Sentences with phrase «with emissions trajectories»

Carbon Tracker introduced the concept of stranded assets to get people thinking about the implications of not adjusting investment in line with the emissions trajectories required to limit global warming.

The domestic mitigation effort is defined so as to match the rapid decline needed to put the EU on course toward 90 % reductions relative to 1990 levels by 2050, consistent with the emission trajectory for Annex I countries presented in Figure 3 above.

This is most clearly demonstrated by the fact that global CO2 emissions have now been flat for three years, which is greatly at odds with every emissions trajectory from the fossil fuel industry or major modelling institutions like the IEA or US EIA.

Not exact matches

If carbon emissions continue on their current trajectory, with global temperatures rising by 2.6 C to 4.8 °C by 2100, applications could increase by 188 percent, leading to an extra 660,000 applications filed each year.

This compares with a business - as - usual trajectory of a 35 percent increase in emissions over the next four years.

«Lower emissions» are in line with Paris agreement targets; «higher emissions» represent current, business - as - usual trajectories.

It's put climate change leaders in a variety of key positions, made climate change a priority in initiatives in departments and agencies, revitalized the US Global Change Research Program and other interagency efforts, working with other major emitting countries, both industrialized and developing, to build technology cooperation and individual and joint climate policies consistent with avoiding the unmanageable, and is working with Congress — and this is the toughest part really — working with Congress to get comprehensive energy and climate legislation that will put us on a responsible emissions trajectory.

As we discussed recently in connection with climate «forecasting `, the kinds of simulations used in AR4 are all «projections» i.e. runs that attempt to estimate the forced response of the climate to emission changes, but that don't attempt to estimate the trajectory of the unforced «weather».

When you look at real world scenarios, including studies that look at actual trajectories in emissions compared with the cuts needed for 2 degrees (see, for example, figure SPM.5, left panel or the very influential Peters et al 2012 article) a totally different picture emerges.

On the overarching question of «solving» the climate problem, I'm sure Joe would agree that global warming is inevitably going to be, at best, managed — not «fixed» — given the trajectories for emissions in a world inexorably headed toward roughly nine billion people seeking energy - enabled lives and with substantial warming already in the pipeline, according to a heap of research.

I had a recent phone chat with Susan Solomon of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration about the CO2 challenge in the face of emissions trajectories like those in the oil companies» reports.

In the New Policies Scenario, the world is on a trajectory that results in a level of emissions consistent with a long - term average temperature increase of more than 3.5 °C.

Maybe the rich nation seeking an offset could offer to pay the difference between clean and dirty so that it isn't simply building new infrastructure with no (simple direct) impact on emissions trajectories, although that seems stingy somehow.

(My issue with carbon pricing is simply the lack of evidence that anyone, anywhere, is willing to set a price that would meaningfully influence emissions trajectories.)

We take the concept of remaining committed emissions developed in Steve's 2010 paper with Caldeira and Matthews and work out the trajectory of that value for the global power sector each year over the past 60 years (the earlier paper reported the value for only a single recent year).

But I do agree with the Breakthrough point that an overemphasis on current events as the reason to pursue the decades - long task of shifting global greenhouse emissions trajectories can backfire, and in more ways than they describe.

He said the targets were in line with a long - term trajectory for emissions that scientists had defined as avoiding the worst risks, but only if all countries — including emerging economic powers among developing countries — did their part, as well.

In the near term, federal policy could: i) level the playing field between air captured CO2 and fossil - fuel derived CO2 by providing subsidies or credits for superior carbon lifecycle emissions that account for recovering carbon from the atmosphere; ii) provide additional research funding into air capture R&D initiatives, along with other areas of carbon removal, which have historically been unable to secure grants; and iii) ensure air capture is deployed in a manner that leads to sustainable net - negative emissions pathways in the future, within the framework of near - term national emissions reductions, and securing 2 °C - avoiding emissions trajectories.

One emissions trajectory compatible with 2C (thick black line) and various rates of conventional mitigation considered in the study (coloured lines).

In addition to the text of the proposed rule, EPA issued a Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Clean Power Plan, 4 along with numerous technical supporting documents and fact sheets.5 In October 2014, EPA issued a notice of data availability, which provided discussion and solicited additional comment on several topic areas, including the 2020 - 29 compliance trajectories.6 Also in October 2014, EPA issued a supplemental proposal to address carbon pollution from affected power plants in Indian Country and U.S. territories.7 In November 2014, EPA issued an additional technical support document providing examples of how a state could translate its rate - based goal into an equivalent mass - based goal, expressed in metric tons of CO2.8 In November 2014, EPA also issued a memo addressing biogenic CO2 emissions from stationary sources that explicitly relates this topic to the implementation of the Clean Power Plan.9

Indeed, his core objection appears to be with technology fixes in general, or the conviction that any bit of technological derring - do — be it a high - efficiency photovoltaic cell or a low - emissions vehicle — will be sufficient to nudge the planet from unpleasant trajectories like global warming.

The chart above illustrates potential CO2 emission trajectories under EMF 27 full technology scenarios8 targeting a 2oC pathway (Assessed 2oC Scenarios) relative to the 2018 Outlook, and baseline pathways (Assessed Baseline Scenarios) with essentially no policy evolution.

