Not exact matches
Obviously,
with a
cyclical asset you will find losses and the widest spread between price and financial operating metrics because a trough occurs in a
bear market of declining product prices.
As the guys at Nautilus Capital note,
cyclical bull markets within secular
bears have tended to average just 26 months,
with an average gain of 85 %, while
cyclical bears within secular
bears have averaged 19 months,
with steep average losses of -39 %.
There were
cyclical bear markets in 1977 and 1981 - 2 (both ~ 20 % drops in senior indexes), and in 1994 (DJI / SPX fell less than 10 %, but small caps were down 25 % + after the huge small cap bull cycle in 1991 - 3) and 1998 (over 20 % drop in SP in 4 months,
with LTCM failure the final chord).
Predicted values of hip score over smoothed splines of absolute day
born show a definite
cyclical pattern (figure 4)
with scores elevated in winter and reduced in summer.
For more on the terrestrial foods topic, see my detailed discussion in this previous post, and this recent (March 30) ScienceNews report on yet another, largely anecdotal «polar
bears resort to bird eggs because of declining sea ice» story (see photo below, based on a new paper by Prop and colleagues), which was also covered March 31 at the DailyMail («Polar
bears are forced to raid seabird nests as Arctic sea ice melts — eating more than 200 eggs in two hours,»
with lots of hand - wringing and sea ice hype but little mention of the fact that there are many more
bears now than there were in the early 1970s around Svalbard or that the variable,
cyclical, AMO (not global warming) has had the largest impact on sea ice conditions in the Barents Sea).
The inflow of foreign
born labor into construction is
cyclical and coincides
with the overall housing activity.