Boundary - forcing owing to sea - ice loss and more expansive snowcover can interact constructively
with climatological large - scale waves to enhance wave activity and increase energy transfer from the troposphere to the stratosphere, which can trigger a SSW and weaken the SPV.
Readers who are familiar
with the climatological literature may recognize the data above as representing the mass balance of glaciers around the world.
Are they data that show trends consistent
with his climatological expectations?
For the earlier generation of models, results are based on the archived output from control runs (specifically, the first 30 years, in the case of temperature, and the first 20 years for the other fields), and for the recent generation models, results are based on the 20th - century simulations
with climatological periods selected to correspond with observations.
Not exact matches
Stoy and Long hope that scientists more steeped in tornado and
climatological knowledge will take their results and run
with them to find what might be behind the shift, including the possibility that global warming is playing a role.
Y2K summary statements from the NCDC and the WMO brim
with other
climatological oddities and arcana.
Dr. Keener is a Research Fellow at the East - West Center and is also the Lead Principal Investigator of the Pacific Regional Integrated Sciences & Assessments (Pacific RISA) program, and earned a PhD in Agricultural & Biological Engineering from the University of Florida, specializing in hydro -
climatological research dealing
with the effects of climate variability.
A recent study has mined
climatological data to come up
with a new explanation for the rapid spread of the disease — it wasn't black rats, after all, who spread the germ via their fleas, but gerbils, taking advantage of a warm and wet spell to run amok.
I would strongly suggest that meteorological and
climatological professional associations work
with ANSI and NOAA (and possibly
with Congress) about getting some legal standards set, and getting support to meet those standards.
[Response: There are a couple of issues here — first, the number of ensemble members for each model is not the same and since each additional ensemble member is not independent (they have basically the same
climatological mean), you have to be very careful
with estimating true degrees of freedom.
They include lack of adequate spatial sampling to leave instrumental noise as the major term, transcription errors which may be avoided
with modern automation and inhomogeneities which dedicated
climatological networks in some parts of the world have made strides in overcoming.
That needs a real
climatological station network, rather than making do
with the meteorological network.
With respect to Mr. Best's post, which I may be unfairly implying is a good example, one of the fallacious but clever debate manipulations utilized by CC deniers and (way too many) lukewarmers is to focus relentlessly (often inaccurately) on
climatological research frontiers such as climate sensitivity, or relations between evaporation, cloudiness, and global albedo.
An engineer familiar
with large, complex models, in contrast, has the background in modeling to ask modeling questions that are independent of
climatological detail.
The normalised RMS error shown is a so - called space - time statistic, computed from squared errors, summed over all 12
climatological months and over the entire globe,
with grid cell values weighted by the corresponding grid cell area.
The problem
with the ECMWF winter seasonal forecasts has been the specification of
climatological sea ice.
In doing so, they fail to recognize the important distinction between the operational hurricane forecasting problem (a classical initial value problem) and the boundary value problem addressed in KT04, where one is concerned
with the maximum hurricane intensity that is possible for a given set of largescale environmental conditions (i.e., a
climatological or statistical distribution of maximum intensities).
Obviously this would not be a day - by - day forecast, more like saying how these months would relate to their
climatological averages, e.g. warmer than average, wetter than average, etc, along
with some probability of that.
There are multiple studies associating extreme precipitation events
with waterborne disease outbreaks and strong
climatological evidence for increasing frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events in the future.
The preceding examples of scrupulously - computed, passionately - believed
climatological cycle - science (along
with dozens more!)
The difference in the
climatological mean June - July - August ocean heat content as measured by the depth of the 20 °C isotherm (in meters) overlaid
with corresponding differences in ocean heat transport vectors (W / m) between two numerical climate models
with slightly different bathymetries.
They did get one thing right though
with this quote: «We are dependent on
climatological events that are beyond our control.»
The idea of gaining climate inferences from the NWS
Climatological Data network is not realistic without a careful examination of each stations exposure history Thank the fire weather people for the RAWS network
with little pavement, heated buildings or night - lights in their view shed.
The March 2018 PCIC Update includes the following stories: 2017 in
Climatological Context, Applying the Updated VIC Model to New Regions, Engagement
with First Nations Communities and Engineers, New Projects, Staff Profile on Dr. Faron Anslow and the Pacific Climate Seminar Series, as well as staff changes and publications.
Foraminiferal or molluscan calcite dO18 can thus change
with no change in SST, leading to mistaken derivations of T when a standard method is applied across the
climatological boundary.
