Q5 (b) Where is the empirical evidence to support the theory that [North Atlantic cooling] is leading to «some recovery of the Barents Sea
winter sea ice area... in the short term».
Steven — I reserve the right to bring it up again if you introduce something along the lines of «some recovery of the Barents Sea
winter sea ice area may occur in the short term» into the conversation again.
In 2017, maximum
winter sea ice area, measured each March, was the lowest ever observed.
Where is the empirical evidence to support the theory that «the ocean heat content of the N Atlantic is dropping», which is leading to «some recovery of the Barents Sea
winter sea ice area... in the short term,».
Not exact matches
Due to global warming, larger and larger
areas of
sea ice melt in the summer and when
sea ice freezes over in the
winter it is thinner and more reduced.
The
area of the Arctic Ocean covered by
sea ice usually hits its
winter peak in early to mid-March, as the freeze season ends with the re-emergence of the sun above the horizon.
The record - low
winter maximum doesn't necessarily herald a record low end - of - summer minimum come September, as summer weather patterns have a large effect on
sea ice area.
During
winter, each pump would be capable of building an additional layer of
sea ice up to 1 meter thick over an
area of about 100,000 square meters, or about the size of 15 soccer fields, the researchers estimate in the January issue of Earth's Future.
Those high temperatures have kept Arctic
sea ice to record low levels; the Arctic looks to see a record low
winter maximum
sea ice area for the third year in a row.
In the autumn adult krill migrate from offshore and continental shelf
areas to inshore habitats where they remain through
winter under the protective cover of
sea ice [4].
The
sea ice that caps the Arctic Ocean naturally waxes and wanes with the seasons, reaching its maximum
area at the end of
winter, before the reemergence of the sun in spring starts off the melt season.
The
area covered by
sea ice in the Arctic hit record lows through the
winter of 2017.
For example, few data are available for the polar
winter, and it is not known whether aragonite - undersaturated
areas decrease in size with the seasonal freezing of
sea ice.
Rather than projecting out to the mid-twenty-first century, it is clear that the Arctic Ocean already has crossed a threshold with open water during the summer and first - year
sea ice during the
winter covering more than 50 percent of its
area.
However, the idea is simple, and I've talked about this much in many presentations this
winter: Take the amount of
ice you need to get rid of from Greenland to raise
sea level 2 m in the next century, reduce it by your best estimate of the amount that would be removed by surface mass balance losses, and try to push the rest out of the aggregate cross-sectional
area of Greenland's marine - based outlet glaciers.
There are only two limited
areas where the
winter ice edge can vary substantially — the North Atlantic and Bering
Sea.
This residual is a logical consequence of there still being
sea ice growth in the
winter, and a significant
area of
ice at the end of the summer.
Here we demonstrate that the decrease in autumn Arctic
sea ice area is linked to changes in the
winter Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation that have some resemblance to the negative phase of the
winter Arctic Oscillation.
The September
ice area is predicted to be comparable to 2009 based on
winter (Jan - Feb - Mar)
sea level pressure anomalies over the Kara and Laptev
Seas.
Then it said «If the general positive trend in Atlantic heat input remains,
winter cooling will likely be insufficient to produce
ice over an increasing
area, leading to further «Atlantification» of the Barents
Sea.»
The greater Pan-Arctic
winter was mostly cloudier, but without a great deal of precipitation in the CAA Arctic Basin
area, this made the
sea ice even thicker during wind storms.
«By doing it 100 times, which is something of course we can't do with the real world, they were able to generate statistics that showed the extra cold
winters in Asia were twice as likely to occur when they put reduced
sea ice in the Barents - Kara Sea, as compared to when there was lots of ice in that area.&raq
sea ice in the Barents - Kara
Sea, as compared to when there was lots of ice in that area.&raq
Sea, as compared to when there was lots of
ice in that
area.»
OSLO / WASHINGTON
Winter sea ice on the Arctic Ocean covered the second smallest
area on record this year, part of a thaw that is opening the region to shipping and oil exploration and may be disrupting weather far to the south, scientists said on Friday.
