Not exact matches
But, what typically happens in this cycle, is interest rates start to accelerate, leading credit
spreads — essentially the gap between how much more of a return
bonds provide compared
with US treasuries — to compress.
In this regard, our surveillance has been closely monitoring for any signs of liquidity strains associated
with the recent increases in
spreads for high - yield corporate
bonds, as well as for idiosyncratic events affecting particular funds in this segment, such as the events surrounding the abrupt closing of Third Avenue Management's Focused Credit Fund last December.
Ten - year Italian
bond yields have risen 17 basis points to 4.55 percent, since the news of an uncertain outcome
spread on Monday but the Italian treasury is going ahead
with a sale of 6.5 billion euros ($ 8.5 billion) of 5 and 10 - year
bonds on Wednesday.
Bonds due in 2018 and won by BofA were «aggressively» priced
with a 1.64 percent yield that narrowed Illinois»
spread over Municipal Market Data's benchmark triple - A yield curve to 70 basis points from 100 basis points ahead of the sale, Greg Saulnier, a MMD analyst, said.
BofA won
bonds due in 2029
with a yield of 3.78 percent, which slightly increased the
spread over the scale to 165 basis points from 163 basis points, according to MMD, a unit of Thomson Reuters.
So unlike in the corporate -
bond model, dealers don't deal
with compressed position limits by widening
spreads.
Nobody is really talking about it but,
with the Fed tightening this week amid rising corporate
bond spreads, Ray Dalio's 1937 analog continues to rhyme.
The yield on the U.S. 10 year Treasury
bond recently hit 9 - month highs and the 2s10s
spread widened on news of the Bank of Japan trimming its long - dated
bond buying program and questions around China's ongoing purchase of U.S. Treasuries (USTs)
with its foreign - exchange reserves.
One of the best economic indicators, the yield curve or the
spread between short and long - term
bonds remains in positive territory,
with the long - term much higher than the short.
Only
with bonds it's even harder to create a diversified portfolio using individual
bonds on your own unless you (a) have a large amount of capital (typically
bonds are sold in lots of $ 10,000 or $ 100,000) and (b) know how to trade
bonds on the open market (transaction costs can be larger for
bonds than stocks because of the
spreads and lack of liquidity).
His theory has been distilled by others and
spread widely to the public as something akin to the following: An investment portfolio should be a balance between publicly - traded stocks and
bonds, starting
with a ratio of 70:30, transitioning away from stocks and into
bonds as the investor gets older.
By contrast, in Australia there has been no noticeable widening of risk
spreads in the corporate
bond market over the past year, and credit has been easily available from intermediaries,
with no reports of significant changes in banks» lending attitudes.
What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks in the world, along
with all the land and other assets for sale, in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging at less than 1 % interest cost?
-- Goethe What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks in the world, along
with all the land and other assets for sale, in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging at less than 1 % interest cost?
Higher transaction costs Due to a typically large
spread between bid and offer prices, and higher transaction costs associated
with less liquid securities, trading high yield
bonds can be costly.
Both funds
spread your investments out among corporate
bonds and U.S. government
bonds with various maturities.
Takeaway 2: In talks
with people I seriously respect, I found more concern about valuations and
spreads in the
bond market than about valuations in the stock market.
The resulting increase in corporate
bond issuance has pushed up swap
spreads,
with the
spread on US 10 - year (bank / government) swaps, for example, recently at its highest level for several years (Graph 7).
With the exception of the very front end of the yield curve, Canadian government
bond yields declined, as did
spreads on investment grade corporate
bonds.
This is inaccurate, because there are other factors which combine
with credit risk to make up the «
spread premium» that other types of
bonds have over treasuries.
The continuing low level of government
bond yields has supported the search for yield that has been evident over the past couple of years,
with the
spread between yields on US government debt and yields on both corporate and emerging market debt remaining around historical lows over the past three months (Box B).
Consistent
with this,
spreads between corporate
bond yields and swap rates have moved much more in line
with CDS than have
spreads between corporate
bonds and CGS.
Banks are now forced to create and hide leverage off balance sheet (e. g. new «synthetic CDO» frauds and leveraged buyouts (LBOs)
with outrageously high EBITDA ratios) in order to generate returns sufficient to pay employees when that is not available in the
spreads associated
with well - balanced
bond sales.
For example, based on our analysis using J.P. Morgan index data, the EMBIG index's 7.25 percent performance in 2014 is owed to a -0.35 percent
spread return combined
with a 7.6 percent Treasury return, as U.S. rates dropped significantly (remember that when interest rates fall,
bond prices rise, and vice versa).