If Gavin Schmidt at realclimate doesn't delete your comments outright he'll tell you that he's got no time for people
with an unscientific attitude (meaning skeptics) and points you to his collection of 800 AGW papers, all building on top of each other,
with Bristlecone pine tree ring data and the
climatological variant of statistics as the rock - solid foundation.
This neglect is rife throughout the
climatological literature dealing
with recent climate warming.
Although the regions largely coincide
with the continents rather than
climatological criteria, the annual mean temperature averaged over these regions explains 90 % of the global mean annual temperature variability in the instrumental record»
Climate projections have been remarkably difficult to constrain by comparing the simulated
climatological state from different models
with observations, in particular for small ensembles
with structurally different models.
Seventh Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Control in
Climatological Databases jointly organized
with the Meeting of COST ES0601 (HOME) Action MC Meeting Budapest, Hungary, 24 - 27 October 2011
# 166 Willis Eschenbach Parker compares daily windy or calm data
with the smoothed
climatological data to calculate the anomolies.
Comparison
with previous years» rates and
climatological averages of year ranges are assessed to yield a most likely range.
Climatological OLR at a particular location obviously varies with «climatological Ts», but it isn't a direct measure of how well a model reproduc
Climatological OLR at a particular location obviously varies
with «
climatological Ts», but it isn't a direct measure of how well a model reproduc
climatological Ts», but it isn't a direct measure of how well a model reproduces dOLR / dTs.
If one looks at analyses of other
climatological variables, it is invariably the case that one team's uncertainty range will not overlap
with another's.
How can anyone compare these early readings
with contemporary
climatological data?
The SurfaceStations project was a crowd sourcing project started in June 2007, done entirely
with citizen volunteers (over 650), created in response to the realization that very little physical site survey metadata exists for the entire United States Historical
Climatological Network (USHCN) and Global Historical
Climatological Network (GHCN) surface station records worldwide.
CAMS station surface air temperature anomalies for the globe
with respect to the 1971 - 2000
climatological base period.
This investigation extends the previous cloud cover correlations
with solar activity galactic cosmic ray flux utilizing the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR); a high - resolution
climatological reconstruction of North America and surrounding areas (Mesinger et al. 2006).
There are no direct measurements of solar radiation on
climatological time scales, but a variety of circumstantial evidence suggests that longer - term variations do occur, perhaps
with larger amplitudes than those found in the two most recent eleven - year Schwabe cycles.
Other studies have indicated that synoptic scale changes in cloud cover are more likely correlated
with regional
climatological modes or oscillations rather than GCRs (Laken et al. 2012a).
The problem is that whatever temperature signal they carry is of questionable resolution, and is commingled
with whatever myriad of other factors that influence coral growth rates, or the relative populations of differing microfauna, or Isotope ratios in dissolved gases trapped in ice, or the growth rate of trees... None of these issues would lead any rational person to view the application of these proxies in determining
climatological fluctuations on the order of fractions of a degree celsius annually.
Models
with more expansive
climatological Hadley cells tend to warm this region less or not at all, and tend to have relatively lower climate sensitivities.
Models
with excessively narrow
climatological Hadley cells tend to warm this region more and tend to have higher climate sensitivities.
The process for calculating temperature averages over a region starts
with calculating, at each location, the difference in each time period (day, month, year) between the temperature at a location and that location's
climatological average for a standard 1961 — 1990 reference period.
What all of this «data» leaves out is the tree - ring minima and ice core acidity peaks that, when integrated
with other regional and global
climatological events stretching back, at the very least, to 4375 BCE, present a picture of some kind of cyclical, apparently cosmically induced climate cycle.
With an active hurricane season predicted, might be interesting for a sociological model based on this premise to be overlaid onto a
climatological model.
A plain language statement at the start and the end would certainly have helped those of us
with precious little
climatological training.
2015 Mattingly, K.S., J.T. McLeod, J.A. Knox, J.M. Shepherd, and T. L. Mote, 2015: A
climatological assessment of Greenland blocking conditions associated
with the track of Hurricane Sandy and historical North Atlantic hurricanes.
The 30 - y period 1951 — 1980
with relatively stable climate is sufficiently long to define a
climatological temperature distribution, which is near normal (Fig. 9, Left), yet short enough that we can readily see how the distribution is changing in subsequent decades.
Updated information about ice extent in this region indicates substantial ice retreat in the eastern Barents and the Kara Seas, where ice is now well below
climatological extent (Figure 5),
with little change in the Greenland Sea and Fram Strait region, where the ice edge is within the decadal mean range except for the southernmost stretches shown in Figure 5.