Not exact matches
«The president just stripped the Department of Homeland Security of its leader, was blasted by the outgoing head of
hurricane forecasting for how his budget cuts could set back this work, and lacks any experience (as a senator or governor)
with navigating a difficult disaster response.
There has been no change to the
forecast philosophy,
with the
hurricane likely to turn westward and west - southwestward over the next few days due to a building ridge over the central Atlantic.
The best historical analogue for a
hurricane that follows NHC's 5 pm EDT Friday track and intensity forecast for Irma may be Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 m
hurricane that follows NHC's 5 pm EDT Friday track and intensity
forecast for Irma may be
Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 m
Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm
with 140 mph winds.
When
hurricanes are
forecast in the future, the hospitals will host platelet drives
with local blood banks as the storms approach, Philpott said.
On the bright side,
forecasts show that
Hurricane Maria is weakening,
with sustained wind speeds of 80 miles per hour, and is expected to be downgraded to a tropical storm by Tuesday.
Gray's team will come out
with its latest
forecast for this year's
hurricane season at the end of this week, having previously predicted 17 storms this season.
«By improving our understanding of the processes that drive tropical cyclones and
hurricanes, we will be better positioned to improve our ability to
forecast these events and their impacts
with longer and longer lead times,» he says.
The
forecast predicts between four and eight named storms may become
hurricanes — organized, rotating storms
with sustained winds of 74 mph (119 km / h) or faster.
1956: Herbert Riehl and William Haggard come up
with the earliest statistical
hurricane forecasting system.
That budget provision doesn't jibe
with bipartisan - supported Weather Research and
Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017, which the President signed into law last month and which states that «NOAA must plan and maintain a project to improve hurricane forecast
Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017, which the President signed into law last month and which states that «NOAA must plan and maintain a project to improve
hurricane forecastingforecasting.»
NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal
forecasts each year,
with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal
hurricane forecaster
with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.
The errant
forecast said 2013 would see above - average activity,
with eight
hurricanes and three that would develop into major
hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the five - step Saffir - Simpson intensity scale.
NOAA's latest
forecasts warn of the potential for
hurricane - force winds from the northern Delmarva Peninsula to Cape Cod, Mass., and well inland,
with rainfall totals topping 12 inches in some areas.
But as seen
with Rina, which was predicted to become a major
hurricane (Category 3 or higher) only to quickly fizzle, forecasters are constantly struggling to make accurate
forecasts.
The 2014 Atlantic
hurricane season is expected to be quieter than normal,
with a below - average number of storms and
hurricanes, a leading U.S.
hurricane forecasting team said last week.
And scientists may be better able to
forecast a storm's effects by comparing its projected path and strength
with those of
hurricanes that previously struck the coast.
Recent advances have improved NOAA's intensity
forecasts by 20 percent, but there are so many variables influencing the developing of a
hurricane — from the energy they draw from the oceans to their interactions
with the surrounding environment and their dynamic inner cores — that storms like Matthew befuddle many experts.
NOAA has issued its annual
forecast for the
hurricane season, along
with its now - standard explanation that there is a natural cycle of multidecadal (40 - 60 year) length in the North Atlantic circulation (often referred to as the «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» — see Figure), that is varying the frequency of Atlantic tropical cyclones, and that the present high level of activity is due to a concurrent positive peak in this oscillation.
Building on that information
with weekly and even hourly weather
forecasts can help meteorologists and disaster managers plan ahead for floods,
hurricanes, droughts or whatever else may come their way.
A meteorologist
with nearly 20 years of
forecasting under her belt, she has been on a tornado chase in Oklahoma, on a flight into
Hurricane Isabel, and to the 6,288 - foot summit of New Hampshire's Mount Washington in mid-winter.
The mass of cumulus clouds had increased in bulk more rapidly than any spawning storm she could remember in her eighteen years monitoring and
forecasting tropical
hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean
with the National Underwater and Marine Agency
Hurricane Center.
The US Weather Service has
forecasted that 11 — 15 tropical storms will form
with 6 -9 becoming
hurricanes and 2 — 4 being intense
hurricanes of category three or higher.
In fact,
with a very uncertain
forecast for
Hurricane Hermine we cancelled all of our Labor Day weekend surf lessons.
Also, if you follow the
hurricane forecasts of the National Hurricane Center on the web, you will see that SST is one of the key factors routinely used with every hurricane to forecast whether it will strengthen o
hurricane forecasts of the National
Hurricane Center on the web, you will see that SST is one of the key factors routinely used with every hurricane to forecast whether it will strengthen o
Hurricane Center on the web, you will see that SST is one of the key factors routinely used
with every
hurricane to forecast whether it will strengthen o
hurricane to
forecast whether it will strengthen or weaken.
That's an excerpt from the latest extended
forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for the superstorm that nearly all computer simulations see developing in a few days as the remains of
Hurricane Sandy — which has already killed at least 21 people in the Caribbean — collide over the East Coast
with a cold front sweeping in from the west.
