Were going to explore how and
why valuation analysis is the best approach to time the market.
Not exact matches
I'm yet to read a proper
valuation analysis (one that uses realistic assumptions) that demonstrates
why BitGold deserves a multi-hundred-million-dollar market cap.
We have yet to see any evidence - based argument for
why the
valuation based
analysis presented above is not relevant.
And that's
why I think it belongs firmly in the realm of stock selection, rather than stock
valuation — but even though you risk getting it wrong, an estimated IRR
analysis can & should still be an integral component when narrowing down the potential quality & upside of your final stock selection candidates.
Yeah, in the end, (almost any)
valuation is only ever a problem when it's actually an average / bad business... That's
why I love the Unilever & similar look - backs /
analyses: http://www.lindselltrain.com/~/media/Files/L/Lindsell-Train-V2/investment-insights/2017/Confounding%20Compounding%20-%20February%202017.pdf It really is amazing you could pay up so much for what is generally perceived as a slightly dull company / stock & still make a great return.
In this edition, we feature a Business Insider summary of a recent Baupost letter, a summary of Guy Spier's approach to using checklists, a video of Tom Russo's talk at Google on «Global Value Investing», a ValueWalk article on Pzena Asset Management, an FT article on Steve Jobs which
analyses the start - up conditions at Apple; plus two more videos at the end of this issue — one from Bill Miller on
why he thinks now is the perfect time to buy US stocks, the other from London Value Investor Conference speaker Jean - Marie Eveillard who speaks about market cycles and the risks he sees ahead from «
valuation problems» brought about by quantitative easing.
To explain
why rising private market
valuations might be justified, we needed to explore
why the market today may be different than ever before (there are a number of good articles testing out the rationality of public market
valuations in technology these days — this
analysis is much more directly focused on teasing out the rationality of asset prices for those companies that aren't valued and revalued on a daily basis).