Sentences with phrase «when public bettors»

There's no «right» way to arrive at a price yet oddsmakers typically have their hands forced to an extent by the market Rather than going rouge, hanging a line at -2.5 for a football game when other books sit -3 says enough about taking a strong position instead of just using pick and then being shocked when every public bettor and professional buries PK.

Not exact matches

It's worth noting that although home - field advantage has been historically overvalued by college football bettors, the exact opposite is true when betting against the public.

They understand the factors driving public betting and shade their lines accordingly to force square bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.

Public bettors are prone to taking the underdog when two ranked teams play each other, and Saturday's game has been no different.

When they're being pounded by public bettors, those results diminish significantly.

Due to increased public attention, bowl games provide opportunities for contrarian bettors to find extra value when betting against the public.

Most public bettors still tend to back favorites, and when mixed with the unpredictability of the bowl season, unpopular underdogs tend to cover more often than not.

Clearly ranked favorites have offered value when they're being ignored by public bettors, which should come as no surprise to anybody who has been reading this column throughout the season.

For that reason, bettors need to identify heavily bet games with extreme levels of public betting when backing contrarian favorites.

Overs: 38 - 25 (just 4 - 8 since Round of 32 when betting tickets for O / U really increase) Majority of public bettors has been on the Over in 60 of 64 games

Home teams are particularly undervalued when they're being avoided by the majority of public bettors.

The other way bettors can easily identify sharp money is by looking for reverse line movement, which is when a line moves against our public betting percentages.

This gives bettors a good indication of where sharps are betting, and it also helps distinguish sharp vs. public action when these lines are available around the entire market during the season.

We believed that oddsmakers would shade their lines to account for that public betting, which would create value for opportunistic bettors — especially when the volume ticks up in the playoffs.

As I explained in the Game 4 preview, élite playoff teams have provided tremendous value when they're public bettors are backing their opponent.

When they're also being avoided by public bettors (receiving no more than 30 % of spread tickets) that record improves to 1,245 - 1,162 ATS (51.7 %).

This shows a slight edge for contrarian bettors, but that is magnified when we look at increasingly lopsided public betting.

As we often see when two top ranked teams face off, public bettors have been more than happy to take Michigan State and the points.

When the spread is less than three - points, bettors often gravitate towards the moneyline, and we have seen similar one - sided public betting on the Steelers to win straight up.

Since a majority of bettors are long - term losers, we have found a betting edge when betting against the public in the NFL.

This season no game has seen less than 22 % of public bets on the over, and the first profitable data point comes when there are less than 35 % of bettors taking the over (21 - 19, +1.97 units).

Our past research indicates that bettors have a slight advantage when betting against the public, but that edge is magnified when focusing on underdogs of more than 10 points.

The table below displays how visiting teams have performed when they are not being backed by public bettors.

Keep in mind that this poll (or any other) means little to nothing when setting a spread for a game, but it provides a great indicator of public perception and how bettors will respond to these teams in the market.

In the past, we have explained that public bettors tend to overvalue ranked teams — especially when they're facing an unranked opponent.

Over the past few years, we have constantly explained that bettors can take advantage of public perception by betting against ranked teams — but what happens when two ranked teams square off?

Public bettors so far are jumping on Michigan State, which is different from the norm when dealing with a Notre Dame game.

Since oddsmakers can easily predict this behavior, sportsbooks react by shading their lines and forcing public bettors to lay extra points when betting on favorites and overs.

Oddsmakers can accurately anticipate one - sided action from public bettors, and they react by shading lines to force «square» bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.

Since 2005, NBA road teams have gone 7,053 - 6,776 ATS (51.0 %) and that record improves tremendously when they're being ignored by public bettors.

These results indicate that betting against the public becomes a far more profitable strategy when bettors are ignoring the visiting team.

Oddsmakers can accurately anticipate one - sided action from public bettors and react by shading lines to force these bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.

Public perception artificially inflates lines and sharp bettors can capitalize on these market overreactions by zigging when the publicPublic perception artificially inflates lines and sharp bettors can capitalize on these market overreactions by zigging when the publicpublic zags.

Public bettors are high on their starting rotation and when it's completely healthy, it's one of the best in the league.