A University of Alaska Fairbanks - led research project has provided the first modern evidence of a landscape - level permafrost carbon feedback, in
which thawing permafrost releases ancient carbon as climate - warming greenhouse gases.
Not exact matches
A team of researchers lead by Florida State University have found new evidence that
permafrost thawing is releasing large quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere via plants,
which could accelerate warming trends.
Many researchers are concerned that if old carbon begins to cycle it could create a feedback loop — its emissions contribute to warming,
which again contributes to the
thawing of more
permafrost.
As the world has gotten slightly warmer, that
permafrost is
thawing and decomposing,
which is producing increased amounts of methane.
Determining the rate of old carbon release from
permafrost had been a challenge for researchers, since vegetation that grows in
thawed permafrost in forest and tundra systems releases its own modern organic carbon into soils,
which readily decomposes and dilutes the «old carbon» signal from
thawing permafrost soils.
But warmer temperatures, longer growing seasons, and
thawing permafrost (
which supplies nutrients) are also promoting the growth of aquatic plants in the ponds, shrinking the size of the basins.
Higher temperatures mean more melting and
thawing of ice from glaciers and
permafrost,
which has led to the decline of the most common species, the nematode Scottnema lindsayae.
The warming climate threatens to
thaw permafrost,
which will result in the release of carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere creating feedbacks to climate change — more warming and greater
permafrost thaw.
The climate is warming in the arctic at twice the rate of the rest of the globe creating a longer growing season and increased plant growth,
which captures atmospheric carbon, and
thawing permafrost,
which releases carbon into the atmosphere.
He illustrates the idea with a telling, if somewhat impractical example: «The
permafrost,
which has more carbon than all the rainforests put together, is at risk just by simple
thawing, and a large herbivore like a mammoth could maintain it for another few decades against global warming,» Church says.
According to Dr. Natali, «Our results show that while
permafrost degradation increased carbon uptake during the growing season, in line with decadal trends of «greening» tundra, warming and
permafrost thaw also enhanced winter respiration,
which doubled annual carbon losses.»
They include, Obama said, the accelerated
thawing of the frozen
permafrost that sits beneath «the earth on
which 100,000 Alaskans live, threatening homes [and] damaging transportation and energy infrastructure.»
She analyzed nine previous studies in
which researchers took samples of
thawed permafrost to discover how much carbon would be released.
Tapping into
thawing permafrost for methane —
which does not necessarily mean methane hydrates — would also present similar risks in producing conventional natural gas.
When
permafrost thaws the organic matter starts to decompose, releasing greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane
which increase global temperatures.
That is organic material spread all across the Arctic lands,
which thaws as the
permafrost thaws, and rises through multitudes of lakes and bogs as methane.
Someone please tell me the relevance anymore of man's continued contribution to atmospheric CO2 levels, when enough momentum has already been unleashed to begin the
thaw of the
permafrost region,
which of course contains an immense self - feeding mechanism.
The paper, published today in Nature Climate Change, warns that
thawing permafrost unlocks large amounts of CO2 and methane,
which could potentially be released to the atmosphere.
The team also have a separate project, called Climate feedbacks from wetlands and
permafrost thaw in a warming world (CLIFFTOP),
which aims to quantity the amount of methane likely to be released from
thawing permafrost methane emissions under 1.5 C and 2C scenarios.
Indeed, impacts of Arctic warming include the melting of major Arctic glaciers and Greenland (containing the potential for up to 7 meters of sea level rise if it were to melt entirely), the
thawing of carbon rich
permafrost (
which could add to the burden of atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions) and signs of worsening wildfires across the boreal forests of Alaska, to name a few.
Worse,
thawed permafrost can release its carbon as methane,
which is more than 20 times as potent a greenhouse gas as carbon dioxide.
If we start out with a balanced system
which contains frozen water at the poles, the mid to high latitudes begin to
thaw, triggering soil greenhouse gas feedbacks (
permafrost thaw and following oxic and anoxic sources add to the greenhouse gas budget), a chronic linear process (
which helps to accelerate changes of the equilibrium state, reduces the ability of the atmosphere to break down greenhouse gases — less hydroxide radicals).
Knoblauch et al (2018) «Methane production as key to the greenhouse gas budget of
thawing permafrost» The findings of this paper are already a matter of dispute between you and me, in that my not inconsiderable assessments of this paper and its context in UVMarch2018 @ 365 and @ 378 and @ 393 & @ 406
which show zero «Skyrocketry» are already dismissed by you as «exaggeration, flawed cherry - picking and seemingly endless Strawman creation» although the rationale you present underlying such comment is mostly non-existent and nowhere approaching adequate.
