Then came the Tories» stunningly popular welfare reforms,
with Labour voters cheering as feckless families were forced to look for work.
Lib Dem voters broadly agree
with Labour voters in rejecting deeper spending cuts, but are even keener than the Tories in opposing tax cuts that add top borrowing.
«So up and down the country, Ukip can do as well
with Labour voters as it can with former Tories.
Differential turnout,
with Labour voters less likely to turnout both in safe seats and in unwinnable seats.
His net satisfaction rating
with Labour voters is at +2, down from +17 in December, before which it had been falling gradually from +57 when he first became leader.
THE Remain campaign's biggest worry right now is that it isn't doing well enough
with Labour voters.
If the No camp is serious about winning this vote, it needs to actively think of ways to engage
with Labour voters and this needs to happen sooner rather than later.
Those who are more likely to mention this issue include those aged 65 + (41 %) and Conservative voters (36 %) compared
with Labour voters and those aged 18 - 24 (both 18 %).
You're told that your seat, which you only just managed to win last time, has just taken in three weighty wards packed
with Labour voters.
If I'd have been on your side would have made this about Cameron much more, that would have helped
with Labour voters.
Not exact matches
These prompted him in 2008 to write to Gordon Brown, then Prime Minister and
Labour Leader, warning that
Labour must be wary of losing touch
with its roots and alienating the country's six million Catholic
voters.
This is worth bearing in mind when you see the countless vox - pop interviews
with working class
voters who used to support
Labour, saying they feel the party's MPs are nothing like them.
Historically this has played to
Labour's advantage
with each party «lending»
voters to the other to win marginal seats.»
Emerging serious divisions within the
Labour Party and his strategy of positioning the party on the hard left will not play well
with swing
voters.
Endean, who is standing for Ukip in Plymouth, retweeted an image of rescued migrants
with the caption: «
Labour's new floating
voters.
Some saw his comments as dog whistle politics, whilst others saw it as
Labour engaging
with the issues that
voters care about.
I think you can avoid this
with (i) a primary election day for all parties where
voters have to choose which party to vote for OR (ii) a
Labour - only primary election day where people who want to vote have to register first.
A recent YouGov poll broadcast on Newsnight last week, provided compelling evidence of a national and non-partisan dislike of banking,
with no variation between
Labour, Liberal Democrat and Tory
voters.
The people Nuttall is hoping to target — long - term
Labour voters who're dissatisfied
with the current state of affairs and looking for change — are unlikely to feel particularly fondly about his reheated Thatcherism.
At the end of last month Ed Miliband had net personal ratings of -46 % according to YouGov
with 68 % of
voters saying he is «doing badly» as leader of the
Labour party.
Of the 634
voters it spoke to who ranked
Labour as their first preference, 49 % said they would prefer a minority government, compared to 30 % who wanted to see a coalition
with the Liberal Democrats.
Yet, despite all this,
Labour is ahead in the polls and has been for the best part of two years, thanks to the realignment of Lib Dem
voters unhappy
with the coalition.
New
Labour figures believe any move to the left makes the party unelectable, but many figures in the party think
voters need a decisive break
with the past if they are to put their faith in
Labour again.
Worryingly for
Labour, which spent considerable energy highlighting Mr Cameron's alleged problem
with women, the majority of female
voters now prefer the prime minister, by 40 % to 38 %.
This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence of the polls — local authorities appear to contain more Leave
voters if there was a large vote for UKIP there in the 2014 European elections, if there was a small vote for parties of the «left» (
Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places
with relatively low proportions of graduates, young people, and people from an ethnic minority background.
It essentially became pointless
with the introduction of FPTP for all seats, before that many seats used Block Voting and there were alliance slates in places (in some, Liberals, Nat Libs and Cons all put up one candidate each to
LAbour's two; evidence was a lot of Lib
voters supported
Labour with second vote, but Tory and Nat Lib
voters split all over the place).
The intervention signifies a distinct shift in thinking in the
Labour high command, as party officials see a key opportunity for Mr Miliband to get a rare hearing
with voters.
Or, will the EU referendum teach these
voters that opposition to the EU membership is incompatible
with support for the
Labour Party?
