One of the most striking changes is the decline of sea ice concurrent
with changes in atmospheric circulation and increased surface air temperature.
El Niño events consist — very broadly — of an area of warm water in the equatorial Pacific coupled
with changes in atmospheric circulation.
Something that goes along
with this change in atmospheric circulation is reduced sea ice in the region (while sea ice in Antarctica has been increasing on average, there have been significant declines off the West Antarctic coast for the last 25 years, and probably longer).
Not exact matches
Tropical widening is associated
with several significant
changes in our climate, including shifts
in large - scale
atmospheric circulation, like storm tracks, and major climate zones.
«But on top of that,
changes in atmospheric circulation can favor particular weather conditions associated
with heat waves.»
At that time,
changes in atmospheric - oceanic
circulation led to a stratification
in the ocean
with a cold layer at the surface and a warm layer below.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain,
with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts
with atmospheric circulation patterns, such as Arctic sea ice loss,
changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
The team analyzed an index of sea surface temperatures from the Bering Sea and found that
in years
with higher than average Arctic temperatures,
changes in atmospheric circulation resulted
in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North America.
There are strong competing effects such as
changes in the large - scale
atmospheric circulation, sea surface temperature
changes like El Niño and La Niña and the dynamics of westerly storm tracks that all interact at the mid-latitudes,» said Stanford co-author Matthew Winnick who contributed to the study
with fellow doctoral student Daniel Ibarra.
They were Jorge Sarmiento, an oceanographer at Princeton University who constructs ocean -
circulation models that calculate how much
atmospheric carbon dioxide eventually goes into the world's oceans; Eileen Claussen, executive director of the Pew Center for Global Climate
Change in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist
with the University of Calgary
in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the global warming problem.
The El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycle refers to a fluctuation between unusually warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) waters
in the tropical Pacific,
with associated
changes in atmospheric circulation (the Southern Oscillation)(Figure 2 - 5).
-- The El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycle refers to a fluctuation between unusually warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) waters
in the tropical Pacific,
with associated
changes in atmospheric circulation (the Southern Oscillation)(Figure 2 - 5).
«It's important to determine where we believe that some of the recent trends
in circulation could potentially be linked
with climate
change, rather than just natural variability,» Ted Shepherd, an
atmospheric scientist at the University of Reading
in the U.K., said
in an email.
The top priorities should be reducing uncertainties
in climate sensitivity, getting a better understanding of the effect of climate
change on
atmospheric circulation (critical for understanding of regional climate
change,
changes in extremes) and reducing uncertainties
in radiative forcing — particularly those associated
with aerosols.
Hoerling and Kumar (2003) attributed the drought to
changes in atmospheric circulation associated
with warming of the western tropical Pacific and Indian oceans, while McCabe et al. (2004) have produced evidence suggesting that the confluence of both Pacific decadal and Atlantic multi-decadal fluctuations is involved.
The lag between decreases
in sea ice extent during late summer and
changes in the mid-latitude
atmospheric circulation during other seasons (when the recent loss of sea ice is much smaller) needs to be reconciled
with theory.
Trying to infer
changes in atmospheric circulation from that data would be a very tricky business — but until know, that's what oceanographers have been stuck
with — and the system could use a lot of expansion.
A measure of the difference
in sea level pressure between the western (e.g., Darwin, Australia) and central / eastern (e.g., Tahiti) equatorial Pacific, representative of the east - west
changes in atmospheric circulation associated
with the El Nino / Southern Oscillation phenomenon.
Some of these
changes have a regularity within broad limits and the planet responds
with a broad regularity
in changes of ice, cloud, Atlantic thermohaline
circulation and ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
However, if the loss of Arctic Sea ice has significantly
changed global
atmospheric circulation patterns, then we are dealing
with a different system that has only been
in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
Exceptions could occur
in areas
with the smallest reductions of extreme cold
in western North America, the North Atlantic and southern Europe and Asia due to
atmospheric circulation changes.
This thesis presents the results of several general
circulation model simulations aimed at studying the effect of ocean
circulation changes when they occur
in conjunction
with increased
atmospheric trace gas concentrations.
That, combined
with the
change in location of the convection, cause drastic
changes in global
atmospheric circulation patterns.
A large decrease
in atmospheric CH4 concentrations (several tens of parts per billion; Spahni et al., 2003) reveals the widespread signature of the abrupt «8.2 ka event» associated
with large - scale
atmospheric circulation change recorded from the Arctic to the tropics
with associated dry episodes (Hughen et al., 1996; Stager and Mayewski, 1997; Haug et al., 2001; Fleitmann et al., 2003; Rohling and Palike, 2005).
