
what the models predicted.
The results from the Carolin paper, with real data from real stalagmites, are almost «exactly
what the model predicted in 2011,» he said.
These observations are in stark contrast to
what models predict should have happened.
Another way to improve the ability to predict avalanches is by creating a computer model, where you enter different snow conditions for different locations and see
what the model predicts.
For plenty of reasons it could happen much more quickly — recent observations suggest that the melting has not only exceeded
what models predict, but has also begun to accelerate.
So why should policy makers care
what these models predict as climate sensitivity?
But one can argue that the pattern of anomalous winter warmth seen last year, and so far this year, is in the direction of
what the models predict.
RE: «But one can argue that the pattern of anomalous winter warmth seen last year, and so far this year, is in the direction of
what the models predict.»
Greenland as an high altitude inlandsis seems to be very special compared to these regions, and probably has more inertia towards meting, as the center isolated from sea influence and accumulate ice form increasing precipitations.I don't really remenber
what models predict in Greenland, but it doesn't confuse me if the response is not temporally and geographically the same as other regions.
So why should policy makers care
what these models predict as climate sensitivity?
Further work with the data may lead us to more confident trends, and who knows, they might again disagree to some extent with
what models predict and send us back to the «drawing board.»
It's understandable that you should focus on the upside of potential sea - level rise as that is
what your models predict.
12 (Alan) Rainfall is not double, it is double
what the models predict.
This is typically
what the models predict / hindcast (GISS Model E): There is no temperature hump in the mid 20th century — so that, like the MWP, is a problem for the modelers.
It might be very revealing to know
what the models predict for 20th Century OHC.
While the sudden drought - to - flood transition may not be due to climate change, it's close to
what some models predict.
And if you look at the paleo data, you find that not only to the poles warm in excess of
what the models predict, in recent geologic ages you can see a North - then - South pattern, presumably due to 1.
So, you seem to be predicting either a much bigger «hot spot» than
what the models predict or some sort of cloud - albedo feedback that you have provided no real evidence for.
And
what model predicts a 4 ºC or 5 ºC rise by 2100?
What models predict is that for short time scales trends can be very varied because of natural variability and that variability is not very predictable (if at all).
And of course Giss have the unique advantage of adjusting their own empirical data to fit
what their model predicts.
Mann «It's happening about a century ahead of schedule relative to
what the models predict.»
Not exact matches
The key to the success for many of these companies — and
what companies of all sizes can learn from — has been to not only look at metrics retroactively to analyze
what happened, but also to develop
models to
predict optimal offerings for the future.
With this in mind, the Materials Genome Initiative is building databases of material properties like strength, density and other things, and also includes computer
models to
predict what processes will achieve the qualities a manufacturer is looking for.
Testing that has been completed on components of the system, dubbed KRUSTY, has been «greatly successful — the
models have
predicted very well
what has happened, and operations have gone smoothly,» said Dave Poston, chief reactor designer at the Los Alamos National Laboratory.
Of course, that's not
what the Fed's
models predict will happen and it's certainly not
what Congress or the White House wants to hear.
Conclusion The behavioralists have yet to come up with a coherent
model that actually
predicts the future rather than merely explains, with the benefit of hindsight,
what the market did in the past.
Alpha can also refer to the abnormal rate of return on a security or portfolio in excess of
what would be
predicted by an equilibrium
model like CAPM.
are at odds with
what the underlying numbers would
predict (hint: there ARE skill differences among these teams), and 2) that maybe these
models are not quite at the level of sophistication at which we can say with any certainty that, hey, forget the standings (they lie) and that whole 82 games over six months thing... it's all about the successor to Corsi.
What voters actually do matters more than what you think they MIGHT do: data derived directly from voters» choices quickly supersedes models that try to predict their behav
What voters actually do matters more than
what you think they MIGHT do: data derived directly from voters» choices quickly supersedes models that try to predict their behav
what you think they MIGHT do: data derived directly from voters» choices quickly supersedes
models that try to
predict their behavior.
But the critical thing is to know
what this algorithm is
predicting; how to justify it;
what is the
model of climate change built into the algorithm;
what risks of error are built into the algorithm that is
predicting climate change?
Before I move to
what my
model actually
predicts there are several important caveats about why the Eastleigh by - election might be particularly difficult to
predict.
They also analyzed data from a climate
model developed by the Max - Planck Institute for Meteorology in Germany to
predict what the correlation between the current and rainfall would be expected to be during the Little Ice Age.
An ensemble of the 13 best performing
models was used, both for CLIM and H - CLIM to
predict the spatially - distributed mean and maximum area burnt for the period 1950 - 2015 to explore to
what extent hydrology adds.
«It's really interesting to see the dynamic evolution that the
model predicts, and how it explains
what we observe on the surface,» says Simone Atzori, a geophysicist at the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology in Rome, who was not involved with the study.
The standard
model has been tested by experiments countless times, and it has never failed to
predict what physicists would see.
Now that Medvigy knows
what information is needed to
predict what the future holds for leaf coloration, he plans to again collaborate with his colleagues at GFDL to do more sophisticated
modeling based on the study results, he said.
The team gathered available data for October and November, 2012 to 2016 and plugged it into a particle dispersion
model — an algorithm that accounts for geography, wind patterns, and physics to
predict how far and in
what direction smoke particles travel.
Their finding that the lunar rocks are enriched in the heavier potassium isotope does not favor the silicate atmosphere
model, which
predicts lunar rocks will contain less of the heavier isotope than terrestrial rocks, the opposite of
what the scientists found.
Climate
models have always offered a range of possible temperature rises, but it turns out the ones that best fit
what's happened so far all
predict even greater warming
«Once these
models can
predict past changes, they can more accurately
predict what will happen with future climate changes.»
But climate
models predict reductions in dissolved oxygen in all oceans as average global air and sea temperatures rise, and this may be the main driver of
what is happening there, she says.