«The Balls intervention perhaps highlights how there may be a range of different political responses to arguments about how and why part of
Labour's electoral defeat was that it struggled
with middle income, and particularly C2
voters, over issues like crime, welfare and immigration.»
He needs to get the
voters to trust
Labour with the economy again, just as Brown did.
The new leader will now make a concerted effort to woo disillusioned northern
Labour voters by painting Jeremy Corbyn and his London - based allies as out of touch
with ordinary working people.
In an interview
with The Herald yesterday, the Witney MP acknowledged the Tories had «let down people in Scotland», saying the current choice for
voters was between
Labour and the Liberal Democrats, who are now running things, or the SNP.
Labour lost because they: a) broke manifold electoral promises b) lied shamelessly to the people and parliament c) engaged in industrial - scale corruption and lame cover - up d) wilfully enraged their newest supporters e) eschewed democracy at every opportunity f) treated the electorate like idiots g) alienated a vast constituency of
voters with strong personal interest in the well - being of our servicemen h) inherited the most benign of economies and recklessly maxed out the public debt i) devoted inordinate time and effort to policies based on immature class war antics j) engaged in open internal dissent while being too cowardly to take any definitive action k) offered a wholly negative electoral campaign Unless confidence is restored in these areas,
Labour will continue to be despised.
In contrast, of the 65 % of 2010
Labour voters who voted NO in the referendum, 75 % stayed
with Labour in 2015, while only 13 % voted SNP.
This group of
voters became dissatisfied
with the Westminster government during the Thatcher era, felt forgotten by New
Labour, and voted Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) en - masse in the 2011 Scottish Parliament election.
«At a time when Britain is led by a government which appears unable to recognise, let alone overcome, the enormous challenges facing it,
Labour needs to be outward - looking, united and engaged
with the issues that matter to
voters,» said Progress.
In a recently published paper, we show that an important part of the explanation is that the Social Democrats have become unable to reconcile the demands of two groups of
voters that have traditionally sup - ported them: on the one hand
labour market «outsiders,» who have insecure jobs or no jobs at all; on the other hand
labour market «insiders»
with stable employment.
As
with the 35 % of 2010
Labour voters in Scotland who voted «yes» to independence, the
Labour Party currently offers little to the 27 - 33 % of 2015
Labour voters in Britain who want to leave the EU.
Brexit is in some respects an even more potent issue for them because it brings together a wider group of the electorate,
with pro-EU Conservatives and
Labour voters wondering how to reverse the march towards the cliff's edge.
It seems odd that the
Labour Party would choose this issue, of all things, on which to be so totally inflexible and to pick a fight
with its
voters.
But the collapse of UKIP demonstrated,
with many
voters turning to
Labour, that the problem was more fundamental.
However, I predict that
Labour's unwillingness to engage
with a left - wing Euroscepticism could lead to the alienation of the roughly one - quarter to one - third of
Labour voters who oppose British EU membership, leading many of them to turn away from the party at the next general election.
Instead of mucking in
with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots -
Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing
voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.
The Conservatives are also seen as the safest pair of hands to manage the economy overall,
with 40 per cent of
voters thinking that the Conservatives are the best party for the UK economy, compared to 31 per cent who say
Labour is.
The proposals, which formed the centrepiece of Miliband's final autumn conference pitch to
voters, were met
with a standing ovation from
Labour party members.
Cat Smith's suggestion that demographics are on
Labour's side — because individuals turning 18 are statistically likely to be leftwing, whereas Tory
voters are mainly pensioners — was greeted
with derision, but I was sat on that same panel and it wasn't the only thing she said.
Perhaps unsurprisingly then, the Conservative Party is seen as particularly good for big business,
with 34 per cent of
voters favouring their approach over
Labour's.
«You know Boris Johnson and Michael Gove are very divisive
with old
Labour voters in Rotherham.
People who disagree
with the coalition (some Lib Dem
voters) swear that they will vote for
Labour at the next election.
Now,
with Labour scrambling around trying to find a way to win back
voters, you are just as likely to hear someone on the left talking about cutting back benefits or the need to limit immigration as you are a Conservative or right - wing paper.