Sentences with phrase «win seats based»
So you think a mandate alone will help them win seats based on the off chance voters will vote for them?
https://politics.stackexchange.com/ Not exact matches
Based on past races, that's not even enough to win the average House seat.
In these systems, seats are not allocated on a proportional basis; rather, they are given to candidates who win a majority in single - member districts.
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That cleared the way for Wozniak, a Republican, to win the Democratic - leaning Cheektowaga - based Assembly seat, last November.
Analysts say the Democrats will likely need to win two contested legislature races in Amherst and in a Cheektowaga - Depew - Lancaster based seat to hold the majority.
The parties win seats in the parliament based on the share of votes they won, and the parties select who sits in those seats.
This was the part of the country where, in 2010, the words «points - based - system» went down so badly on the doorstep that Labour failed to win seats like Colne Valley, now held by the Conservative incumbent Jason McCartney.
Still, the rise of an evidence - based approach has to be a positive for Republican campaigns, as is the new prominence of smart staff like Vincent Harris, mentioned in the piece for his work helping Ted Cruz beat the Texas Republican establishment to win a Senate seat (he's now working for Mitch McConnell).
On that basis seven of the 54 seats that the SNP are projected to win might be prised from its grasp, with Labour picking up four of them, the Conservatives two and the Liberal Democrats one.
Based on these performances it appears their hopes for winning any of these Long Island or Hudson Valley seats (prior to the next presidential election) are contingent on unique circumstances such as a strong third - party candidate in the race, a special election or a corruption issue.
While the historical data show that changes in the percentage of the council seats that a party wins is reasonably strongly correlated with changes in that party's poll share, that basis for forecasting this year would not work.
Based on the results of the local elections, the BBC has estimated that Labour would win the next election, but would fall short of an overall majority, with 322 seats.
Because Labour could, potentially, win if the previously Labour but now non-voters can be persuaded to start turning out and voting Labour again, but only if the non-voting support base is fairly large, and without that sort of analysis over larger areas it's hard to judge — it's definitely partially true in my ward, Labour had disappeared electorally years ago, but won the seat in 2012, despite most other parties getting similar votes to normal (and our support mostly going to an Independent we were tacitly backing).
«When she contested in the 2008 election based on our research work, she secured 19,919 to win the seat.
One of the Democrats» best pickup opportunities is in the Syracuse - based 24th District, a tossup seat that Obama won by double digits in 2012.
But the great bulk of the Short money is payable based on votes and seats won at the previous general election: approximately # 17,000 for every seat, and # 34 for every 200 votes (for full details see here).
Our own analysis, based on Vote Watch Europe's projections, has found that overall, these parties could win up to 31 % of the vote - up from 25 % in 2009 - and 218 out of 751 seats in the new parliament.
The Syracuse - based 24th District, a tossup seat that President Barack Obama won by double digits in 2012, is one of the Democrats» best pickup opportunities.
This election doesn't really qualify based on your criteria, however, because the NDP remained the Official Opposition and have ever since (even bouncing back to win 30 + seats in the three most recent elections).
Assuming a uniform national swing, Labour would on this basis win 270 seats in the House of Commons, the Conservatives 241 seats and the Liberal Democrats 108 seats.
Alabama's 2nd district (D)(36 percent): We are the first to admit that Rep. Bobby Bright (D) proved us wrong in 2008 — winning this decidedly conservative southern Alabama seat based on his strong ties to the district as a result of his time spent as the mayor of Montgomery.
Based on disapproval for Obama and Obamacare in the state... neither Democrat was going to win this senate seat again.
Assuming a uniform national swing, Labour would on this basis win 267 seats in the House of Commons, the Conservatives 255 seats and the Liberal Democrats 97 seats, all within a handful of seats of what is projected by the poll of polls.
Seat Estimates: Based on these constituency estimates and using a d'Hondt method to determine which party wins the seats in a constituency, the party seat levels are estimated as follSeat Estimates: Based on these constituency estimates and using a d'Hondt method to determine which party wins the seats in a constituency, the party seat levels are estimated as follseat levels are estimated as follows:
After considerable boundary changes, the sitting Labour MP, Shahid Malik, will be defending a notional majority of only 3,999 (based on the Rallings and Thrasher figures), meaning that Simon needs a swing of 4.5 % to win the seat.
