Labour faces the problem of needing 2010 Liberal Democrat voters to
win key marginals, but it quietly hopes that Liberal Democrat voters will stay put in the South West and South East against the Conservatives.
Failure to
win key marginals, combined with Labour losses in Scotland, prompted Ed Miliband to stand down.
This idea had some merit: Labour had failed to
win key marginals across England and Wales, came under serious electoral pressure from UKIP in the north of England, and was all but wiped out in Scotland.
Not exact matches
It clearly shows that in these
marginal seats, the
key battleground seats where the general election will be
won and lost, voters are very concerned about threats to religious liberty and free speech.
Although gaining 22 seats, Labour lost all but one of its MPs in Scotland and ended up with a net loss of 26 seats, failing to
win a number of
key marginal seats that it had expected to
win comfortably.
The strategy has been to
win support in
key marginals, using tactics such as tailing opinion - formers such as the corporate press and relying heavily on focus groups and polls.
The Tory vote went up four points in the
key marginals it was defending from Labour and in the
marginals it was looking to
win from the Liberal Democrats.
If Nigel Farage
wins 2,000 to 3,000 unhappy Tories in each of the
key marginals, he has written, the party could lose thirty seats and install Ed Miliband in Number 10 Downing Street.
Should they try to
win back Ukip supporters by adjusting their national message, and risk alienating the more moderate and diverse electorates in
key urban and suburban
marginals?
Both the main parties could count on
winning hundreds of safe seats each and the electoral battle would be
won or lost in a smaller number of
key marginal seats.
So if, as this poll suggests, they fail to
win any of the 20
key Lib Dem - Tory
marginals, they will struggle to prevent a hung parliament.
This finding correlates with one from last week's Crosby / Textor poll for the Telegraph (carried out before Cleggmania) which found that that the Conservatives would fail to
win any of the 20
key Lib Dem - Tory
marginals.
David Cameron said the party's second place in Scotland and its showing in England, where it took control of Peterborough Council and
won council seats in
key Westminster
marginals such as Dudley and Nuneaton, represented a good result for a party in government for six years.
Our research was based on the 60
key marginal constituencies the Tories have to
win to form the next government.
Finally, despite the important effects of the substantial rise of UKIP on the shares of the vote for the two main parties, UKIP are not set to
win many seats nor have a disproportionate effect on the competition for seats between the two main parties in their
key marginals.
Labour has established a «convincing» 11 - point lead over Conservatives in the
key marginal seats Ed Miliband would need to
win to secure victory in next year's general election, according to a new poll by ComRes for ITV News.
Yet, despite the odd indifferent photocall and broadcast, Ed Miliband
won Tory flagships from Hammersmith to Harrow and other
key Tory - Labour
marginals which will determine whether he or David Cameron is in No 10 after May 2015.
The new figures translate into a swing from Labour to Conservative in these
key marginals of a little more than 6 per cent, a bit short of the swing required (about 7 per cent) if the Conservatives are to
win an overall majority.
Rail reform could be the
key to
winning over swing voters in the
marginal commuter constituencies that Labour will need to
win to form a majority in 2015.
Politics: Loughborough is a
key marginal, having been
won by the party that received the most seats at every general election since February 1974.
The party needs to
win over floating voters in a number of
key marginal seats in towns and cities in the North and the Midlands.
They kept the Tories in check in
key marginal seats and comfortably
won the two Westminster by - elections.