This is the foundation of the Dvorak Enhanced Infrared (EIR) technique [Dvorak, 1984], which is utilized by all tropical
forecast offices in every ocean basin to estimate
hurricane intensity
with geostationary infrared imagery.
To deal
with flooding, local and national institutions have combined to erect an extensive flood protection systems, to create river flood and
hurricane forecasting, and develop evacuation plans.
In following the course of projections for this storm, and then the burst of criticism about failed intensity
forecasts, I was brought back to the hours I spent
with meteorologists at the National
Hurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from
Hurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of
Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from
Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major
hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from
hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from Mobile).
2) As
with some previous potent winter storms and
hurricanes (including Sandy), there's been a consistent focus on the computer model of the European Center for Medium - Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF, for short) as the best at getting details like snowfall amounts right.
It's important to note that most of the failures in protecting New Orleans and nearby communities from the ravages attending
Hurricane Katrina had little to do
with forecasting questions.
1:01 p.m. Various updates below
With the tropical storm that will soon be
Hurricane Isaac heading in the general direction of New Orleans seven years (possibly to the day) after
Hurricane Katrina topped the flood protections there, I looked back at the archived track
forecasts for the 2005 storm and posted the link on Twitter and Facebook.
With hurricane Arthur headlining the news as throwing a possible wet blanket on 4th of July fireworks shows along the Northeast coast and with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period between major (Category 3 or greater) hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 yea
With hurricane Arthur headlining the news as throwing a possible wet blanket on 4th of July fireworks shows along the Northeast coast and
with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period between major (Category 3 or greater) hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 yea
with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period between major (Category 3 or greater)
hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative
forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic
hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 years).
Conversely, due to well - researched upper - atmospheric flow (e.g. vertical shear) configurations favorable to Atlantic
hurricane development and intensification, La Nina falls tend to favor very active seasons in the Atlantic (El Nino years are the converse,
with must less activity, as
forecast by Gray and NOAA for 2009).
To scare the bejeebers out of people
with dire
hurricane forecasts and then surreptiously remove them later without explanation is downright dishonest.
In doing so, they fail to recognize the important distinction between the operational
hurricane forecasting problem (a classical initial value problem) and the boundary value problem addressed in KT04, where one is concerned
with the maximum
hurricane intensity that is possible for a given set of largescale environmental conditions (i.e., a climatological or statistical distribution of maximum intensities).
man: [slightly irritatedly and
with exaggeratedly clear accent] The
forecast for Atlantic
hurricanes has been lowered again, glaciers were reported to be melting in 1922, and the hottest year on record wasn't 1998, it was 1934.
This is precisely what Grey and Klotzbach did
with their December
forecasts of the next
hurricane season.
Well so far, they only dirt they seem to have dug up is
hurricane forecasting funded by an energy company, devastating criticisms in the blogosphere by the likes of Thingsbreak, and the possibility of some mythical relative
with an involvement
with a right wing think tank.
The nine chapters deal
with issues ranging from the global atmosphere and climate to observing, mapping and
forecasting weather, as well as chapters on «Explaining the weather», majoring on moist processes and «Hazardous weather», focusing primarily on
hurricanes.
Specifically
with regards to the energy and power companies, these contracts are for medium - range (days to weeks)
forecasts of
hurricane activity and landfall impacts, and also energy demand (temperature).
That data, scientists said at the Nov. 10 briefing, can be used to improve
hurricane forecasting by providing more data and in a more timely manner than possible
with other satellites or
hurricane - tracking aircraft.
The Sarasota Herald - Tribune's investigative piece tells the story of how an entity that provides
hurricane predictions to the insurance industry came up
with a new approach to
hurricane forecasting following an informal four - hour discussion involving four experts.
The climate
forecast for 2100 looks to be about the same - the world's climate (s) will be about the same as today, possibly a bit warmer or cooler (<.5 degC),
with rain, drought,
hurricanes, large amounts of polar ice, and the possiblity of some worldwide disaster.
The predictions of alarmist scientists are frequently hysterical, and most often wrong, as was globally witnessed
with the
Hurricane Irene
forecasts.
I will relate to you some experiences that my company has had
with blown
forecasts, both related to
hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico.
But we're also given seasonal
hurricane forecasts (not so good recently) also not
with dates but within a specific
hurricane season.
«My interaction (over the years)
with a broad segment of AMS members (that I have met as a result of my seasonal
hurricane forecasting and other activities) who have spent a sizable portion of their careers down in the meteorological trenches of observations and
forecasting, have indicated that a majority of them do not agree that humans are the primary cause of global warming.
The
hurricane cemented a lifelong fascination
with natural disasters, and led Navarro into her current career as a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Washington, where she studies
hurricane forecasting and how solar radiation affects the strength of
hurricanes.
With the 2012 Atlantic
hurricane season now underway, forecasters are determined to make more accurate
forecasts.
Just days after the official close of the busiest Atlantic
hurricane season on record and
with one
hurricane still churning in the Atlantic, the first 2006
forecast is out already.