Sentences with phrase «with cumulative carbon emissions»

Not exact matches

The United States is the second biggest emitter of carbon dioxide worldwide (and has contributed, with Europe, 52 % of the share of cumulative carbon emissions since industrialization).

A global warming target is converted to a fossil fuel emissions target with the help of global climate - carbon - cycle models, which reveal that eventual warming depends on cumulative carbon emissions, not on the temporal history of emissions [12].

It's a big job, but it's one that has to be done anyway, since if the whole world tries to pull itself into prosperity by burning carbon at the rate the US does, then we run out of coal even at the highest estimates by 2100, and you wind up with no fossil energy and the hellish climate you get from 5000 gigatonnes cumulative emission.

The bottom line is, there is only one scenario with a good chance of averting irreversible climate change: one that caps global cumulative industrial - era carbon emissions at under one trillion tons.

Solomon argues that «long - term temperature change remains primarily associated with total cumulative carbon emissions, owing to [their] much longer atmospheric residence time.»

«With cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice - free with an average contribution to sea - level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.&raWith cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice - free with an average contribution to sea - level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.&rawith an average contribution to sea - level rise exceeding 3 meters per century during the first millennium.»

Our analysis combines published relationships between cumulative carbon emissions and warming, together with two possible versions of the relationship between warming and sea level, to estimate global and regional sea - level commitments from different emissions totals.

Solomon argued a couple of years ago that cumulative carbon emissions are the best way of assessing climate risk, since they avoid problems such as time lags that mess with other measures, such as atmospheric concentrations.

Projections of long - term committed SLR as a function of cumulative carbon emissions, with 66 % CIs, assuming (triggered case) or not assuming (baseline case) that eventual collapse of the WAIS is already inevitable.

Shown are three idealized Co2 emission paths (a) each consistent with total cumulative emissions (b) of 1 trillion tonnes of carbon -LSB-...]

This is a serious problem in itself, but a more fundamental problem with the emission budget concept seems to be more - or-less unexplored: Do cumulative carbon emission budgets have a sound scientific foundation?

Armed with our model ensemble projection, a temperature limit (2 °C), exceedance likelihood (33 %) and our «one model, one vote» ensemble interpretation, we find the cumulative carbon emission where approximately 33 % of our modeled realizations have warmed more than 2 °C.

Abstract Recent estimates of the global carbon budget, or allowable cumulative CO2 emissions consistent with a given level of climate warming, have the potential to inform climate mitigation policy discussions aimed at maintaining global temperatures below 2 ° C.

This ends up changing estimates of cumulative carbon emissions since the pre-industrial period, but given the large uncertainties involved the authors caution against using these revisions to draw conclusions about remaining carbon budgets associated with staying within the 2C or 1.5 C warming targets.

Studies surveyed Millar, R. et al. (2017) Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 C, Nature Geophysics, doi: 10.1038 / ngeo3031 Matthews, H.D., et al. (2017) Estimating Carbon Budgets for Ambitious Climate Targets, Current Climate Change Reports, doi: 10.1007 / s40641 -017-0055-0 Goodwin, P., et al. (2018) Pathways to 1.5 C and 2C warming based on observational and geological constraints, Nature Geophysics, doi: 10.1038 / s41561 -017-0054-8 Schurer, A.P., et al. (2018) Interpretations of the Paris climate target, Nature Geophysics, doi: 10.1038 / s41561 -018-0086-8 Tokarska, K., and Gillett, N. (2018) Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5 C global warming, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0118-9 Millar, R., and Friedlingstein, P. (2018) The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2016.0449 Lowe, J.A., and Bernie, D. (2018) The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2017.0263 Rogelj, J., et al. (2018) Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 C, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0091-3 Kriegler, E., et al. (2018) Pathways limiting warming to 1.5 °C: A tale of turning around in no time, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rstaCumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5 C global warming, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0118-9 Millar, R., and Friedlingstein, P. (2018) The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2016.0449 Lowe, J.A., and Bernie, D. (2018) The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2017.0263 Rogelj, J., et al. (2018) Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 C, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0091-3 Kriegler, E., et al. (2018) Pathways limiting warming to 1.5 °C: A tale of turning around in no time, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rstacumulative emissions, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2016.0449 Lowe, J.A., and Bernie, D. (2018) The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2017.0263 Rogelj, J., et al. (2018) Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 C, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0091-3 Kriegler, E., et al. (2018) Pathways limiting warming to 1.5 °C: A tale of turning around in no time, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi: 10.1098 / rsta.2016.0457

«The proportionality of warming to cumulative emissions depends in part on a cancellation of the saturation of carbon sinks with increasing cumulative emissions (leading to a larger airborne fraction of cumulative emissions for higher emissions) and the logarithmic dependence of radiative forcing on atmospheric CO2 concentration [leading to a smaller increase in radiative forcing per unit increase in atmospheric CO2 at higher CO2 concentrations; Matthews et al. (2009)-RSB-.

As fossil - based power generation is replaced with wind and solar power, cumulative carbon emissions from centralized power facilities will be greatly reduced.

I may have misunderstood something, but looking at the 2 °C curve I couldn't see how the cumulative emissions fit with the 50 % chance of 2 °C carbon budget from the Synthesis report.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2013 estimated that cumulative carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and cement production — from 1750 to 2011 — was about 365 billion metric tonnes as carbon (GtC), with another 180 GtC from deforestation and agriculture.

But they have not been doing so at a rate consistent with keeping cumulative carbon emissions low enough to reliably stay below the international target of less than 2 degrees Centigrade of global warming.

Overall the G8 pathway has cumulative carbon dioxide emissions (2012 — 2100) of 1,485 Gt CO2 for fossil fuels, and 125 for LUCF, with an additional 45 GtCO2 after 2100 assuming continued exponential decline.

This appears to me to comport with the «IEO2011 Reference case projects about 1 trillion metric tons of additional cumulative energy - related carbon dioxide emissions between 2009 and 2035» that you cited in # 143, which clearly states CO ₂ in the sentence.

Primary energy demand until 2035, from «Facing China's Coal Future», figure 1, page 7, Increases in carbon emissions by fuel type for regions with highest absolute emissions growth, 2008 - 2035 from IEO2011, figures 115, page 143, and «Cumulative carbon dioxide emissions by region», figure 116, also on page 143, same link as above.

The most useful article for the reader unfamiliar with the literature is probably, «Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne.»