The hilariously specific trend of the week is that the Patriots are 7 -21-2 ATS in their last 30 coming off of two consecutive
wins against the spread.
Arkansas State is one of just four teams in the nation that has at least six games played and zero
wins against the spread.
Last season, there were three teams with at least 10
wins against the spread and these were two of them.
Brady has yet to log
a win against the spread in Miami down the closing stretch, which is pretty significant considering he is the best QB in our database, winning at a 61 % rate against the spread.
When one team garners more than 60 % of the bets, and is favored by at least 16 points, the underdog
wins against the spread 56.5 % of the time, since 2004.
Not exact matches
The PBMs» trade group lobbied hard
against the provision and in the end
won a concession: an amendment requiring the government to keep the PBMs» incentives and
spreads confidential.
Somehow the Knicks have managed to
win their past seven games — including a 6 - 1 mark
against the
spread (ATS)-- after covering the
spread just eight times in their other 23 games.
By applying the Underdog Filter, we quickly found out that dogs have produced a
winning percentage of 50.3 % ATS (
Against the
Spread) over the past eight years.
Although Indy has
won just one of those games straight up, they have gone 3 - 0
against the
spread (ATS) in that time.
We focused on the 12 teams who
won 3 or fewer games
against the
spread (ATS) in 2011.
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting
Against the Public article, there is great value betting on teams who are receiving less than 30 % of
spread wagers as they have a
winning percentage of 50.9 %...
Winning / elite teams
against the
spread have also excelled, which makes a lot more sense to me.
In fact, we detail this bias in our 2011 - 12 Betting
Against the Public article which shows that betting on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of
spread wagers have
won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
Teams receiving less than 50 % of
spread bets have gone 138 - 130 ATS (51.5 %)
against non-conference opponents, but that
win rate jumps substantially
against familiar foes.
The Texans are a respectable 4 - 1
against the
spread on the road of late, which isn't to say that they're going to
win, but I would gladly take a touchdown here.
Well as the week progressed, so did Brees» health, and now I'm stuck with a betting slip on Jacksonville to go into the Superdome, and not only
win, but cover a damn
spread against Sean Payton.
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting
Against the Public article, there is great value betting on teams who are receiving less than 30 % of
spread wagers as they have a
winning percentage of 50.9 % since 2003.
Spreading your money across multiple
winning models (like diversifying an investment portfolio) helps safeguard
against one or two that happen to lose, which is entirely possible for even the sharpest sports bettors.
With the line remaining static for this NFC South matchup, nearly seven out of ten
spread wagers remain confident in the 7 - 5 Falcons
winning by four points or more on the road
against Cam Newton and the 4 - 8 Panthers.
Tom M. (via email): What is the record of a team
against the
spread that has either
won 3 straight ATS or lost 3 straight ATS
In these games, the underdog (team receiving 30 % or fewer
spread bets) went 11 - 5
against the
spread (ATS), for a
winning percentage of 68.8 %.
In Week 3, Buffalo's high - profile
win over New England was a big loss for the betting public, causing a significant overreaction in the sports betting marketplace as 81 % of
spread wagers came down on the Bills
against the Bengals.
As a result, the betting public is back on the Tebow bandwagon, with slightly more than half of all
spread bets taking Denver to either
win straight up or lose by two or less
against the 4 - 4 Chiefs.
However, the betting public seems to have a short memory, as 8 out of 10
spread bets are sticking with Atlanta to
win by 7 or more
against a 5 - 4 Titans team who has been plagued by inconsistency, yet looked good last week in a 30 - 3 upset victory on the road
against the high - flying Panthers
The Bulldogs have never received less than 21 % of
spread tickets, which happened when they closed as 31 - point favorites
against Loyola Marymount back on February 11, 2008 (they
won 83 - 50).
Since 2005, NFL home teams playing on Thursday night have
won 68.2 %
Against the
Spread (ATS) for a profit of +14.95 units.
The 0 - 3 Chargers will be going for their first
win and cover of the season, as they've been the victims of a few tough beats this year and are now at 0 -2-1
against the
spread.
Since 2004, road teams have gone 1120 - 1068
against the
spread (ATS) resulting in a 51.2 %
win rate and 2.29 units earned.
This team has the potential to push for 50
wins and it wouldn't surprise me if they get rid of Kidd, who went just 36 - 46
against the
spread last season, third worst in the league.
The home underdogs finished 8 -3-1
against the
spread (ATS), for a
winning percentage of 72.7 %.
In our 2011 - 12 Betting
Against the Public article we found that visitors receiving less than 25 % of
spread wagers have a
winning percentage of 54.8 % over the past eight seasons.
By applying Bet Labs» «Days Between Games» filter, we were able to determine that teams playing in the second game of a back - to - back have an
against the
spread (ATS) record of 2058 - 2118 (49.3 %
win rate) in regular season games dating back to 2005.
Clemson has
won its last five road games and is 8 - 2
against the
spread in its last ten road games.
- Similarly Alabama scored a late TD
against Auburn to
win by 16 and cover the opening -LRB--13) and closing -LRB--15)
spread.
Despite their recent hiccup
against the Heat that ended their
win streak, they still have gone 15 -3-1
against the
spread.
They were terrific
against the
spread throughout the season,
won 66 games, and
won the NBA title.
Although teams receiving less than 50 % of
spread bets have posted a
winning record, the optimal threshold for betting
against the public comes at the 40 % level.
After finally
winning (and covering) a game following eight consecutive losses straight - up and
against - the -
spread, bettors are right back on the Buckin» Broncos.
In the NBA, the Knicks have been one of the hottest teams in the league,
winning 7 of their last 10 games straight up — as well as
against the
spread (ATS).
The Nets have done surprisingly well this season with 14
wins in 37 games, but their record
against the
spread is even more baffling.
Despite the
win and cover, public bettors still don't have faith in LSU this weekend as they're getting just 13 % of
spread bets at home
against Auburn.
They've
won six in a row straight up while going 3 - 3
against the
spread to improve on their costly 3 -8-1 ATS record before the
winning streak.
But Michigan State
won a non-Playoff version of the Cotton Bowl in the Cowboys» stadium last year,
against Texas school Baylor — so the Spartans aren't likely to be intimidated by a big point
spread.
The Golden State Warriors are 9 - 1 straight up and 5 - 5
against the
spread over their last 10 games including a current stretch of six straight
wins.
Grbac
won over his receivers by
spreading the ball around — nine players caught passes
against the Bears — and trusting each of them to do his job.
Although betting
against the public has a
winning record at the 35 % threshold, this system doesn't actually become profitable until we examine teams receiving less than 30 % of
spread bets.
im 31 - 19
against the
spread post trump
win.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an important half - point away from the road dog Bucs, nearly seven out of ten
spread bets are sticking with Tampa Bay to
win by four or more
against the maddeningly inconsistent Titans.
-- Of those popular parlay teams, only New England -LRB--14 vs. Oakland) failed to cover
against the
spread and all five teams
won outright.
Conversely, a 10 - point
win would cover the 7.5 - point
spread, indicating that San Diego outperformed expectations and «played well»
against Jacksonville.