The obsession
with average sea level rise compared with other coastal hazards (increases in water levels driven by storms as well as tsunamis) is a good illustration of how the focus on climate change is distorting assessments of risks and hazards.
For the planet's sea level, this would mean over a half - foot rise averaged around the globe, in comparison
with average sea levels from 1986 to 2005.
Not exact matches
With rates of
sea -
level rise along parts of the nation's Eastern seaboard increasing three to four times faster than the global
average, experts are working to mitigate the effects by identifying threats, organizing collaboration among governments and organizations, as well as examining better...
With rates of
sea -
level rise along parts of the nation's Eastern seaboard increasing three to four times faster than the global
average, experts are working to mitigate the effects by identifying threats, organizing collaboration among governments and organizations, as well as examining better communication techniques.
The findings were not a total surprise,
with future projections showing that even
with moderate climate warming, air temperatures over the higher altitudes increase even more than at
sea level, and that, on
average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state.
«Within the next 15 years, higher
sea levels combined
with storm surge will likely increase the
average annual cost of coastal storms along the Eastern Seaboard and the Gulf of Mexico by $ 2 billion to $ 3.5 billion,» the report says.
There is the same problem
with averages on
sea -
level rise and flooding, he said.
The first predications of coastal
sea level with warming of two degrees by 2040 show an
average rate of increase three times higher than the 20th century rate of
sea level rise.
But in terms of the frequency of these kinds of storms, we have strong evidence that storm surge will increase (on
average)
with sea level rise.
If Earth were a perfect sphere, perfectly uniform in density and covered to a uniform depth
with ocean, the geoid — a word coined by geologists to refer to an imaginary plane located at the
average level of the
sea's surface — would be a perfect sphere as well.
«When we modeled future shoreline change
with the increased rates of
sea level rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as usual» scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an
average 16 - 20 feet of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an
average of nearly 60 feet of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.
With a volume of more than 700,000 cubic miles and an
average thickness of 4,000 feet, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) holds enough water to raise
sea levels by 15 to 20 feet — and it is already sweating off 130 billion tons of ice per year.
Even under a more moderate scenario where greenhouse gas emissions peak in 2040, 100 - year extreme
sea levels could increase by 57 centimeters, or nearly 2 feet, on
average, by the end of the century,
with these events occurring every few years, according to study's authors.
With higher
levels of carbon dioxide and higher
average temperatures, the oceans» surface waters warm and
sea ice disappears, and the marine world will see increased stratification, intense nutrient trapping in the deep Southern Ocean (also known as the Antarctic Ocean) and nutrition starvation in the other oceans.
That in turn can suppress
sea levels in a way they would not be suppressed under
average conditions or
with an El Niño, she said.
Third, using a «semi-empirical» statistical model calibrated to the relationship between temperature and global
sea -
level change over the last 2000 years, we find that, in alternative histories in which the 20th century did not exceed the
average temperature over 500-1800 CE, global
sea -
level rise in the 20th century would (
with > 95 % probability) have been less than 51 % of its observed value.
The
average flood height increased by about 4 feet in New York between the two time periods and
with continued warming, larger and more extreme storms along
with even higher
sea level is likely to cause more frequent and intense flooding.
Going back even further to the age of the dinosaurs, life flourished in a time of high CO2 and generally warm
average temperatures
with high
sea levels.
Sibetan village is 400 - 600 m above the
sea level,
with the
average temperature of 20º - 30º C. Its
average rainfall is 1.567 mm - 20.000 mm per year.
At present the «Kona Coffee Belt» — an area extending about 22 miles long and two miles wide from North Kona through South Kona at elevations of between 700 ′ to 2400 ′ above
sea level — is home to more than 650 coffee farms
with an
average size of about 5 acres.
At approximately 1400 meters above
sea level, Monteverde is cold,
with an
average yearly temperature of 18 degrees Celsius / 64.4 degrees Fahrenheit
«These new results indicate that relative
sea levels in New Zealand have been rising at an
average rate of 1.6 mm / yr over the last 100 years — a figure that is not only within the error bounds of the original determination, but when corrected for glacial - isostatic effects has a high
level of coherency
with other regional and global
sea level rise determinations.
«suggesting that Arctic warming will continue to greatly exceed the global
average over the coming century,
with concomitant reductions in terrestrial ice masses and, consequently, an increasing rate of
sea level rise.»
a base value
sea -
level rise of 0.5 m relative to the 1980 — 1999
average be used, along
with an assessment of potential consequences from a range of possible higher
sea -
level rise values.
As the ice melted, starting around 20 000 years ago,
sea level rose rapidly at
average rates of about 10 mm per year (1 m per century), and
with peak rates of the order of 40 mm per year (4 m per century), until about 6000 years ago.»
For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly
with global
average temperature change, the upper ranges of
sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m. Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for
sea level rise.