If the overall cap for any year is set below the level of emissions last year, on a downward trajectory compatible with stabilizing concentrations at a safe level, reserving some credits for new entrants would force other firms to bid for fewer permits, raising prices and increasing the number of mitigation activities that are worth undertaking.

Stated another way, ignoring climate change allowed Blue to ignore the need to compare his company's greenhouse - gas - emissions trajectory with what the science tells us must be done to retain a recognizable climate.

On the basis of realistic emission trajectories — we should probably expect the lower limit of projections — and that with great uncertainty.

We've released already about 300 GTn of carbon, business as usual estimates are about 1600 GTn of carbon released by 2100 with business - as - usual emission trajectories and some feedbacks.

First, the complicated models that develop emissions scenarios don't seem to be necessary for forcing the climate models; simply specifying a value of CO2 concentration (with the other greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosol) at 2100 along with a simple time trajectory is sufficient to force the climate model.

«To bend the emissions curve and put the world on a trajectory in line with the Paris Agreement we need to radically reduce the amount of fossil fuels we burn and investors have a crucial role to play in that.

Finally, it should be noted that socioeconomic hypotheses associated with the lower emission trajectories (such as the one commented upon by Tim Worstall) imply a greatly increased use of nuclear and fossil fuels, especially cooal and natural gas, and the share of renewable sources reaching much less than the «80 %» claimed by the recent «renewable energy» IPCC report.

In figure 1, we calculated the warming trajectories not only for emission pathways with zero emissions floors, but also for pathways with non-zero floors.

The 15 emission trajectories are created by combining three possible pathways, shown here in black, with five possible emissions floors, shown here in coloured solid lines, as outlined in § 2a.

The main purpose of the first phase (development of the RCPs) is to provide information on possible development trajectories for the main forcing agents of climate change, consistent with current scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallel phase.

The science - based targets approach is in line with the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report which calls for a global emission trajectory to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius.

This puts emissions on a long - term trajectory consistent with stabilizing the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere at around 650 parts per million CO2 equivalent, suggesting a long - term temperature rise of over 3.5 [degrees Celsius].»

- The 2 °C Scenario (2DS) lays out an energy system pathway and a CO2 emissions trajectory consistent with at least a 50 % chance of limiting the average global temperature increase to 2 °C by 2100.

This means the Commission now has 12 months to devise a strategy for aligning the EU's emissions trajectory to 2050 with the Paris Agreement, and hence that the process has been set in train that could ultimately at some point in the next three to five years lead to an EU - ETS cap aligned with the objective of restricting the increase in the average global temperature to «well below 2 °C».

Indeed, we estimate that the extra tightening of the EU - ETS cap required to align with a Paris - compliant EU - wide trajectory for 2030 and beyond would require incremental emissions reductions of 1.6 Gt over 2021 - 30 versus our base - case scenario under the current cap.

«The trajectory of our voluntary commitment shows very clearly that we are reducing emissions much more than many developed countries... We came here to positively move the process forward to ensure we come out of Paris with an enhanced climate regime.»

How would the resulting emissions trajectory compare with the trajectory that is likely to be set by policy - makers as part of a purely cap - and - trade approach?

Its main message — largely missing from news reports and blogs alike — is that carbon emissions interact with a wide range of other factors, from volcanic activity to El Niño weather patterns, in determining the trajectory of global temperatures.

Given current emissions trajectories, there is a chance that the temperature increase by 2100 could be near 6oC.21 The last time Earth exhibited a global mean temperature that high, what are now sagebrush grasslands in the southwestern Wyoming and Utah were covered by subtropical, closed canopy forests interspersed with open woodlands (Townsend et al., 2010), reminiscent of subtropical areas in Central America today.

Mixing wind and solar even with coal - fired generation would be incentivised as long as it fits with as the emissions reduction trajectory.

The USA has to accelerate its reductions in emissions even to stay on track with the inertia trajectory.

GHG emission trajectories that are consistent with the goal of keeping global warming below 1.5 or 2ºC, translate into a global carbon budget that represents a de-facto emissions cap for the whole economy.

But the cut in the warming trajectory was far sharper for a switch to energy sources with near - zero emissions — such as nuclear, wind, or solar energy.

However, according to CAN Europe the lacklustre compromises reached between the major political groups have done little to repair the broken scheme or align Europe's emissions trajectory with the global temperature goals it committed to under the Paris Agreement.

This new study shows how we can massively increase action on land use — in tandem with increased action on energy, transport, finance, industry and infrastructure — to put emissions on their downward trajectory by 2020.

As we discussed recently in connection with climate «forecasting `, the kinds of simulations used in AR4 are all «projections» i.e. runs that attempt to estimate the forced response of the climate to emission changes, but that don't attempt to estimate the trajectory of the unforced «weather».

The Golden Rules Case puts CO2 emissions on a long - term trajectory consistent with stabilising the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse - gas emissions at around 650 parts per million, a trajectory consistent with a probable temperature rise of more than 3.5 degrees Celsius (°C) in the long term, well above the widely accepted 2 °C target.