Not exact matches
When ocean cycle shifts, globe is likely to warm up
When climate models were run that included the stronger winds, they were able to reproduce the slowdown in
surface temperatures.
Studies of historical records in India suggest that reduced monsoon rainfall in central India has occurred
when the sea
surface temperatures in specific regions of the Pacific
Ocean were warmer than normal.
The CPC officially considers it an event
when the sea
surface temperatures in a key region of the
ocean reach at least 0.5 °C, or about 1 °F, warmer than average.
The first image, based on data from January 1997
when El Nio was still strengthening shows a sea level rise along the Equator in the eastern Pacific
Ocean of up to 34 centimeters with the red colors indicating an associated change in sea
surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
That's because the IPCC models only take into account
temperature changes at the
surface of glaciers, but not the rapid melting that occurs
when glaciers calve and break up into the
ocean, Rignot said.
The research published in Nature Communications found that in the past,
when ocean temperatures around Antarctica became more layered - with a warm layer of water below a cold
surface layer - ice sheets and glaciers melted much faster than
when the cool and warm layers mixed more easily.
When combined with increased
ocean stratification due to this enhanced run off [11], sea -
surface temperatures are depressed, encouraging sea - ice formation.
That would also imply that (T - T0 (t)-RRB- must be negative during the pre-900 period
when SLR = 0... would a plausible physical explanation be that the deep
ocean and ice sheets are still responding somewhat to the post-glacial
temperature increase (eg, T - T0, 0 > 0), but that the faster components of SLR like the
surface oceans and glaciers were actually responding to the decrease in
temperature since the early Holocene?
The paleoclimate record (8.2 kyr, and earlier «large lake collapses») shows a dramatic drop in
surface temperatures for a substantial period of time
when the
ocean circulation shuts off or changes, but is that actually what would be expected under these warming conditions?
There is a difference between peaks and valleys in noisy processes (1998
surface air
temperature, 2007 record minimum ice, or shipping at a few small areas on the edges of the Arctic
ocean) and CO2 forcing driven trends, especially
when different measures.
Actually, I thought about it and having oceanic circulation does allow this behavior (that the
surface temperature can decline
when forcing is declining even while it is still less than the equilibrium
temperature)-- it makes sense because the deep
ocean may still be pulling the
surface temperature toward a much lower
temperature.
And no, there is no huge plunge in tropical or global
surface air
temperatures when the
ocean circulation spins up because there is a near - compensating decrease in poleward heat transport via the atmospheric circulation.
@ 48 If your speculation is correct, I assume that another consequence would be that, if /
when concentrations of greenhouse gases start to drop, corresponding reductions in
surface ocean / land
temperatures would take place at a much slower rate than would otherwise be the case: the surplus heat stored in the deep
ocean will gradually make its way to the
ocean surface, and continue to warm the atmosphere for decades, if not longer.
Could the Ice models be forced to an «ice free» state at the ides of March, then run backwards to see what the conditions would have to be (IMHO, primarily
ocean surface temperature and profile with depth) at the end of the previous September to give this result
when run forward?
If a significant fraction of this heat lost from the
ocean went into the atmosphere one might have expected the
surface air
temperature to have increased faster during this period than during the subsequent period of the 1990s
when the
ocean heat content gained > 5 X 10 ^ 22 J, but this is not what was observed (see reference Figure 2.7 c in the IPCC TAR Working group I).
This is a result of a weaker wind - driven
ocean circulation,
when a large decrease in heat transported to the deep
ocean allows the
surface ocean to warm quickly, and this in turn raises global
surface temperatures.
Furthermore, there is a huge pool of cold water in the
ocean abyss that one needs to be mindful of
when thinking about
surface temperature.
But even
when carbon dioxide does make its way out of the atmosphere, Earth's natural systems can release other carbon dioxide molecules that were previously stored in the
oceans / land back into the atmosphere, making the full effect of carbon dioxide emissions on
surface temperatures much longer than this 5 - 200 year average.
eadler2 January 10, 2015 at 5:54 pm ...