This approximation (very) closely tracks
sea -
level rise from 1880 to 2000 by assuming that the rate at which height increases is a strict linear function of the temperature
with a straight
averaging of the calculated rate for a period from 15 years before to the point in time for which height is being calculated (i.e., the embedding period).
For example, the latest (fifth) assessment report from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projects that the global
average sea level rise over the course of the 21st century would be in the range of 10 to 32 inches,
with a mean value of about 19 inches.
Since 1850, CO2
levels rose, as did the «globally and annually
averaged land and
sea surface temperature anomaly» (for what it's worth), but nobody knows whether or not the increase in CO2 had anything whatsoever to do
with the warming.
The authors noted, Antarctica is projected to become almost ice - free
with an
average contribution to
sea -
level rise exceeding 3 m per century during the first millennium.
In fact, since then, greenhouse gas emissions have continued to rise, and accordingly global
average temperatures have steadily increased, along
with sea levels.
«
With cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice - free with an average contribution to sea - level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.&ra
With cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice - free
with an average contribution to sea - level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.&ra
with an
average contribution to
sea -
level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.»
Hansen refers to them in this way «They identified eight episodes of large iceberg flux,
with the largest flux occurring ∼ 14 600 years ago, providing evidence of an Antarctic contribution to Meltwater Pulse 1A, when
sea level rose an
average of 3 — 5 m century − 1 for a few centuries (Fairbanks, 1989).»
Over the long - term, melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could yield as much as 10 to 14 feet of global
average sea level rise,
with local
sea level rise varying considerably depending on land elevation trends, ocean currents and other factors.
The global
average sea level has already risen by about eight inches since 1901,
with up to another two and a half feet of
sea level rise possible by 2100, according to the most recent projections from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
As the Earth warms and
sea level rises, it is inundated
with seawater, which is 12 - 15 degrees warmer than the
average air temperature.
It's an inland salt desert a bit below
sea level with annual
average rainfall between 1 and 3 inches making it one of the dryest places in the world.
As you are aware there are major local variations from the global pattern,
with coastal land in some regions sinking faster than the
average and in other regions being uplifted
with respect to mean
sea level.
Under the IPCC Business As Usual emissions scenario, an
average rate of global mean
sea level rise of about 6 cm per decade over the next century (
with an uncertainty range of 3 — 10 cm per decade).
The carbon fee would be an insurance policy aimed at rapidly dropping the emissions blamed
with increasing the
average temperature of the world's land and atmosphere, which are linked by scientists to increased melting of glaciers and icecaps and rising
sea levels that pose a direct threat to south Louisiana, he said.
For the time interval during the LIG in which GMSL was above present, there is high confidence that the maximum 1000 - year
average rate of GMSL rise associated
with the
sea level fluctuation exceeded 2 m kyr — 1 but that it did not exceed 7 m kyr — 1.
The
sea level high - stand was associated
with the so - called Climatic Optimum or the Holocene Optimum, during 8000 to 4000 BC when
average global temperatures reached their maximum
level during the Holocene and were warmer than present day.
At the onset of the deglaciation, a ~ 500 - year long, glacio - eustatic event may have contributed as much as 10 m to
sea level with an
average rate of about 20 mm / yr... RSL (relative
sea level) records indicate that from ~ 7 to 3 ka, GMSL likely rose 2 to 3 m to near present - day
levels.
It is arguably one of the most advanced of the seven in its impacts,
with a 2011 GRL report putting its warming effect as equivalent to around 30 % of atmospheric anthro - CO2, and the recent report putting albedo loss from arctic
sea - ice decline since»79 as providing a forcing equivalent on
average to that from 25 % of the anthro - CO2
levels during the period.
This change in
sea level occurred in the context of different orbital forcing and
with high latitude surface temperature,
averaged over several thousand years, at least 2 °C warmer than present.
Global
average sea levels have risen by around 3.2 mm per year since satellite measurements began in 1993, the report says,
with sea levels around 67 mm higher in 2014 than they were in 1993.
Their 0.2 mm / yr figure is taken to be consistent
with an observed total
sea level rise of 1.6 mm / yr from JASON - 1 and 2, but global
averages from those satellites indicate a rise of about 2.5 mm / yr over the same period.
As he pointed out, a dominant unforced contribution to surface warming relative to forced trends would be expected to be accompanied by a trend of declining OHC, which is inconsistent
with the observed trends
averaged over the past half century as evidenced by mixed layer temperature measurements and
sea level rise.
New estimates show that
sea level rise is expected to hit the Golden State hard,
with levels rising by an
average of six inches, and possibly up to one foot by 2030 alone.
By 2100 much of Europe faces severe coastal flooding and
sea level rise
averaging over 50 centimetres, even
with stringent greenhouse gas cuts, scientists say.