If we break down the seats purely on the basis of that election — we have the ones we hold, the ones we can win and those we won't win, even with a 20 % lead nationally.
If he wants to run for Congress, then let him run in two years and let him either win or lose based on the two - year fight for that seat.»
It was reported that on the basis of these findings the Tories would only win an additional 20 seats from Labour, again leaving them short of an overall majority.
The wife of a Kentucky lawmaker who killed himself after a sexual assault allegation surfaced this week defended her husband and said she will run for his seat because «these high - tech lynchings based on lies and half - truths can't be allowed to win the day.»
[132] An alternative approach is to use the wisdom of the crowd and base a prediction on betting activity: the Sporting Index column below covers bets on the number of seats each party will win with the midpoint between asking and selling price, while FirstPastThePost.net aggregates the betting predictions in each individual constituency.
Were the Labour party to split there would be some clear practical advantages for the faction that was left in control of the Labour party — they would keep the Labour party's assets and property, their campaigning data and arguably much of the «Short money» (state funding for opposition parties based largely on votes and seats won at the previous election).
The two South MEPs won seats at the 2009 contest, Sean Kelly and Brian Crowley, will be happy with this, one would imagine, especially given the return of Clare, unless a south Leinster based running mate makes things more difficult for them.
GOP Rep. Michael Grimm shook off an indictment and won reelection to his Staten Island - based seat Tuesday night, dispatching Democrat Domenic Recchia.
Madeleine Dean won a three - way Democratic primary in a newly drawn Montgomery County - based seat where Democrats are favored in November.
Utica College government professor Luke Perry says both candidates need to appeal to the middle to win this seat, but Tenney is not widening her base.
But using projections based on recent polls, it says that even if either Ukip or the Lib Dems could tie with Labour on 20 %, the electoral system would mean neither would win more than 20 seats, with Labour remaining at 140 to 150.
If second preferences count «from the bottom up», there would likely be at least 500 seats won by Con or Lab before 2nd pref votes by / for Dem have any relevance whatsoever (based on the 2010 election results).
Based on the opinion polls they look good; last year a poll by Survation put Ukip second while a more recent snapshot this year by Lord Ashcroft suggested that Ukip are on course to win the seat.
Since winning his assembly seat in 1996, Mr. Espaillat has labored to boost the voter turnout in the heavily Hispanic neighborhoods of Washington Heights, Inwood and Marble Hill, registering scores of new voters to both engage people in the democratic process and consolidate his own power base for his congressional bids.
Mr. Donovan, a Staten Island resident in the Staten Island - based district, is expected to win the low turnout special election; Brooklyn lawmakers have historically struggled to win the seat.
If there is a real story at all in the Tories» winning a marginal seat in Cheshire two years before a General Election, then it is that Cameron can win without having to please the Tory base in the least, and indeed while defining himself against it for the amusement of the BBC / Fleet Street dinner party circuit.
His win, in what should have been a safe seat for Labour, was partly the result of Labour and the Conservatives pursuing «biraderi», or clan - based loyalty, Baston suggested.
They may not win any seats but they reckon they are creating a solid base from which they will build.
He refused to even comment on the possibility of somebody not from Harlem holding his seat, which has been based in the neighborhood since Adam Clayton Powell Jr., New York's first black congressman won it in 1944.
«The current Short money formula is based on both the totality of votes cast at the general election and the total number of Commons seats won by an opposition party, along with an additional top - up for the official opposition.
It acknowledges that it may, at best, win only a handful of seats in parliament next May, but that will mean it has a base in Westminster for the first time.
Niou's contest was one of a few legislative primaries for New York City - based seats, in which winning the Democratic primary is tantamount to taking the general election in November.
Whichever party works harder to get their base vote out to the polls has a better chance of winning the second Town Board seat.
By winning local council seats, party activists established a power base in cities like Liverpool, and success in local government revitalised their national ambitions.