Not exact matches
Researchers expect that as climate change makes
wildfires more likely over the course of this century, deaths and illnesses attributed to pollution
from wood smoke will rise too, even offsetting gains made
from cleaning up
emissions from industry.
He also models the global warming that would occur if concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere were to be doubled (due to increases in carbon dioxide and methane
emissions from dragons and the excessive use of
wildfire).
They found that selective logging and surface
wildfires can result in an annual loss of 54 billion tonnes of carbon
from the Brazilian Amazon, increasing greenhouse gas
emissions.
Called ultrafine aerosols, the particles are found in everything
from auto
emissions to
wildfire smoke to printer toner.
Prof Peres added: «Intergovernmental policies to reduce carbon
emissions from tropical countries have primarily focused on deforestation, and to a lesser extent on forest degradation resulting
from timber extraction and
wildfires.
Using several different models, they estimated that by 2100,
emissions from wildfires in California will grow by 19 to 101 percent.
That points to the increasing role of
wildfires as a source of air pollution even as
emissions from other sources continue to fall.
Wildfires threaten to turn forests
from a carbon sink into a source of
emissions by releasing that stored carbon into the atmosphere, something already happening in California.
Over the course of the study period,
emissions from wildfires in drought years alone totalled more than 1bn tonnes, Aragão says.
Emissions from wildfires totalled more than 1bn tonnes of CO2
from 2003 - 2015, the lead author tells Carbon Brief, and climate change, along with forest fragmentation, could cause a further increase in the number of forest fires in the coming decades.
Our ensemble fire weather season length metric captured important
wildfire events throughout Eurasia such as the Indonesian fires of 1997 — 98 where peat fires, following an El Niño - induced drought, released carbon equivalent to 13 — 40 % of the global fossil fuel
emissions from only 1.4 % of the global vegetated land area (Fig. 4, 1997 — 1998) 46 and the heatwave over Western Russia in 2010 (Fig. 4, 2010) that led to its worst fire season in recorded history and triggered extreme air pollution in Moscow51.
The chart below illustrates how
wildfire emissions have changed
from 1850 to 2014, according to the model results.
As observed
wildfires data
from satellites only goes back to 1990s, the researchers used models to look further back in time and identify the influence of different factors that may have impacted
wildfire emissions, says Arora:
However, this drop in
wildfire emissions has not led to a large net drop in CO2
emissions from land use, the lead author tells Carbon Brief.
This is because a rise in
emissions from deforestation for cropland largely counteracted the decline in
wildfire emissions over the past century.
Historical simulations of global
wildfire CO2
emissions from 1850 - 2014.
The forward models include
emissions of CO2 and carbon monoxide (CO)
from fossil fuel burning and
wildfires; air - sea gas exchange; and photosynthesis, respiration, and decomposition on land.
«At the same time we constrained the methane
emissions from biomass burning (
wildfire activity) and showed that those did not change drastically in the past — irrespective of climate conditions.»
Smoke exposure increases respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and medication dispensations for asthma, bronchitis, chest pain, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (commonly known by its acronym, COPD), respiratory infections, and medical visits for lung illnesses.38, 43,160 It has been associated with hundreds of thousands of deaths annually, in an assessment of the global health risks
from landscape fire smoke.38, 43,44,141,45 Future climate change is projected to increase
wildfire risks and associated
emissions, with harmful impacts on health.18, 161,162,10,163,164,36
If wetland soils dry out
from evaporation or human drainage, though,
emissions will fall — but not without other problems, like
wildfires breaking out on drying peatlands.
«A striking implication of very large
wildfires is that a severe fire season lasting only one or two months can release as much carbon as the annual
emissions from the entire transportation or energy sector of an individual state,» they write in a paper in Carbon Balance and Management.
Claims that specific fires (and forest and
wildfires overall) are due to human greenhouse gases have routinely been made since the 1988 testimony of NASA's top climate scientist, James Hansen, predicted that rapid and accelerating warming
from GHG
emissions would cause more severe and frequent weather events.
The group's modeling also indicates that the entire nation would be able to attain the more stringent Obama administration ozone standard, if it were not for international
emissions, especially
from Canada and Mexico, and for exceptional events like
wildfires that add smog - forming chemicals to the air.
However, there are fears that, due to factors like worsening
wildfires or carbon dioxide
emissions from Arctic permafrost, this could change in the future, causing even more global warming gases to flow
from the land to the atmosphere.