I have observed greater variations in Arctic Inversions lately, the tendency is towards less steep inversions, this is expected when the Arctic lower atmosphere warms during winter, if the models maintain a stronger inversion while its observed weakening this may explain
why sea ice models fail, strong boundary layers appear to be collapsing.
Not exact matches
However, a number of studies have indicated that climate
models underestimate the loss of Arctic
sea ice, which is
why the
models might not be the most suitable tools to quantify the future evolution of the
ice cover.
The more data scientists can gather about Antarctic
sea ice, the more they can unpick
why climate
models struggle to accurately predict its extent.
With respect to retreat of Arctic
sea ice, observed retreat is occurring a bit faster than the IPCC set of
models is projecting — and some finer - scale
models are starting to explain
why.
Billions are being spent on all sorts of peripheral work or
sea levels, Arctic
sea ice extent, etc. as well as
model studies on CAGW, so
why is no one working on the basics?
In particular, they are hoping for some perspective on
why their climate
model is having difficulty with simulating
sea ice.
Why look at higher than average
sea ice when there's a perfectly good
model going to waste that will tell you the real facts!
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Jinlun Zhang, an oceanographer at the University of Washington, has pieced together a complex computer
model that helps explain
why Antarctic
sea ice is expanding even with signs that ocean and air temperatures are on the rise.