Alaska's coast is vulnerable to the effects of sea - ice retreat,
thawing of coastal
permafrost, and rising sea level, all of
which are caused by warming, and combine to increase coastal erosion.
The next big issue to «surface» I fear is the issue of
permafrost thawing, and thus releasing methane into the atmosphere,
which is not going to be a good thing for the planet.
Vegetation changes associated with a biome shift,
which is facilitated by intensification of the fire regime, will modify surface energy budgets, and net ecosystem carbon balance,
permafrost thawing and methane emissions, with net feedbacks to additional climate change.
As the
permafrost thaws, it is releasing an alarming amount of CO2 and methane...
which as you know, both trap heat (for they are greenhouse gases in their own right) & this will only exacerbate our problem.
Determine
which components of arctic landscapes are most sensitive to
permafrost thaw and pose the greatest risks to human infrastructure and ecosystem services.
That water could warm up during the summer months because the area is ice - free now already, and this will give you positive temperatures on the seabed
which will start to
thaw out the seabed
permafrost which has been sitting there frozen since the last Ice Age.
Fires the likes of
which we have never seen in the far north as the
permafrost burns and methane leaks and explodes from the
thawing earth.
In addition, the decadal warming forced by human - caused climate change is
thawing ever greater portions of
permafrost,
which also adds near surface fuels to traditional brush and woodlands fires.
A kind of reverse meteor strike or methane volcano in
which frozen methane trapped in clathrate beneath the
thawing permafrost warmed enough to destabilize.
Scientists typically measure the temperature of
permafrost near the top of the «active layer,»
which freezes and
thaws seasonally.
The Global Seed Vault,
which has been called «the Noah's Ark of plant diversity,» has flooded after the
permafrost around it
thawed.
The comparison found that climate change will spark a growth in high - latitude vegetation,
which will pull in more carbon from the atmosphere than
thawing permafrost will release.
Nunataryuk is a Horizon 2020 project
which investigates the impact of
permafrost thaw in Arctic coastal areas.
That is organic material spread all across the Arctic lands,
which thaws as the
permafrost thaws, and rises through multitudes of lakes and bogs as methane.
Two main geomorphological forms are commonly found in continuous
permafrost regions of Eastern Canada: (i) small, shallow, narrow runnel ponds formed over melting ice wedges where peat slumping occurs, and (ii) more stable, slightly larger and deeper, polygonal ponds,
which are naturally linked to the active layer freeze -
thaw cycles, and can be colonized by aquatic plants and microbial mats (Fig. 1).
Key uncertainties involve: 1) the degree to
which increases in evapotranspiration versus
permafrost thaw are leading to drier landscapes; 2) the degree to
which it is these drier landscapes associated with
permafrost thaw, versus more severe fire weather associated with climate change, that is leading to more wildfire; 3) the degree to
which the costs of the maintenance of infrastructure are associated with
permafrost thaw caused by climate change versus disturbance of
permafrost due to other human activities; and 4) the degree to
which climate change is causing Alaska to be a sink versus a source of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere.
So the total cost of
permafrost thaw would be $ 43 tn,
which is about half the annual global domestic product of the planet right now.
A review of ice sheets (
which added yet another factor,
permafrost thawing beneath a sheet) is Clark et al. (1999).
Researchers discover massive amounts of mercury in Arctic
permafrost,
which could be released as
permafrost thaws.
For example, global warming is
thawing frozen ground called «
permafrost,»
which then releases more heat - trapping gases into the air.
PS on the
thawing permafrost: I see biologists worrying whether it might free up ancient bacteria to
which we have no defenses.
On land,
permafrost is overlain by a surface «active layer»,
which thaws during summer and forms part of the tundra ecosystem.
The IPCC report also said that a possible release of ghg
thawing permafrost and methane hydrates —
which are «not accounted for in current models» — would shrink the remaining budget even further.
Given enough oxygen, decomposition of organic matter in soil is accompanied by the release of heat by microbes (similar to compost),
which, during summer, might stimulate further
permafrost thaw.
We also underestimated the potential importance of strong feedbacks, such as the
thawing of the
permafrost to release methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, as well as tipping points beyond
which some changes in the climate may become effectively irreversible.»
The lakes,
which form when the surrounding
permafrost thaws, «really flared up... emitting huge amounts of methane,» Walter concluded.
In any case, Russian scientists and the Russian government are studying climate change and trying to figure out how to protect their cities from flooding and their gas infrastructure,
which is situated on
thawing permafrost, from being destroyed.