Clouds
with highest albedo have large droplets.
Most of it doesn't come out again, at least not as visible light (water isn't like a cloud,
with a high albedo from multiple elastic scattering).
This means the existing ice becomes more persistent, fresher (with a higher melting / freezing temperature),
with a higher albedo.
(3) Increasing the Earth's albedo, by, among other things, requiring the use of high albedo roofing materials on all new construction, even requiring the replacement of older, low albedo roofs
with higher albedo materials.
Not exact matches
Due to the positive feedback caused by the
high albedo of snow and ice, susceptibility to falling into snowball states might be a generic feature of water - rich planets
with the capacity to host life.
With higher precipitation, portions of this snow may not melt during the summer and so glacial ice can form at lower altitudes and more southerly latitudes, reducing the temperatures over land by increased
albedo as noted above.
This in combination
with the drop in greenhouse gases has resulted in the acceleration of the existing ice age; now self - perpetuating as glaciers have a much
higher albedo.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium
with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere warms decreases
albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking
highs, increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
That is, by decreasing the (rather
high) Bond
albedo of Earth one could increase rate of entropy production, which is inconsistent
with a MEP state.
Thick clouds about to rain are not the same as thick (fluffy,
high albedo) clouds
with lots of pollution caused CCN.
A simple counterexample illustrates this: consider two massive cloud layers
with equal shortwave
albedo, one at
high altitude, one at low altitude.
For instance, the effect of soot making snow and sea ice darker has a
higher efficacy than an equivalent change in CO2
with the same forcing, mainly because there is a more important ice -
albedo feedback in the soot case.
This is probably a confusion
with the urban heating issue, but the actual impact is the opposite — croplands have a
higher albedo than forests, reflect more solar radiation, and are thus cooler.
This thicker multiyear ice takes longer to melt back (both because of greater thickness and
higher albedo than first - year ice) and so in conjunction
with the weather it is responsible for more extensive ice in the late summer in this region.
Actually more the opposite (if their analysis were correct) since the clouds under consideration have a
higher greenhouse effect associated
with them, not a
higher albedo effect.
It is not that the polar regions are amplifying the warming «going on» at lower latitudes, it is that any warming going on AT THE POLES is amplified through inherent positive feedback processes AT THE POLES, and specifically this is primarily the ice -
albedo positive feedback process whereby more open water leads to more warming leads to more open water, etc. *** «Climate model simulations have shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated
with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate change at
high northern latitudes...»
This
albedo has been changing over recent decades and is responsible for most ocean warming
with the increased maintained
higher solar levels.
«Climate model simulations have shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated
with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate change at
high northern latitudes...»
I attribute this to rapidly retreating snow cover and sea ice replacing
high albedo surfaces
with low
albedo.
Also, if you want to compare the percent change in
albedo of 0.134 (too
high, but assume it correct for the moment)
with a 1 % reduction, the latter would be 1 % of about 100 W / m ^ 2, not 1 % of 340 W / m ^ 2, and would yield a value of about 1 W / m ^ 2.
Open and closed cell cloud formation dynamics are driven by sea surface temperature —
with cooler surfaces favoring closed cells and
higher planetary
albedo.
However, I am not a «warmista» by any means — we do not know how to properly quantify the
albedo of aerosols, including clouds,
with their consequent negative feedback effects in any of the climate sensitivity models as yet — and all models in the ensemble used by the «warmistas» are indicating the sensitivities (to atmospheric CO2 increase) are too
high, by factors ranging from 2 to 4: which could indicate that climate sensitivity to a doubling of current CO2 concentrations will be of the order of 1 degree C or less outside the equatorial regions (none or very little in the equatorial regions)- i.e. an outcome which will likely be beneficial to all of us.
(7) A requirement that building retrofits conducted pursuant to a REEP program utilize, especially in all air - conditioned buildings, roofing materials
with high solar energy reflectance, unless inappropriate due to green roof management, solar energy production, or for other reasons identified by the Administrator, in order to reduce energy consumption within the building, increase the
albedo of the building's roof, and decrease the heat island effect in the area of the building, without reduction of otherwise applicable ceiling insulation standards.
The Arctic provides an early indicator of global climate change through feedback systems associated
with factors such as the
high albedo of snow and ice [Holland and Bitz, 2003].
Logic says stations in
higher latitudes
with cooling trends could result in greater ice cover
with a resultant increase in Earth's
albedo and if continued long enough could snuff out any warming trend.