When ocean surface temperatures cool, due to a La Nina, the warmer
surface water is mixed deeper into the
ocean and cooler
ocean water flows along the
surface of the Pacific.
When ocean surface temperatures cool, due to a La Nina, the warmer
surface water is mixed deeper into the
ocean and cooler
ocean water flows along the
surface of the Pacific.
East Coast winter storms, known as «nor» easters» because of the unusual northeasterly direction of the winds as the storm spirals in from the south, are unusual in that they derive their energy not just from large contrasts in
temperature that drive most extratropical storm systems, but also from the energy released
when water evaporates from the (relatively warm)
ocean surface into the atmosphere.
And air
temperatures over exposed land
surfaces should warm differently than air
temperatures over sea ice, especially
when open
ocean separates them.
17 El Nino verses La Nina El Niño La Niña Trade winds weaken Warm
ocean water replaces offshore cold water near South America Irregular intervals of three to seven years Wetter than average winters in NC La Niña Normal conditions between El Nino events
When surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific are colder than average The southern US is usually warmer and dryer in climate
The basic assumption behind the Cowtan and Way (2013) paper appears to be, because the HADCRUT4 data doesn't capture the Arctic
Ocean (there are no
temperature measurements there other than sea
surface temperatures when sea ice melts seasonally), the warming in the Arctic is underreported.
When those 5 gazillion joules are eventually distributed through the entire
ocean not just the
surface it becomes a 0.02 C
temperature rise.
When he presented his misleading graph, when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,) when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to surface temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibil
When he presented his misleading graph,
when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,) when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to surface temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibil
when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,)
when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to surface temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibil
when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to
surface temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C,
when he defends precision in surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibil
when he defends precision in
surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and
oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibility.
La Niña, on the other hand, occurs
when the
ocean's
surface temperatures are cooler than usual, and can lead to warmer
temperatures throughout the Southeast, and cooler
temperatures in the Northwest.
For example, Kosaka and Xie showed than
when the El Niño - related changes in Pacific
ocean temperature are entered into a model, it not only reproduced the global
surface warming over the past 15 years but it also accurately reproduced regional and seasonal changes in
surface temperatures.
When temperatures rise,
ocean water evaporation increases, denser clouds stop solar rays and
surface temperatures decline.»
During that same period, average annual rainfall in New South Wales declined by 3.6 inches (92 millimeters).3 Scientists think the decline in autumn rainfall in southeast Australia since the late 1950s may be partly due to increases in heat - trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.3, 14 Major bushfires over southeast Australia are linked to the positive phase of an
ocean cycle called the «Indian Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
ocean cycle called the «Indian
Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean Dipole» —
when sea
surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian
Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean, likely in response to global warming.15, 16
How hurricanes develop also depends on how the local atmosphere responds to changes in local sea
surface temperatures, and this atmospheric response depends critically on the cause of the change.23, 24 For example, the atmosphere responds differently
when local sea
surface temperatures increase due to a local decrease of particulate pollution that allows more sunlight through to warm the
ocean, versus
when sea
surface temperatures increase more uniformly around the world due to increased amounts of human - caused heat - trapping gases.25, 26,27,28
R Gates wrote: «What you seem to fail to realize though is that a few tenths of a degree of
temperature spread out in the
ocean equates to eventual huge
temperatures in the atmosphere
when that heat is released» ----------------------------------- By what possible mechanism can a release of heat from the
ocean warm the atmosphere to a higher
temperature than that of the
ocean surface, as you seem to be implying?
When it comes to Earth's warming climate, record - breaking
surface temperatures make the headlines — but the full depths of the world's
oceans bear the brunt of the change.
As evident in the figures the near
surface air
temperatures are actually warmer over the Arctic
Ocean (by over 1 °C in large areas)
when the sea ice absorbs solar radiation and transfers some of this energy as sensible heat back into the atmosphere.
