"Winter rainfall" refers to the precipitation, such as rain or snow, that occurs during the winter season.
Full definition
The model projects a continued decline
in winter rainfall throughout the rest of the 21st century, with significant implications for regional water resources.
«Previous studies have raised the possibility that the recent decline in
winter rainfall over southwest Western Australia (SWWA) is related to the concurrent upward trend in the southern annular mode (SAM).
The spatial extent, intensity and location of atmospheric river (AR) landfall are well reproduced by the RCMs, as is the fraction
of winter rainfall from AR days.
---- , and T. Cowan, 2006: SAM and regional rainfall in IPCC AR4 models: Can anthropogenic forcing account for southwest Western Australian
winter rainfall reduction?
In addition, the pattern of sea surface temperatures at low latitudes is extremely important for regional climate variations (shown, for example, by the increased likelihood of
heavy winter rainfall in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms in El Niño events).
That a warmer world is likely to lead to
increased winter rainfall, particularly intense periods of rainfall, over the UK, comes from well understood science.
That is still the case with regard to the
observed winter rainfall decline since about 1970 although, to be precise, I would now add:» however, we can not rule out the possibility that that the enhanced greenhouse effect has contributed to the decline.»
«If
less winter rainfall has the impact we hope to demonstrate in this experiment, that's going to have some pretty major ramifications for the whole of the Australian industry in terms of yield, productivity and maintenance of productivity,» said McCarthy, lead researcher at the South Australian Research and Development Institute (SARDI).
But the fact remains that they are distinct, showing that rising global ocean surface temperatures directly influence
UK winter rainfall.
«The link between ARs and flooding is already well established, so an increase in AR frequency is likely to lead an increased number of heavy
winter rainfall events and floods.
The pair used data
on winter rainfall collected during the 1980s and climate - predicting computer models to extrapolate future rain - on - snow patterns across the Northern Hemisphere.
Changes in fall -
winter rainfall from observations (top panel) as compared to model simulation of the past century (middle panel), and a model projection of the middle of the 21st century.
Some of the predicted impacts of climate change include: increased variability in both monsoon and
winter rainfall patterns; increases in average temperatures, with warmer winters; increased salinity in coastal areas; weakening ecosystems; the recession of glaciers in the Himalayas; and increased frequency and / or severity of extreme weather events (floods, cyclones, and droughts).
In the Northern Tablelands of NSW, which has enjoyed its best season in 10 years following
good winter rainfall, corporates such as Rifa Salutary, the Australian arm of China's Zhejiang Rifa Holding Group, purchased two huge prime agricultural properties south of Tamworth for about $ 55 million.
«Observations and climate projections indicate that California's climate is warming, with
more winter rainfall instead of snow, earlier snow melt, and decreases in spring and summer stream flows.
The same modelling suggests there could be 40 per cent more water flowing from tributaries into the Thames by 2080, due to
higher winter rainfall.
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Record winter rainfall, a mild spring, a scorching summer and a serious labor shortage are -LSB-...]
«
Total winter rainfall, although useful as a benchmark, is not the direct cause of flood damage, so we are working with collaborators, such as the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, to explore the implications of our results for river flows, flooding and ultimately property damage.»
For significant periods of time, the reconstructed large - scale changes in the North Pacific SLP field described here and by construction the long - term decline in
Hawaiian winter rainfall are broadly consistent with long - term changes in tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) based on ENSO reconstructions documented in several other studies, particularly over the last two centuries.
Potentially more worrying, the 2015/2016 floods appear to be part of a trend over recent decades for more frequent
extreme winter rainfall events.
He said there were no signs that Perth's once -
abundant winter rainfall would return any time soon, and even a small drop in rainfall had huge knock - on effects for the region.
So back in 2006, the trail seemed to be closing on anthropogenic climate change in the Antarctic and associated changes in southern hemisphere circulation (SAM) as being responsible for the decline in SW
WA winter rainfall.
Finds this reduction in
winter rainfall along with an absence of very wet months led to a greater reduction in streamflow across the region than would be anticipated based on the 12 % reduction in mean annual rainfall alone
18 Dry - Summer Subtropical Marine West Coast Humid Subtropical Between 25º and 40º latitude on the eastern side of the continent Summer = hot, sultry Winter = wild NC climate Dry - Summer Subtropical Between 30º & 45º latitude
Strong winter rainfall Only found in California Marine West Coast Between 40º and 65º N / S on the coastal area Summer = cool Winter = mild Northern California to Southern Alaska
The observed winter SAM trend, though not statistically significant, accounts for two thirds of the
observed winter rainfall reduction.»
Colin Kelley of the University of California, Santa Barbara, and his colleagues analysed Syrian weather data since 1931, and found steadily
less winter rainfall, which is crucial for crops, and higher temperatures, which dry soils faster.
Jeff Knight said: «Our analysis shows that climate change likely did make a contribution to the record rainfall in 2013 - 14 through a long - term increase in
UK winter rainfall that is not associated with changing weather patterns.
Some of the predicted impacts of climate change include: increased variability in both monsoon and
winter rainfall patterns; increases [continue reading...]
The wetter conditions will also bring flooding to regions that have already undergone record floods due to
heavy winter rainfall, such as the lower Great Lakes region, the Ohio River Valley and parts of the Mississippi Valley.
Participating researchers said, in the course of the study, they had noticed «a strengthening trend
of winter rainfall (between 1964 - 2006) and summer rainfall (between 1938 - 2006) and weakening monsoon rain (1960 onwards).
In south - west Australia, however, a 15 % decrease has been observed
in winter rainfall on very wet days (Hennessy et al., 1999; Haylock and Nicholls, 2000).
Winter rainfall was generally above average, and although September was unseasonably warm and dry in New South Wales and Queensland, good rainfall occurred in October.
Our study therefore showed that the main factor driving increased future phosphorus losses was the projected increase in
winter rainfall.»
One of the most striking signals of change emerged over Australia, where a long - term decline in fall and
winter rainfall has been observed over parts of southern Australia.
NOAA scientists have developed a new high - resolution climate model that shows southwestern Australia's long - term decline in fall and
winter rainfall is caused by increases in humanmade greenhouse gas emissions and ozone depletion, according to research published today in Nature Geoscience.
Colin Kelley of the University of California, Santa Barbara, and his colleagues analysed Syrian weather data since 1931, and found that
the winter rainfall that is crucial for crops has steadily declined.