The
area of the Arctic Ocean covered by
sea ice naturally waxes and wanes with the seasons, reaching its peak at the end of
winter and its nadir at the end of summer, usually in mid-September.
Arctic
sea ice in March reached a new record low: the
area of frozen ocean at the height of
winter on 7 March reached a new maximum low for the third year running, according to NASA scientists.
Fishing for Antarctic krill near to the Antarctic continent is expected to become more common during
winter months in
areas where there is less
winter sea ice.
The bright white central mass shows the perennial
sea ice, which is just the multi-year
ice that has survived at least one summer, while the larger light blue
area shows the full extent of the
winter sea ice including the average annual
sea ice during the 2012 months of November, December and January.
The
ice retreat in the East Siberian
Sea will be late compared with the last year because the area is covered by thicker ice piled up by the winter convergence of sea i
Sea will be late compared with the last year because the
area is covered by thicker
ice piled up by the
winter convergence of
sea i
sea ice.
Sea levels are rising (ask the Mayor of Miami who has spent tax monies to raise road levels), we've had 15 of the hottest years eve measured, more precipitation is coming down in heavy doses (think Houston), we're seeing more floods and drought than ever before (consistent with predictions), the oceans are measuring warmer, lake
ice in North America is thawing sooner (where it happens in northern states and Canada), most glaciers are shrinking, early spring snowpacks out west have declined since the 1950's, growing seasons are longer throughout the plains, bird
wintering ranges have moved north, leaf and bloom dates recorded by Thoreau in Walden have shifted in that
area, insect populations that used to have one egg - larva - adult cycle in the summer now have two, the list goes on and on.
https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/asl2.423 «In recent years,
winter westerly winds over the Beaufort
Sea and summer anticyclonic circulation over the Arctic toward the Fram Strait have contributed to accelerated decreases in sea ice over areas east of Europe and north of Alas
Sea and summer anticyclonic circulation over the Arctic toward the Fram Strait have contributed to accelerated decreases in
sea ice over areas east of Europe and north of Alas
sea ice over
areas east of Europe and north of Alaska.
This
sea ice loss is what set up the weather pattern mentioned above that steered Sandy into the US Northeast, as well as extreme cold last
winter in other
areas.
For both summer and
winter Arctic
sea -
ice, the
area coverage is declining at present (with summer
sea -
ice declining more markedly; ref.
By late
winter (August - September), the typical extent of
sea ice around Antarctica is about 19 106 km2, i.e. more than twice the
area of Australia, and more than the
area of Arctic
sea ice.
This is not because there was not thicker
winter sea ice near Iceland (there was), but because that was more than compensated by
sea ice losses in less accessible
areas so that overall
sea ice extent declined in that period (albeit, slowly):
The exception is the higher latitudes, where land
areas warm relatively faster in boreal summer in high - end models, but
sea ice areas show varying differences in boreal
winter.
The observed effects of cryosphere reduction include modification of river regimes due to enhanced glacial melt, snowmelt advance and enhanced
winter base flow; formation of thermokarst terrain and disappearance of surface lakes in thawing permafrost; decrease in potential travel days of vehicles over frozen roads in the Arctic; enhanced potential for glacier hazards and slope instability due to mechanical weakening driven by
ice and permafrost melting; regional ocean freshening;
sea - level rise due to glacier and
ice sheet shrinkage; biotic colonisation and faunal changes in deglaciated terrain; changes in freshwater and marine ecosystems affected by lake -
ice and
sea -
ice reduction; changes in livelihoods; reduced tourism activities related to skiing,
ice climbing and scenic activities in cryospheric
areas affected by degradation; and increased ease of ship transportation in the Arctic.
Anderson (Norwegian Space Center); 4.1; Statistical Prediction is based on the relationship between melting and freezing in the Arctic by comparing
winter maximum
sea ice area with the summer minimum
sea ice area.
Arctic
sea ice covered a smaller
area last
winter than in any
winter since records began.