July 2016 marks the 40th consecutive July
with global ocean temperatures at least nominally above the 20th century average.
Not exact matches
The Tibetan Plateau in China experiences the strongest monsoon system on Earth,
with powerful winds — and accompanying intense rains in the summer months — caused by a complex system of
global air circulation patterns and differences in surface
temperatures between land and
oceans.
The models must track how carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases cycle through the whole system — how the gases interact
with plant life,
oceans, the atmosphere — and how this influences overall
global temperatures.
The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of
global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in
temperatures, combined
with acidification of the
oceans.
The ability of the
oceans to take up carbon dioxide can not keep up
with the rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which means carbon dioxide and
global temperatures will continue to increase unless humans cut their carbon dioxide emissions.
Rising
global temperatures portend shifts in all these
ocean currents, potentially
with drastic consequences, says Albert Gabric, an environmental scientist at Griffith University in Brisbane.
Ocean Only: The global ocean surface temperature for the year to date was 0.99 °F (0.55 °C) above average, tying with 2010 as the second warmest such period on record, behind only
Ocean Only: The
global ocean surface temperature for the year to date was 0.99 °F (0.55 °C) above average, tying with 2010 as the second warmest such period on record, behind only
ocean surface
temperature for the year to date was 0.99 °F (0.55 °C) above average, tying
with 2010 as the second warmest such period on record, behind only 1998.
As
temperatures increase
with global warming, more icebergs disintegrate in the
ocean, creating a noisier environment
«Atlantic / Pacific
ocean temperature difference fuels US wildfires: New study shows that difference in water
temperature between the Pacific and the Atlantic
oceans together
with global warming impact the risk of drought and wildfire in southwestern North America.»
«The mounting evidence is coalescing around the idea that decades of stronger trade winds coincide
with decades of stalls or even slight cooling of
global surface
temperatures, as heat is apparently transferred from the atmosphere into the upper
ocean,» Linsley said.
The researchers paired MIT's
global circulation model — which simulates physical phenomena such as
ocean currents,
temperatures, and salinity —
with an ecosystem model that simulates the behavior of 96 species of phytoplankton.
With records dating back to 1880, the
global temperature across the world's land and
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was 0.75 °C (1.35 °F) higher than the 20th century average of 15.6 °C (60.1 °F).
With ENSO - neutral conditions present during the first half of 2013, the January — June global temperature across land and ocean surfaces tied with 2003 as the seventh warmest such period, at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century aver
With ENSO - neutral conditions present during the first half of 2013, the January — June
global temperature across land and
ocean surfaces tied
with 2003 as the seventh warmest such period, at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century aver
with 2003 as the seventh warmest such period, at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century average.
Surface
temperature is only a small fraction of our climate
with most of
global warming going into the
oceans.
To remove this difference in magnitude and focus instead on the patterns of change, the authors scaled the vertical profiles of
ocean temperature (area - weighted
with respect to each vertical
ocean layer)
with the
global surface air
temperature trend of each period.
«The other carbon dioxide problem», «the evil twin of
global warming», or part of a «deadly trio», together
with increasing
temperatures and loss of oxygen: Many names have been coined to describe the problem of
ocean acidification — a change in the
ocean chemistry that occurs when carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere dissolves in seawater.
With the contribution of such record warmth at year's end and with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29
With the contribution of such record warmth at year's end and
with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29
with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the average
global temperature across land and
ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29 °F).
Not surprisingly, given that the surface
ocean is responsible for much of atmospheric warming,
ocean warming and
global surface air
temperatures vary largely in phase
with one another.
With its mention of the
ocean and the pursuit to reduce
global warming to well below 2, even 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial
temperatures, the agreement adopted by all 196 parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Paris on December 12, 2015, is appreciated by scientists present at the negotiations.
The rise in
global sea levels has accelerated since the 1990s amid rising
temperatures,
with a thaw of Greenland's ice sheet pouring ever more water into the
oceans, scientists said this week.
At that point in geological history,
global surface
temperatures were rising naturally
with spurts of rapid regional warming in areas like the North Atlantic
Ocean.
The diagnostics, which are used to compare model - simulated and observed changes, are often simple
temperature indices such as the
global mean surface
temperature and
ocean mean warming (Knutti et al., 2002, 2003) or the differential warming between the SH and NH (together
with the
global mean; Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001).
The CDR potential and possible environmental side effects are estimated for various COA deployment scenarios, assuming olivine as the alkalinity source in ice ‐ free coastal waters (about 8.6 % of the
global ocean's surface area),
with dissolution rates being a function of grain size, ambient seawater
temperature, and pH. Our results indicate that for a large ‐ enough olivine deployment of small ‐ enough grain sizes (10 µm), atmospheric CO2 could be reduced by more than 800 GtC by the year 2100.
The September globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.33 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 61.1 °F, tying
with 2014 as the second highest
global ocean temperature for September in the 1880 — 2016 record, behind 2015 by 0.16 °F.
The symptoms from those events (huge and rapid carbon emissions, a big rapid jump in
global temperatures, rising sea levels,
ocean acidification, widespread oxygen - starved zones in the
oceans) are all happening today
with human - caused climate change.
The year 2010 tied
with 2005 in all three
global - scale components: the
global land
temperature, the
global ocean temperature, and the
global land and
ocean surface
temperature.
