Defensive stocks perform better in a recession,
while cyclical stocks do not.
Not exact matches
Tech
stocks took a beating in what could be an ominous sign for the sector,
while health care and utilities also fared poorly as investors demonstrated a preference for
cyclicals over defensive.
World growth will remain low on average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued for a
while longer so as to impose no constraint on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime of negative real interest rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk of a eurozone collapse is off the table for now; finally,
stock markets should continue to perform better than expected, even though the four - year old
cyclical bull market is long by historical standards.
In the year - long rally beginning in March of 2003
cyclical stocks were up 63 percent,
while the market rose 35 percent (after two and half years of relentless losses).
The undervalued industries were mostly
cyclical in nature,
while the overvalued industries were not, supporting the idea of this Wall Street Journal article, which argues that
cyclical stocks are looking relatively cheap.
While Musson wants to remind investors that there are no guarantees when buying
stocks, he does believe there are still some good opportunities among the less
cyclical European equities, mainly in consumer products and health care.
Cyclical stocks aren't for everyone, but I'll gladly collect that nice income
while we see how things shake out over the long term.
Countercyclical Indexing is a low fee and tax efficient form of indexing which uses systematically constructed
cyclical market models that help hedge an investor from permanent loss risk as
stocks become more riskier the market cycle
while reducing hedges as
stocks become less risky.
This may be because different markets show different cyclicality of returns - US
stock returns are very
cyclical,
while Canadian
stock returns are not.
Cyclical stocks, on the other hand, are more sensitive to changes in the economy and give investors satisfactory returns in expansion years,
while typically providing negative returns during recession - era years.
And
while dividend
stocks can certainly play a role in your retirement income strategy, loading up on them too much could leave you with a
stock portfolio dangerously skewed to a handful of market sectors, such as utilities, consumer
cyclicals, financials and real estate.
While small cap
stocks have a higher beta and returns on average, the asset classes actually perform a
cyclical dance in which they periodically exchange risk and
stock performance leadership.