Not exact matches
This melts the ice shelf from below24, and this melting is probably the cause of the observed ice stream thinning,
acceleration and grounding line recession25,
which is contributing to a
sea level rise of 1.2 mm per decade3.
Thus you should look at the Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009) study linked above,
which correlates the tide gauge record with global mean temperature since 1880 and shows that the modern
acceleration of
sea level rise is closely related to modern global warming.]
After over a year of sideways and downward movement from late 2015 through early 2017, the most recent NASA report shows that over the past year an
acceleration in
sea level rise has become visible on the NASA graph, even with just a quick glance (then again, while the long term trend is consistently upward, the annual trend is so variable, that it's likely foolish on my part to suggest a change in trend based on the most recent periods of increase
which have only been occurring for less than 12 months).
The differences between the quadratic
acceleration numbers come from differences in the decadal to multidecadal variability in the curves
which I don't consider very robust (we have shown in Rahmstorf et al. 2012 how strongly these can be affected by a small amount of «noise» in the
sea -
level data).
If one thinks of the the change in
sea level as a «speed» then the
acceleration would be the rate at
which the velocity is changing.
«The global mean
sea level for the period January 1900 to December 2006 is estimated to rise at a rate of 1.56 ± 0.25 mm / yr
which is reasonably consistent with earlier estimates, but we do not find significant
acceleration»
It might be worth emphasising that whether or not there has been an
acceleration of
sea level rise during recent decades, mean
sea level rise as such is a long term fixture
which is unstoppable by any human agency and to
which adaptation will perforce be necessary.
Steve I frequently read about the «system inertia»
which is delaying the
acceleration in
sea level rise, but I have not been able to find any creditable information that quantifies the amount of the hypothesized delay.
But the expected
acceleration due to climate change is likely hidden in the satellite record because of a happenstance of timing: The record began soon after the Pinatubo eruption,
which temporarily cooled the planet, causing
sea levels to drop.»
Unfortunately, there is risk that this trend will include the sudden
acceleration of various glaciers into the ocean,
which will coincide with rapid increases in global rates of
sea level rise.
«However, Fig. 15 and the associated uncertainties discussed in Section 3.4 show that long term estimates of time variable
sea level acceleration in 203 year global reconstruction are significantly positive,
which supports our previous finding (Jevrejeva et al., 2008a), that despite strong low frequency variability (larger than 60 years) the rate of
sea level rise is increasing with time.»
The
sea level is increasing by about 1.3 mm / year according to the data of the tide - gauges (after correction of the emergence or subsidence of the rock to
which the tide gauge is attached, nowadays precisely known thanks to high precision GPS instrumentation); no
acceleration has been observed during the last decades...»
«Second, in contrast to the previously reported slowing in the rate during the past two decades1, our corrected GMSL data set indicates an
acceleration in
sea -
level rise (independent of the VLM used),
which is of opposite sign to previous estimates and comparable to the accelerated loss of ice from Greenland and to recent projections, and larger than the twentieth - century
acceleration.
«long term estimates of time variable
sea level acceleration in 203 year global reconstruction are significantly positive,
which supports our previous finding (Jevrejeva et al., 2008a), that despite strong low frequency variability (larger than 60 years) the rate of
sea level rise is increasing with time.»
The paper does quote an
acceleration, but for the period 1807 - to 2009,
which seems an odd period to quote as we'd be most interested in whether or not anthropogenic emissions had caused an
acceleration in
sea level rise.
That one was Europe and N. America
which says: «Most
sea -
level data originate from Europe and North America, and both the sets display evidence for a positive
acceleration, or «inflexion», around 1920 — 1930 and a negative one around 1960.
Until recently, the contribution of ice sheets to
sea -
level rise remained unknown and is still debated, but the current
acceleration of
sea -
level rise is attributed to heating of the oceans and melting of land glaciers
which is supported by measurements of ocean temperatures and the behavior of mountain glaciers, the vast majority of
which are retreating or exhibit signs of instability.
No one anywhere can see any rapid
acceleration, except in those places
which has always experienced it, but conversely many places have seen
sea levels fall.
They determined, however, that this volume had now increased by a further 3 cubic miles each year, prompted by an
acceleration in the rate at
which the ice caps and glaciers are melting.Unlike what many other scientists have said — including, most prominently, NASA's James Hansen (who believes that a rise in 17 inches by 2100 will be mainly precipitated by the melting of ice sheets)-- the authors of this study believe that the loss of ice from glaciers and ice caps will account for the majority of the expected rise in
sea levels.
I am, after all a teacher, and this seemed like a good opportunity to explain why, for example, I thought more attention should be paid to
sea level rise,
which is ongoing and unstoppable and carries a real threat of
acceleration, than to the unsupportable claims that the ocean circulation was undergoing shutdown (Nature, December 2005).
The combined contribution of Greenland and Antarctica to global
sea level rise is accelerating at a rate of 56 ± 17 Gt / yr2 during April 2002 — February 2009,
which corresponds to an equivalent
acceleration in
sea level rise of 0.17 ± 0.05 mm / yr2 during this time.