The main threats are considered to be hurricanes along
with global warming and the resulting increase in
ocean temperatures which cause coral bleaching.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising
temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium
with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the
oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar warming than the
global average; decreasing the
temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme
temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
However, atmospheric CO2 content plays an important internal feedback role.Orbital - scale variability in CO2 concentrations over the last several hundred thousand years covaries (Figure 5.3)
with variability in proxy records including reconstructions of
global ice volume (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005), climatic conditions in central Asia (Prokopenko et al., 2006), tropical (Herbert et al., 2010) and Southern
Ocean SST (Pahnke et al., 2003; Lang and Wolff, 2011), Antarctic temperature (Parrenin et al., 2013), deep - ocean temperature (Elder eld et al., 2010), biogeochemical conditions in the Northet al., 2
Ocean SST (Pahnke et al., 2003; Lang and Wolff, 2011), Antarctic
temperature (Parrenin et al., 2013), deep -
ocean temperature (Elder eld et al., 2010), biogeochemical conditions in the Northet al., 2
ocean temperature (Elder eld et al., 2010), biogeochemical conditions in the Northet al., 2008).
«The combined average
temperature over
global land and
ocean surfaces tied
with 2010 as the highest on record for April, at 58.09 °F (14.47 °C) or 1.39 °F (0.77 °C) above the 20th century average.»
However, I've never seen a single media article in any U.S. press outlet that covered these issues — the large - scale evidence for
global warming (melting glaciers, warming poles, shrinking sea ice,
ocean temperatures) to the local scale (more intense hurricanes, more intense precipitation, more frequent droughts and heat waves) while also discussing the real causes (fossil fuels and deforestation) and the real solutions (replacement of fossil fuels
with renewables, limiting deforestation, and halting the use of fossil fuels, especially coal and oil.)
As if there is no variability in
global ocean CO2 uptake and variability
with temperature gradients from approximately 90F to 30F.
Given that you comment that the largest differences between the different forcings is between land and
ocean or between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, have you looked at the land —
ocean temperature difference or the Northern — Southern Hemisphere
temperature difference, as they both scale linearly
with ECS, in the same way as
global mean
temperature for ghg forcing, but not for aerosol forcing.
But right now no credible coupled atmosphere -
ocean - ice mechanism exists that could allow you to stretch that argument to
global temperatures, let alone be compatible
with the myriad observables that we do have.
The warming of the world
ocean is associated
with an increase in
global surface air
temperature, downward longwave radiation, and therefore net heat flux.
The second point is that we have found distinctive variations in
global warming
with El Niño: a mini
global warming, in the sense of a
global temperature increase, occurs in the latter stages of an El Niño event, as heat comes out of the
ocean and warms the atmosphere.
My amateur spreadsheet tracking and projecting the monthly NASA GISS values suggests that while 2018 and 2019 are likely to be cooler than 2017, they may also be the last years on Earth
with global average land and
ocean surface
temperature anomaly below 1C above pre-industrial average (using 1850 - 1900 proxy).
Long waves (infrared) light from the sun, GHGs, clouds, are trapped at the surface of the
oceans, directly leading to increased «skin»
temperature, more water vapor (a very effective GHG), faster convection (
with more loss of heat to space in the tropics),... How each of them converts to real regional /
global temperature increases / decreases is another point of discussion...
The Nature study is talking about changes associated
with ocean circulation even while CO2, and the
global imbalance, and
global temperature, is increasing.
Eight decades
with a slightly negative
global mean surface -
temperature trend show that the
ocean above 300 m takes up significantly less heat whereas the
ocean below 300 m takes up significantly more, compared
with non-hiatus decades.
Human water vapour emissions are irrelevant, as water vapour is in dynamic equilibrium
with ocean water, an equilibrium controlled by
global mean
temperature, i.e., other greenhouse gases etc..
You may now understand why
global temperature, i.e.
ocean heat content, shows such a strong correlation
with atmospheric CO2 over the last 800,000 years — as shown in the ice core records.
As I said before
with exception of GISS, the other four organizations who measure
global temperatures [land +
ocean] show the same cooling trend from 2002.
Over very long time periods such that the carbon cycle is in equilibrium
with the climate, one gets a sensitivity to
global temperature of about 20 ppm CO2 / deg C, or 75 ppb CH4 / deg C. On shorter timescales, the sensitivity for CO2 must be less (since there is no time for the deep
ocean to come into balance), and variations over the last 1000 years or so (which are less than 10 ppm), indicate that even if Moberg is correct, the maximum sensitivity is around 15 ppm CO2 / deg C. CH4 reacts faster, but even for short term excursions (such as the 8.2 kyr event) has a similar sensitivity.
So if you are trying to correlate something like CET or northern hemisphere trees
with «
global»
temperatures which are predominately a function of the tropical
oceans, you are likely to be disappointed since the lags are a bit complicated.
I'm not sure I understand the point of your comment, nor do I see how an
ocean temperature relationship correlates reliably
with ACE peaks on a
global basis.»
Now if someone were to day, as Judith clearly did not although she had many opportunities to do so, that «concurrent
with warming of our
oceans there has been a hiatus in the significantly increasing trend of
global surface
temperatures,» then I would have not problem
with the logic.
Therefore ice sheet sensitivity to
global temperature could have been quite different in the early Pliocene, compared to today's world,
with stronger
ocean circulation.
We can look at the impacts of the GISS infilling method by subtracting the
global GISS land -
ocean temperature index data
with 250 km smoothing from the GISS data
with 1200 km smoothing.
This CO2 - driven acidification of the
oceans is already under way in our own epoch of
global warming - and that same oceanic response in the past coincides
with massive rises in
temperature - the hyperthermal.