The
albedo reduction was the most pronounced for the snow
with higher soot content, and it was observed immediately following soot deposition.
A slight change of ocean temperature (after a delay caused by the
high specific heat of water, the annual mixing of thermocline waters
with deeper waters in storms) ensures that rising CO2 reduces infrared absorbing H2O vapour while slightly increasing cloud cover (thus Earth's
albedo), as evidenced by the fact that the NOAA data from 1948 - 2008 shows a fall in global humidity (not the positive feedback rise presumed by NASA's models!)
In this article I present prima facie evidence that the ongoing natural increase in spring insolation occurring at
high northern latitudes, coupled
with the positive feedback effect of the resultant snow and ice loss reducing the region's mean
albedo over summer, comprises just such a causative agency.
This north / south asymmetry has grown since perihelion was aligned
with the winter solstice seven to eight centuries ago, and must cause enhanced year - on - year springtime melting of Arctic (but not Antarctic) ice and therefore feedback warming because increasing amounts of land and open sea are denuded of
high -
albedo ice and snow across boreal summer and into autumn.
The 21st century can be expected to be
with lower solar activity, less deflection of cloud - seeding galactic cosmic rays,
higher average cloud cover, a more reflective planetary
albedo, and a cooler planet..
For example, FWIW Wikipedia tells me that a Stevenson screen needs to be painted every two years to keep a constant
high albedo so that the temperature inside is in equilibrium
with air at 2 meters, and not perturbed by some sort of radiative equilibrium
with SWR.
GMT drops initially at glacial inception in response to decreased summer radiation at
high northern latitudes that would have led to equatorward extension of sea ice and snow cover
with associated cooling from increased
albedo.
Cloud condensation nuclei: Aerosol particles that provide a platform for the condensation of water vapor, resulting in clouds
with higher droplet concentrations and increased
albedo.
Replacement of forests
with shorter vegetation together
with the normally assumed
higher albedo could then cool the surface.
The fact of the matter is that IPCC has relied in AR4 on models, which assume a strongly positive net feedback from clouds, while subsequent physical observations show that the primary impact of clouds
with warming is increased
albedo and
higher SW reflection resulting in an overall negative cloud feedback.
I remember it also coincided
with a
higher earth
albedo.
And I think you hit the nail on the head
with: «5) Once we scientifically - oriented Skeptics accept the reality of the Atmospheric «greenhouse effect» we are, IMHO, better positioned to question the much larger issues which are: a) HOW MUCH does CO2 contribute to that effect, b) HOW MUCH does human burning of fossil fuels and land use changes that reduce
albedo affect warming, and, perhaps most important, c) Does the resultant enhanced CO2 level and
higher mean temperature actually have a net benefit for humankind?»
We have imprecise data
with respect to
albedo (Trenberth in his paper has
albedo measurements varying between 27.1 and 35.8 % and others have it is
high as 40 % and the
albedo is constantly changing) and imprecise data
with respect to the amount of solar energy absorbed by the atmosphere and imprecise data as to the amount of solar energy reflected by the atmosphere.
Carter et al. [1] do not appear to be aware that temperature buffering effects due to
high evaporative rates in the tropics and tropical islands, loss of ice
albedo in the poles, and other factors, result in that global temperature increases rise rapidly
with higher latitude [4],
As
with warming, we would expect
higher latitudes to be more sensitive to cooling due to the ice
albedo feedback, which in this case is from growing ice coverage, so this makes sense to me.
This decline in snow cover is significant because, compared
with other land cover types, snow has a very
high albedo and climate feedbacks are felt on local, regional, and even hemispheric scales.
They claim
higher albedo for
high zenith angles, agreeing
with work published by Paine in 1972, which also as indicated in your # 101 Wiki link above.
In the almost sure knowledge that the earth never experienced a runaway greenhouse even
with ancient CO2 levels 10 to 20 times greater than today, these anti-science scoundrels insist
with a «
high level of confidence» that this amplification is real and it's based on nothing more than faster than expected surface temperature rise in the past few decades which can be TOTALLY explained by multi-decadal cyclic behavior in ocean currents, trade winds, and / or solar magnetic activity causing small global average
albedo changes.
The climate models
with the mixed layer oceans underestimate both the subtropical low cloud cover and the
high - latitude sea ice / surface
albedo, and consequently have a smaller warming response to OHT.
This change is explained by a decrease in subtropical and mid-latitude low cloudiness, along
with a reduction in
high - latitude surface
albedo due to decreased sea ice.