Some of these control variables have a regularity within broad limits and the planet responds over decades to millennia
with a broad regularity
in changes of ice, cloud, Atlantic thermohaline
circulation and ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
Francis, who wasn't involved
with either study, is one of the main proponents of an idea that by altering how much heat the ocean lets out, sea ice melt and Arctic warming can also
change atmospheric circulation patterns,
in particular by making the jet stream form larger peaks, or highs, and troughs, or lows.
When many causes all interact — and abrupt climate
change candidates include the thermohaline
circulation, the
atmospheric circulation associated
with the North Atlantic Oscillation,
changes in tropical evaporation, and
changes in albedo — the human mind needs some help.
The first point to dispense
with is the reference to Sections 3.2.2.7 and 3.6.4
in support of the claim that «the locations of greatest socioeconomic development are also those that have been most warmed by
atmospheric circulation changes.»
It has been established experimentally that, at ca 4.0 ka BP, there occurred a global
change in the structure of
atmospheric circulation, which coincided
in time
with the discharge of glacial masses from Greenland to North Atlantic and a solar activity minimum.
Precipitation
changes might be significant
in particular localities, especially where precipitation is affected by
atmospheric circulation changes, as seems recently to have been the case
with southern Scandinavian glaciers (Oerlemans, 1999).
The most interesting feature is the step
change in cloud — associated
with a
change in ocean and
atmospheric circulation —
in the 1998/2001 climate shift.
We conclude that
changes in atmospheric circulation amplified the solar signal and caused abrupt climate
change about 2,800 years ago, coincident
with a grand solar minimum.
Sea ice
with its strong seasonal and interannual variability (Fig. 1) is a very critical component of the Arctic system that responds sensitively to
changes in atmospheric circulation, incoming radiation,
atmospheric and oceanic heat fluxes, as well as the hydrological cycle1, 2.
A shift
in atmospheric circulation in response to
changes in solar activity is broadly consistent
with atmospheric circulation patterns
in long - term climate model simulations, and
in reanalysis data that assimilate observations from recent solar minima into a climate model.
This polar amplification is thought to be due largely to
changes in sea ice,
with some contributions from
changes in snow cover,
atmospheric and ocean
circulation, cloud cover and the presence of soot.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component
in predictability studies of both regional and global climate
change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO
with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes
in coupled climate models is an important «open question
in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations
in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate
change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future
changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus
in changes in either mode also affects confidence
in projected
changes in the overlying
atmospheric circulation.»»
Here we use an ensemble of simulations
with a coupled ocean — atmosphere model to show that the sea surface temperature anomalies associated
with central Pacific El Niño force
changes in the extra-tropical
atmospheric circulation.
This section documents regional
changes and slow fluctuations
in atmospheric circulation over past decades, and demonstrates that these are consistent
with large - scale
changes in other variables, especially temperature and precipitation.
Clouds
change — associated
with changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation —
in the short term and radically
change the energy budget.
The main modulating influence on tropical cyclone activity
in the western North Pacific appears to be the
changes in atmospheric circulation associated
with ENSO, rather than local SSTs (Liu and Chan, 2003; Chan and Liu, 2004).
Cloud is one — https://judithcurry.com/2011/02/09/decadal-variability-of-clouds/ — cloud cover obviously
changes with changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
Identifies
changes in occurrence of
atmospheric circulation patterns by measuring the similarity of the cool - season
atmospheric configuration that occurred
in each year of the 1949 — 2015 period
with the configuration that occurred during each of the five driest, wettest, warmest, and coolest years
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can
change or reverse
in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated
with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player
in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration
with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random
atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova
in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along
with Milankovitch Cycles.
In both GOGA and TOGA simulations, the surface temperature over sea ice can respond to both prescribed sea ice and simulated
atmospheric circulation changes, which explains differences
with observations
Independent evidence from multiple sources suggest — if «real» — that recent warming was all cloud
changes associated
with decadal
changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
The seasonal climate may relate to
changes in the ocean
circulation pattern prior to 4.6 Ma that resulted
in an increased temperature and
atmospheric pressure gradient between the east coast of North America and the Atlantic Ocean, but this climate phase seems to be only a temporary condition, as underlying and overlying sediment are both consistent
with drier conditions.
Nevertheless, even relatively steady
changes in the
atmospheric circulation may prove important for understanding past and future abrupt climate
change if such
changes are coincident
with large horizontal gradients
in surface climate.
Loeb (2012) shows that large
changes in the Earth's energy balance at top of atmosphere occur
with changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
Wang et al. (2012b) force the dynamical core of an
atmospheric general
circulation model
with warming
in the tropical troposphere that mimics the effects of climate
change there.
Climate models disagree
in pattern and magnitude of projected
changes in atmospheric circulation and climate variability, particularly for precipitation (e.g.,
with respect to the Indian and West African monsoons).