For the Conservatives, a majority will remain out of reach if they fail to
win target seats in places like Bolton West and Wirral South.
Boris was a great Mayor but during last year's general election there was no obvious plan to try and hold or
win target seats in the Capital.
«That is higher than the national swing — 4.5 per cent in YouGov's latest Britain - wide poll — but not enough to
win every target seat.
Not exact matches
Seats would be
won by convincing voters across the constituency, not just
targeting action at a few swing voters.
Even if Ukip
wins very few
seats, it could split the Tory vote and prevent the party securing its own
target seats.
To get an idea of how disastrous this election has been for the Conservatives, look at what has happened in the Labour held
seats that the Tories were
targeting yesterday but didn't
win:
And if you look specifically at Pennsylvania, for example, going into that election, the Democrats had a narrow majority in the statehouse - five or six
seats - and that Operation RedMap, this national Republican effort,
targeted three, put money in,
won all three.
The two main parties look to be in a strong position to defend what they
won in 2010 but seem less well placed to launch attacks on their
target seats — hence the likelihood of a stalemate.
Indeed, it takes a stretch of the imagination to visualise Corbyn
winning some of Labour's
target seats but this has caused surprisingly few problems so far.
In 2010, though the Conservatives did not achieve the national vote share they wanted, the party's
targeting strategy meant it
won 23 more Labour
seats and 9 more Liberal Democrat
seats than it would have done on a uniform swing.
But perhaps the most natural
target — the 26th District,
won by Kathy Hochul in a special election last month — might draw objections from both parties: from Democrats because they think she's a rising star after her upset victory, and from Republicans because they expect to have a reasonable chance of reclaiming the
seat anyway.
But with a limited House playing field, Democrats need to
win virtually all of the competitive
seats, and some initial takeover
targets look like they are slipping out of reach.
Targeting can help maximise the number of
seats a party
wins with any given level of national support, but it is no substitute for broad appeal.
Drawing on his unique perspective as the man responsible for the party's
target seats and polling, the 133 - page book gives Lord Ashcroft's view of the Conservatives» progress since their third defeat in 2005, the reasons for the party's failure to
win an overall majority in 2010, and David Cameron's decision to form a coalition with -LSB-...]
The coverage of the elections also rarely took into account that the FN was unable to put forward more candidates and
win more
seats despite them having been carefully
targeted, demonstrating further the limits of the party's reach.
Drawing on his unique perspective as the man responsible for the party's
target seats and polling, the 133 - page book gives Lord Ashcroft's view of the Conservatives» progress since their third defeat in 2005, the reasons for the party's failure to
win an overall majority in 2010, and David Cameron's decision to form a coalition with the Liberal Democrats.
President Donald Trump
won these newly
targeted seats by anywhere from 6 to 49 points.
Democrats are
targeting the California
seats, especially in Orange County, in their quest to flip 24
seats and
win back the House.
In Western New York, Republicans have previously
targeted the
seat held by Democrat Marc Panepinto, who prevailed in a four - way race in 2014 to
win the
seat.
The polls of Conservative - held Ukip
targets found the party failing to make breakthroughs even in
seats where they
won their best results in last year's European elections.
And you can take it as read that Labour is falling well, well behind in the Tory - held
target seats it will one day need to
win to form a government.
Far from there being the long - predicted «swing back» to the Tories as the election nears, Lord Ashcroft's polls suggest that Labour have actually cemented their position in many of the
target seats they need to
win.
Katko's 24th Congressional District
seat is among some three dozen
seats that Democrats have
targeted as a key to
winning back control of the House.
Currently, Ukip is likely to
win another four
seats; but this figure could well change, depending on whether local voters in their key
target seats can be persuaded that Ukip has a real chance of victory locally.
He argued that, in those circumstances, the SNP, which has set a
target of
winning 20
seats in the 6 May election, could seek to extract gains for Scotland.
It was hugely impressive that he came within 2,500 votes of
winning the
seat last May, with few local members on the ground and none of the benefits that were afforded to
target seats.
