Not exact matches
«
When we modeled future shoreline change with the increased
rates of
sea level rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as usual» scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an average 16 - 20 feet of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an average of nearly 60 feet of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.
Our modelled values are consistent with current
rates of Antarctic ice loss and
sea -
level rise, and imply that accelerated mass loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic ice sheets may ensue
when an increase in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
«These new results indicate that relative
sea levels in New Zealand have been
rising at an average
rate of 1.6 mm / yr over the last 100 years — a figure that is not only within the error bounds of the original determination, but
when corrected for glacial - isostatic effects has a high
level of coherency with other regional and global
sea level rise determinations.
A smaller ice sheet extent might still respond with the observed high
rate of
sea level rise (5 m per century) if the warming is much more rapid than
when ice sheets were more extensive.
When I did this analysis on the first half of the data for your 2007 paper it showed that it would have made a huge over forecast of the
rate of
sea level rise over the second half of the data.
McGuire conducted a study that was published in the journal Nature in 1997 that looked at the connection between the change in the
rate of
sea level rise and volcanic activity in the Mediterranean for the past 80,000 years and found that
when sea level rose quickly, more volcanic eruptions occurred, increasing by a whopping 300 percent.
However, as Timothy explained in # 121, in addition to the direct
sea level rise that occurs
when ice shelves melt, there is a much larger secondary effect, in that ice shelves act as a brake, greatly reducing the
rate of flow of the glaciers behind them from the land to the
sea; and
when ice shelves melt, the
rate of glacier flow increases quite rapidly.
In your opinion
when will the
rate of
sea level rise accelerate?
Climate scientists have been able to close the
sea level «budget» by accounting for the various factors that are causing average global
sea levels to
rise at the measured
rate of about 3.2 millimeters per year since 1992 (
when altimeters were launched into space to truly measure global
sea level).
The accuracy of the data is questionable, the assumption of the initial conditions questionable and comparing oceans to land plus oceans also would add uncertainty, but decreasing ocean energy imbalance makes sense
when you consider the change in the
rate of
sea level rise.
RIE, a lot of skeptics here won't believe you
when you say that the glaciers are already contributing a mm / yr of the
sea -
level rise rate, but yes they do, and about half of it is Greenland.
Heat melts Rock like ice and this thuderhead of magma
rises high in the geo - sky to bring heat to
sea level, thus balancing the core «s heat output
when it's radiative
rate is slowed by the R - value of the gas atmosphere.
''...
sea levels have indeed increased, which probably is a sign of warming... it is difficult to attribute the current
rate of
rise... to humans
when we don't know how much of the
rise is natural.»
Information about
rates of SLR is most easily obtained from deglaciations,
when ice ages terminated and
sea level rose by up to 120 — 130 m at mean
rates of about 1 m / cy [10 mm / yr] but with rapid steps bracketed by slower episodes.
''...
when correcting for interannual variability, the past decade's slowdown of the global mean
sea level disappears, leading to a similar
rate of
sea -
level rise (of 3.3 ± 0.4 mm yr − 1) during the first and second decade of the altimetry era.
Is making a claim that
sea level will
rise at a greater
rate than it is currently, but being unable to state
when or by how much a relavant claim or simply spreading unsupportable propaganda?
Since 1993,
when satellites first began to measure
sea -
level rise, the
rate of increase has been about 1 ft / century, though there has been no statistically - significant
sea -
level rise during the past three years.
The
rate of
sea level rise slowed between 14,000 and 12,000 years ago during the Younger Dryas cold period and was succeeded by another surge, «meltwater pulse 1B», 11,500 - 11,000 years ago,
when sea level may have jumped by 28 m according to Fairbanks, although subsequent studies indicate it may have been much less.
Claiming that the
sea level rise is only 3.2 mm / yr
when up to date data show the
rate is 4 mm / yr and accelerating is considered a cherry pick and is not a convincing argument.
Hamlington and Reager —
rate of
sea level rise increases
when the PDO is positive; decreases
when PDO is negative.
Although the tide gauge data are still too limited, both in time and space, to determine conclusively that there is a 60 - year oscillation in GMSL, the possibility should be considered
when attempting to interpret the acceleration in the
rate of global and regional mean
sea level rise.
This is one reason that, as nearly every climate scientist I spoke to pointed out, the U.S. military is obsessed with climate change: The drowning of all American Navy bases by
sea -
level rise is trouble enough, but being the world's policeman is quite a bit harder
when the crime
rate doubles.
During the 1958 to 2014 period,
when CO2 emissions
rose dramatically, a recent analysis revealed that the
rate of
sea level rise slowed to between 1.3 mm / yr to 1.5 mm / yr, or just 0.14 of a meter per century.
Note in the chart how the
rate of
sea level rise is very low compared to that
when the ice age wanes.
2: Oceans absorb CO2 so
sea level rise is good - Not
when most of the
sea level rise is due to thermal expansion and the
rate of CO2 absorption decreases as temperature increases.
The assumption that the
rate of change of
sea level rise from those components that were small during the 20th century and which have been attributed to ice sheets would scale with global temperature change leads to a strong and unlimited amplification of future
sea level rise when global temperatures continue to increase.
«Even if this was feasible, it would only buy time —
when we stop the pumping one day, additional discharge from Antarctica will increase the
rate of
sea -
level rise even beyond the warming - induced
rate.