When oceans get cold, and the
surface of polar waters freezes, it snows much less and the sun takes away ice and limites the lower bound of
temperature and sea level.
The point is that this observation is not very relevant if the outcome comes from a combination of relevant and persistently warming data from areas where the
temperature is strongly correlated with increase in the heat content of
oceans, atmosphere and continental topmost layers, and almost totally irrelevant data from areas and seasons where and
when exceptionally great natural variability of
surface temperatures makes these
temperatures essentially irrelevant for the determination of longterm trends.
Then, especially
when there is excessive cloud cover over the
oceans, the Sun's energy absorbed above the clouds can actually make its way down to the
ocean surface (and below) warming the
oceans by non-radiative processes, not by direct solar radiation which mostly passes through the thin
surface layer and could barely raise the mean
temperature of an asphalt paved Earth above -35 C.
We observe changing air
temperatures together with movements of the weather systems towards the poles or towards the equator during those periods of transition
when the air is catching up with the
ocean surface changes whether they be warming or cooling.
When the intensity of ultraviolet light from the sun increases,
temperature rises in this ozone rich air and weakens the downdraft, lowers the
surface pressure and with it the strength of the trade winds that blow across the
ocean to the low pressure zones that form over the warm waters that accumulate in the west.
But the dry air column holds a lot less energy so
when the sun goes down and the
surface is no longer heating it through conduction and radiation the column cools rapidly hence the great diurnal
temperature range of the desert and the almost total lack of diurnal
temperature change over the
ocean.
How hurricanes develop also depends on how the local atmosphere responds to changes in local sea
surface temperatures, and this atmospheric response depends critically on the cause of the change.23, 24 For example, the atmosphere responds differently
when local sea
surface temperatures increase due to a local decrease of particulate pollution that allows more sunlight through to warm the
ocean, versus
when sea
surface temperatures increase more uniformly around the world due to increased amounts of human - caused heat - trapping gases.18, 25,26,27 So the link between hurricanes and
ocean temperatures is complex.
It is hard to say with the
surface data we have, but it appears that Arctic
Ocean cyclones are still warmer than the High pressure over the gyre, of interest is
when these
temperatures will be equal, then the switch should happen
when cyclones cool
surface air instead.
Several factors play a role
when a hurricane gains more power rapidly, including the
temperature of the
surface of the
ocean, humidity, characteristics of the clouds, the heat content in the
ocean, and the direction of the wind at the
surface compared to miles above.
The new research uses multiple runs of a coupled
ocean - atmosphere computer model to simulate global
temperature changes in response to climate forcing
when the sea
surface temperature (SST) in the el Niño region follows its historically observed values.
What happened between 2000 and 2004
when the
ocean temperature jumped about 5 x 10 ^ 22 J, which is an absolutely crazy amount, esp given that every other measure (
surface T, MSU, etc) was pretty well behaved?
When winter storms have been violent, usually because of an increased contrast between the average
temperature of land and
ocean surfaces, you find a lot more dust and salt spray (indicates wind over
oceans) in the cores.
When heat stays nearer the ocean surface, forcing raises surface temperature faster than when more of the heat is distributed at lower dep
When heat stays nearer the
ocean surface, forcing raises
surface temperature faster than
when more of the heat is distributed at lower dep
when more of the heat is distributed at lower depths.
As just one example; «How we can know an average global sea
surface temperature back to 1850
when so much of the world was unexplored let alone its
oceans measured» should be just one example that should make scientists question whether the models they build are actually using reliable data, or whether they think they already know the answer and therefore just use data that supports it, no matter its doubtful provenance.
«deep
ocean temperature change does not provide a good indication of
surface temperature change
when the deep
ocean approaches the freezing point, as quantified by Waelbroeck et al. (2002).
That is what the
temperature sensors record as an increase in
ocean surface temperature when IR increases such as
when a cloud passes over (just like CO2, clouds re-radiate energy downwards to the
surface).