Both national political parties have already
targeted the 24th Congressional District
seat as a top priority for 2016, signaling they plan to invest heavily to
win the Syracuse area
seat.
Among those
seats listed above are a number of marginal and
target seats, which could potentially make all the difference between a party
winning a decisive overall majority or not.
The DCCC's initial
targets were obvious, beginning with the 26 Republicans who
won seats in the 2014 midterms in districts previously carried by President Barack Obama.
If we are to not only
win the next election, but ensure a sustained period of electoral success, then a more medium term strategy is also needed, in addition to the current focus on today's
target seats.
In order to
win the majority, Democrats likely need to
win a clear majority of a batch of 16
seats, which includes pricey plays, scenario
seats, late bloomers, and slippery
targets.
Andy, what Chris probably means is although we gain
seats initially, the ones we need to
win lower down the
target seat list get a bit tougher.
Comstock, already a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
target for 2016,
won the open
seat to replace GOP Rep. Frank R. Wolf, her former boss, by 16 points in 2014.
Ortiz Jones is one of several Democrats running to take on Hurd, a former undercover CIA officer who narrowly
won reelection to his Texas swing
seat in 2016 and ranks as a top Democratic
target for 2018.
Worcester is 59th on their
target list, placing it halfway on the list of
seats David Cameron needs to
win if he is to gain an overall majority.
The first results of the night had produced Labour
wins in Sunderland but outside of its strongholds in the north, it failed to take vital
seats such as the number one
target of Warwickshire North, where the Conservatives increased their share of the vote.
He is currently working on a campaign by the group Searchlight to keep the British National party below the threshold they need to
win the EU
seat they are
targeting in the north of England, and in the process discovering how rightwing organisations are also using social networks to mobilise people.
National Republicans immediately
targeted the
seat at the start of this election cycle and played host to a very competitive three - way primary
won by attorney Tom Rooney a.k.a. the luckiest congressional candidate in the country (as of today).
When Democrat Michael P. Kearns stumped the experts back in 2012 by
winning the 142nd Assembly
seat on the Republican and Conservative lines, he planted a big
target on one of Albany's top leaders — then - Speaker Sheldon Silver.
Although the collapse at the hands of the SNP in Scotland was widely expected, the party failed to
win some of its key
target seats in England and also endured defeats for key figures such as shadow chancellor Ed Balls.
With 585 constituencies, the party can run 10 open primaries a week from January 2014, each one in a different part of the country, starting with
seats notionally held by the Conservatives pre-2010, then those notionally
won in 2010, then the
target seats for 2015, then the rest.
But on election day, it will still let the Tories
target marginal voters in must -
win seats more precisely than ever before.»
On the old boundaries Labour could
win an overall majority with a lead over the Tories of 3 %, but given they
win far more
seats in Scotland and Wales than the Tories do, we really will need to wait for the other Commissions» reports before we can make any estimates about how their
target will change.
It is twentieth on the Conservative
target list and is a
seat we must
win if we are to
win the election nationally.
The paper reports that Labour is intending to try and highlight divisions with Conservative Party over climate change in the top Tory
target seats where the Green Party
won more than 2 % of the vote at the last election - in the hope of stopping Green supporters from switching to back the Conservatives and helping to deliver a Tory majority in the Commons.
Is this a sign of Tory confidence, that they now believe they are in with a chance of
winning a solid Labour
seat, or panic that Lib Dem
targets have fallen out of reach?
Speaking to the BBC after the result was announced, Paul Nuttall said he wanted to
win «at least» ten
seats at the next general election, and set out how he would
target Labour heartlands.
First elected to Congress in 1994, LoBiondo
won re-election to his
seat last year by a 22 - point margin and was not on the list of top
targets for Democrats in 2018.
Cuomo said he will
target at least six New York congressional Republicans to try and help the national Democrats capture 24
seats needed to
win control of the House.
The former lieutenant governor, who moved into the top spot when scandal led to former Gov. Eliot Spitzer's resignation, said Friday that he believed he was the
target of an organized effort to push him out of the race to
win the governor's
seat in his own right.