Within this space financial institutions
with exposure to Catalonia such as CaixaBank and Banc de Sabadell will be the ones to benefit the most and, in particular, their subordinated
bonds spreads are the most likely to tighten as they are most sensitive to news.
The
spread between 10 - year
bond yields and the cash rate is currently around 45 basis points, compared
with more than 100 basis points on average over the past decade (see the chapter on «Assessment of Financial Conditions»).
Major equity markets have risen further, and appetite for risk has increased,
with spreads on corporate and emerging market
bonds falling to levels not seen for several years.
Bond CFDs are over-the-counter products
with a price established by Saxo Bank as the Futures market
spread plus a fixed mark - up.
With the cash rate up by 50 basis points in late 2003 and yields on 10 - year
bonds down a little over recent months, the
spread has narrowed since early November to stand at around 50 basis points (Graph 67).
There is good rationale as to why the
bond markets are in the position they are today; compressed
spreads are the result of low rates coupled
with strong demand out pacing supply for yield assets.
The following chart, taken from the paper, compares the stock -
bond correlation (blue), the credit
spread (green) and the federal funds target rate (red) over the entire sample period,
with the latter two series scaled up by a factor of ten to facilitate comparison.
We favor a more even yield - curve exposure today (
with positions across maturities) and a more defensive (higher - quality) credit profile — as volatility and heightened credit concerns could lead to significantly wider
spreads in the high - yield -
bond market.
This is a sacred time for meeting, connecting to and
bonding with each other, so unplug from your phone and computer, and have someone else in charge of
spreading the exciting news and taking pictures.
We need to stop
spreading lies that mothers will automatically
bond with their baby because we don't need moms to feel bad if that doesn't happen for them.
When paint is first
spread on
with a brush, the carbon atoms jump into action by
bonding with oxygen in the atmosphere.
«I think it caught on, probably because, A, it's very close to what we already have in terms of the word vomit, so it was easily accessible linguistically and then, B, it already fit in
with a cultural perception»
spread through works like the «Satyricon,»
Bond said.
Unlike romantic dating where you stand quite inhibited and feel shy to
spread out up and you're always being scrutinized and also have to meet expectations, in situation of friendship dating, you are able to mingle
with a potential partner freely and freely, without getting to visit overboard
with attempting to impress along
with a beautiful
bond could be produced fast as friendship dating is growing rapidly straight forward.
With credit
spreads tight (i.e. a sign that
bonds are expensive) and U.S. equity valuations still stretched, investors may consider lightening up on their portfolio insurance, but they should not abandon it.
In a classic
bond ladder, Bob would buy a range of
bonds with maturity dates that are
spread out evenly across different years.
In contrast, a
bond issued by a smaller company
with weaker financial strength typically trades at a higher
spread relative to Treasuries.
With the note against
bond spread (NOB), the position a futures trader will take depends upon their perception of the yield curve.
The note against
bond spread (NOB) gives traders and investors a means
with which to play anticipated changes in the yield curve.
I learned from a dear friend of mine who manages high yield at Dwight Asset Management (one of the largest fixed income management shops that you never heard of), that
with high yield
bonds,
spreads over Treasuries aren't the most relevant measure for riskiness of the
bonds.
Once
spreads get really wide, the cycle can resume when those
with strong balance sheets can tuck
bonds away and realize a modest return in the worst scenario, if they just buy - and - hold.
Bond spreads have moved up significantly this year,
with a sell - off this past week.
I learned from a dear friend of mine who manages high yield at Dwight Asset Management (one of the largest fixed income management shops that you never heard of), that
with high yield
bonds,
spread...
Bond yield spreads are very highly correlated with the implied volatilities of stocks, and the yield spreads on bond indexes are highly correlated with the implied volatility on broad market equity indexes, like the
Bond yield
spreads are very highly correlated
with the implied volatilities of stocks, and the yield
spreads on
bond indexes are highly correlated with the implied volatility on broad market equity indexes, like the
bond indexes are highly correlated
with the implied volatility on broad market equity indexes, like the VIX.
This leads the corporate
bond market default in tandem
with rising credit default swaps
spreads.
Yield blindness or stated another way, the insatiable search for yield coupled
with the low supply of higher yielding
bonds has kept many weaker credits including Illinois from seeing higher
spreads.
The
spread is even higher when it is compared
with Pan Asian
bonds, as tracked by the S&P Pan Asia
Bond Index.