Not exact matches
Nate conflates problems of
prediction in the realm of human behavior — where there are no fundamental governing «laws» and any «
predictions» are potentially laden with subjective and untestable assumptions — with problems such as
climate change, which are governed by laws of physics, like the greenhouse effect, that are true
whether or not you choose to believe them.»
With this information, I examine global
climate model
predictions of future
climate to see
whether the models
change in what seem to be realistic ways.
«The Earth's
climate system is highly nonlinear: inputs and outputs are not proportional,
change is often episodic and abrupt, rather than slow and gradual, and multiple equilibria are the norm... there is a relatively poor understanding of the different types of nonlinearities, how they manifest under various conditions, and
whether they reflect a
climate system driven by astronomical forcings, by internal feedbacks, or by a combination of both... [We] suggest a robust alternative to
prediction that is based on using integrated assessments within the framework of vulnerability studies... It is imperative that the Earth's
climate system research community embraces this nonlinear paradigm if we are to move forward in the assessment of the human influence on
climate.»
Climate change regulation
changes and increases the complexity of relationships between natural gas and other energy activities (e.g. coal - to - gas generation switch), increases the nature and variety of candidate actions available, and thus magnifies the uncertainties that must be taken into account by any useful forecast,
whether a conditional assessment to gain insights and understand potential vulnerabilities or an attempted
prediction of the future.
Scientists investigated
whether the expert
climate change prediction that growing CO2 emissions, and the subsequent atmospheric increase of CO2, would cause an increase in the frequency and severity of large flooding.
Scientists investigated
whether the expert
climate change prediction that growing CO2 emissions, and the subsequent atmospheric increase of CO2, would caus...