But when the boom phase has parties abandoning all caution, possibly with government acquiesence, the boom gets huge, and the bust too,
where the Black Swan appears — things you thought could never happen.
Not exact matches
Most surprising of all,
where is Amy Westcott for
Black Swan?
Tree of Life trailer was exquisite, and another reason to make my trip to DC to see
Black Swan last weekend worth it, but I have had brief moments of panic that it will be like a Benjamin Button type experience
where the first trailer presents such mystical imagery and then the film itself is a completely different tone.
She's Natalie Portman, of course, for her terrific performance in «
Black Swan»,
where she puts it all on the line.
This week, David Chen, Devindra Hardawar and Adam Quigley deliver their thoughts on two of this year's most critically acclaimed films, debate whether or not the Coens have ever done a «straight genre exercise» before, plus offer a crazy theory about the real meaning of
Black Swan and speculate on
where Aronofsky's career might be headed next.
That first weekend in December is a prime launchpad for awards season fare, read that's
where Fox Searchlight launched its best picture winner The Shape of Water, and its best actress winner The
Black Swan eight years ago.
«
Black Swan» added a physical element that made it harder for me to believe that she was able to even make it to
where we found her at the start of the movie.
But at least Portman is playing someone who is recognizably human, unlike her dancer in «
Black Swan,»
where she was a projection of the director's pop - schlock fantasies done up in a high - art tutu.
Horizons offers what they call their «
Black Swan» ETFs
where they hedge the position value from significant market declines.
It is also great in «economics» —
where forecasts that go beyond a few years rarely turn out to be correct, due to the many unknown outliers (or «
black swans», as Nassim Taleb would call them).
Mark Fulton, Research Advisor to Carbon Tracker: «What our blueprint advances is a risk management process that tests for what could be seen as an «orderly» energy transition and considers a «disorderly» one
where change is abrupt, a so - called «
black swan» event, that tests business models to the limit, potentially destroying shareholder value in the process.»
«What our blueprint advances is a risk management process that tests for what could be seen as an «orderly» energy transition and considers a «disorderly» one
where change is abrupt, a so - called «
black swan» event, that tests business models to the limit, potentially destroying shareholder value in the process.»
Looking at ten thousand white
swans without a
black one amongst them doesn't prove that
black ones don't exist, only that they are rare, at least
where you are looking for them.
It is sufficient that this
black swan is logically possible, even if we don't know exactly
where and when it might be observed in reality.
Nicholas Nassim Taleb describes this circumstance quite clearly in his lovely book, The
Black Swan where he has a scientists (like yourself) and a cab driver named Joe analyze the probability of flipping just such a coin and getting just such an improbable string of heads.
• This has been a great Thread, although it begins by giving too much prominence to Taleb's version of Popper's original
Black Swan finding,
where although citing Popper in general quite often, he somehow manages to omit Popper's actual
Black Swan statement, which is really the same as Einstein's No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong.
I guess in context of
where I see this blackswan going irt things presented as pop - hysteria, the
black swan is the
swan that didn't trumpet.
Now an event
where an ET from a civilisation with largely superior technology would teleport to the control room and stop the main pump while letting the reactor in full power would be a
black swan because teleportation has never been considered for safety design.
In the case of WW1,
where white
swans represent the persistence of peace, and
black ones an outbreak of global conflict,
black swans had existed before in the form of the Napoleonic Wars, so the question of imagining them doesn't really arise.
Fukushima might qualify as a
Black Swan where all the desiel backup generators are ruined in the Tsunami following the quake.
Perhaps paradoxically, the first (literal)
black swan I encountered was in the severe English winter of 1962 - 63, when Christmas snow in London remained on the ground for months, and the lake in my local park
where the aforesaid
swan resided remained frozen until May.
Tornadoes, hurricanes, droughts etc... all occurring in places
where they have occurred before are not really
black swans... we know they can happen and they will and do happen... so this should be no surprise when it does happen.
I think a
black swan event is more like the failure of the Fukushima nuclear plant,
where a number of unlikely events had to conflate (earthquake + tsumani + failure of the surge wall + backup generators in the basement) to cause — in this case — a disaster.
Here's
where the second
black swan came in.
When there are pitfalls, which for whatever reason have not been foreseen, these usually in my experience arise
where there may have been factors which are almost, you could say, «
black swan» events — for example, when litigating, I've been faced with errant employees recording meetings with their colleagues or managers without permission.