The Blues have been
winning at halftime in three of their five away games so far this season, and a Chelsea / Chelsea half time / full time bet comes in at a price of 6/4.
Our research found that the team that is
winning at halftime receives a majority of second half bets in just 39.1 % of all regular season games.
This was an intriguing statement because favorites that aren't
winning at halftime have gone just 563 - 590 ATS (48.8 %) since 2003.
I should also point out that most of these past matches were large underdogs on the full game spread who were
winning at halftime.
Based on our contrarian strategy, we believed that it would be profitable to bet against the public and take teams — specifically those getting points — that are
winning at halftime.
The table below examines the performance of teams that are
winning at halftime using several key numbers for football bettors.
Our first thought was that there wouldn't be many instances in which the full game favorite is
winning at halftime, but listed as an underdog on the second half line.
Not exact matches
We could be losing the game
at halftime, but if we held steady on the course and heeded Coach Dave's words, we were confident we had a damn good chance of
winning.
We were heavy favorites to
win, but
at halftime we found...
pellegrini was leading
at halftime but still make changes bcs he wanted a
win.
Rosier starts against LSU... game is close
at halftime... Kosi see's the field in the 3rd and puts us ahead... Richt sticks with him in the 4th for the
win and never looks back the rest of the season....
(1) replaces starter after
halftime (2) ties game
at 20 with clutch 4th quarter 4th down TD throw into a packed end zone (3)
wins the game with a bomb to a receiver with no receptions —
at that point — in the game.
The Tigers did
win their second game of 2012 on Saturday, but they led woeful New Mexico State by just seven
at halftime before surging.
Mississippi: After blowing
at 10 - point
halftime lead
at No. 22 Auburn, Saturday's
win was much - needed for the Rebels» postseason chances.
In a 19 - 7
win over the Packers on Sunday, Orton had a 3.6 passer rating
at halftime and completed six of 17 passes on the day.
At halftime of a recent Bellarmine University basketball game, Casey Saulman was given the opportunity to
win a $ 2500 Caribbean Cruise...
Freshman Jack Lavery
at West Chester University got a chance to
win $ 10,000
at halftime of a WCU game.
Hull were losing the other day, Marco Silva changed the system
at halftime, and they
won the game.
While many online betting houses look
at things as varied as National Anthem length, color of Gatorade dumped on
winning coach and even what Madonna will wear
at halftime, MGM's prop bets are for the diehards.
The second was a fantastic team goal finished
at close range by Walcott and as
halftime approached Ozil sealed the
win and the points with a scuffed finish from an Alexis cross.
The Cowboys led 49 - 14
at halftime and easily
won 59 - 21, starting off a solid day for public bettors.
Ohio State, on the other hand, has a pair of one - score
wins, a game in which the Bucks had to rally in the fourth quarter to come from behind, and a game in which Ohio State trailed
at halftime and was tied going into the final quarter.
The Gunners have
won somewhere around 42 games out of 43 when they lead
at halftime.
The 2012 SEC Tournament had the upset alert blinking as the No. 8 seed LSU Tigers pulled within one point of the consensus No. 1 team in the country and top - seeded Kentucky Wildcats
at halftime, but a strong second half surge sealed the 60 - 51
win for UK.
He's how the Crimson Tide came back from a 10 - point deficit
at halftime to beat the SEC's best team by 18 points on Friday, and how they
won at the buzzer the day before.
Arizona led, 19 - 14,
at halftime, then Oregon
won the second half, 34 - 10.
If the «Hawks are leading by 14 - points
at halftime, you're in great position to
win your bet — but there's always the chance that Rams turn things around and cover the spread.
They took a bit more time with Northwestern, leading the Wildcats 10 - 0
at halftime in Evanston before putting the 31 - 0
win away with two third - quarter touchdowns.
However, further analysis found that 70.6 % of teams fitting these criteria were
winning by double - digits
at halftime.
Teams boasting a double - digit lead
at halftime have been profitable with a 53 %
win rate, but the sweet spot comes when teams are
winning by
at least three possessions (17 + points)
at halftime.
If the favorite is
winning big
at halftime, bettors are more likely to bet on the team that's losing in order to create a middle.
They led Towson by only a 17 - 9 margin
at halftime and, thanks to an increasingly sloppy offense, only
won by 16.
At halftime, Jerome tells me Okapi will
win.
At halftime of a sensational 3 - 2 Manchester United win at the Etihad, City seemed well on course for the win that would have sealed the title, a title that would have been won earlier than any other in histor
At halftime of a sensational 3 - 2 Manchester United
win at the Etihad, City seemed well on course for the win that would have sealed the title, a title that would have been won earlier than any other in histor
at the Etihad, City seemed well on course for the
win that would have sealed the title, a title that would have been
won earlier than any other in history.
Coach Pat Narduzzi said as much after Pitt led unbeaten Miami
at halftime on Black Friday, and his charges backed him up with the type of close - out performance rarely seen from a 4 — 7 team, slamming the brakes on the Hurricanes» hype train with a 24 — 14
win.
Bella Vista (20 -0-2) trailed
at halftime for the first time all season, and needed an extra round of penalty kicks to finally vanquish pesky Turlock to
win its second consecutive Div.
After grinding out
win after
win for the better part of the last month, Juve barely had to kick things into overdrive to build a 4 - 0 lead
at halftime and then got a second - half Gonzalo Higuain hat trick to roll to a 7 - 0
win over Sassuolo.
Just after
halftime he ran
at a defender, nutmegging him, and
winning a penalty that would double to lead over Derby County.
He then sustained a right ankle injury toward the end of the first half of the 3 - 0 home
win over the Philadelphia Union (3/31), and was replaced
at halftime by Axel Sjöberg.
Marco Asensio's two - goal night helped Real Madrid overcome their first
halftime deficit in La Liga since February 2017 and pick up a
win at Real Betis.
The Lobos would go on to score again before
halftime and once more in the second half to end up with a 4 - 1
win at Valley Fields.
When Andrea Barzagli was subbed off and replaced by Leonardo Bonucci
at halftime of Juventus» 3 - 1
win over Napoli on Saturday, I had the line of thinking that it was just to give each defender a little bit of work and that would be that.
The last three league games have been a drab 1 - 1 draw
at Udinese, a last - minute 2 - 1
win against Milan that came in controversial fashion, and a 1 - 0
win at Sampdoria that turned into a deep struggle after
halftime.
Teams that are behind by one point
at halftime are actually more likely to
win than teams that are up by one.
Brian is also the author of Money Shot — the story of an unhappy middle - aged man who
wins a chance
at redemption by attempting a million dollar shot during
halftime of the NCAA basketball tournament.
The Stormers
won 47 - 13 after leading 18 - 13
at halftime... Photographs with thanks and © Iain Gibbin.