Not exact matches
The average
temperature was 57.1 degrees F, up from the old record, in 1998, which
landed an average of 54.3 degrees F. «We had our fourth warmest winter (2011/2012) on record, our warmest spring, a very hot summer
with the hottest month on record for the nation (July 2012), and a warmer than average autumn,» Jake Crouch, a scientist at the National Climatic
Data Center, told NBC News.
In addition, the
data density and geographic extent of this study is far greater than most previous studies because over 16,000 stream
temperature sites were used
with thousands of biological survey locations to provide precise information at scales relevant to
land managers and conservationists.
Liming Zhou of the University at Albany, State University of New York, and colleagues studied
land - surface
temperature data gathered by NASA's Terra and Aqua satellites, which give measurements
with a spatial resolution of roughly 1 square kilometre.
In addition to the surface
data described above, measurements of
temperature above the surface have been made
with weather balloons,
with reasonable coverage over
land since 1958, and from satellite
data since 1979.
With annual
data, 50 years is short, but the results are very clear
With land temperature, the critical value is -7.1 and the DW 1.94.
This conflicts
with the Jones et al. (2001) global
land instrumental
temperature data (Figure 2.1), and the combined hemispheric and global
land and marine
data (Figure 2.7), where clear warming is not seen until the beginning of the 20th century.
For those not familiar
with it, the purpose of Berkeley Earth was to create a new, independent compilation and assessment of global
land surface
temperature trends using new statistical methods and a wider range of source
data.
Global
land surface
temperature data (green)
with linear trends applied to the time frames 1973 to 1980, 1980 to 1988, 1988 to 1995, 1995 to 2001, 1998 to 2005, 2002 to 2010 (blue), and 1973 to 2010 (red).
Our Berkeley Earth team had a similar experience
with the thermometer
data for the Earth's average
land temperature.
Only an amateur
with no concept of the material (Stokes) derivative and time - series aliasing would conclude that lack of serial observations, such as provided by
land - station
data, of diurnally varying
temperature at fixed oceanic locations is «not a problem.»
Verify using
data collected only over the 1/3 of the planet that is covered
with land strikes me as odd, particularly because we expect the
land temperatures to rise faster than ocean
temperatures.
We can look at the impacts of the GISS infilling method by subtracting the global GISS
land - ocean
temperature index
data with 250 km smoothing from the GISS
data with 1200 km smoothing.
It's hard to imagine how Cowtan and Way could determine
with any degree of certainty how «the hybrid method works best over
land and most importantly sea ice» when there is so little surface air
temperature data over sea ice.
They then infill the Arctic and Southern Oceans
with land surface air
temperature data.
In CRUTEM4: A detailed look, I pointed out the difficulties in providing a comparison of the CRUTEM4
data with the other
land - only
temperature datasets from NCDC, GISS or BEST due to problems created by different definitions of «
land - only», and different averaging and baseline conventions.
So for us people
with some engineering experience, that gives us an intuitive feel for why
temperatures are hotter over
land than what is in the average SST
data.
So Australia's BOM
data and NZ's NIWA
data, both «adjusted» out of their cotton picking minds whether needed or not and generally butchered [and thats being polite,] around
with until it bears little relationship
with reality accounts for at least one fifth and close to nearly one quarter of the total global
land surface
temperature data.
There is a major question in my mind of the wisdom of using a «global» surface
temperature to begin
with and a «global» surface
temperature based on a SST which is more related to Tmin averaged
with a
land based «Surface»
temperature that is based on T Ave.. So instead of blindly quoting nonsense, I actually try to verify using all the
data that is available.
The tiny, close - knit clique of climate scientists who invented and now drive the «global warming» fraud — for fraud is what we now know it to be — tampered
with temperature data so assiduously that, on the recent admission of one of them,
land temperatures since 1980 have risen twice as fast as ocean
temperatures.
C. warmer than it was
with respect to the start of the industrial revolution, I believe that it would be necessary to use actual average global
land - ocean surface
temperature data (which would be imperfectly known that far back).
This is
data linking
temperature with pollen count, how do we know that the increase of
temperature is not causing the increase in pollen count (increased
land available for growth, longer growing seasons, etc)?
Any discussion on that webpage you linked... https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/anomalies.php... regarding their preference for anomalies has to do
with land surface, not sea surface,
temperatures, which is why their
land surface
temperature data and consequently their combined
land + ocean
data are presented as anomalies.
With 1.6 billion measurements, culling
land temperature data was a major effort.
Figure 1: BEST
land - only surface
temperature data (green)
with linear trends applied to the timeframes 1973 to 1980, 1980 to 1988, 1988 to 1995, 1995 to 2001, 1998 to 2005, 2002 to 2010 (blue), and 1973 to 2010 (red).
The new ERSST4
temperature series includes an» (i) an increasing amount of ocean
data from buoys, which are slightly different than
data from ships; (ii) an increasing amount of ship
data from engine intake thermometers, which are slightly different than
data from bucket sea - water
temperatures; and (iii) a large increase in
land - station
data...» and «More generally, buoy
data have been proven to be more accurate and reliable than ship
data,
with better known instrument characteristics and automated sampling.»
With Russia accounting for a large portion of the world's
land mass, incorrect
data there could affect the analysis of global
temperatures.
«Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric warming in climate models and satellite
data» «Robust comparison of climate models
with observations using blended
land air and ocean sea surface
temperatures» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4
temperature series and its impact on recent
temperature trends» «Reconciling warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global warming hiatus»»
They also lead to disagreement
with the pollen - based
land temperature data.
If you go
with 17 years you will see 0.36 °C / decade in the recently released BEST
land -
temperature data from Richard Muller's group at Berkeley.
The modelled air
temperatures over
land were compared to
land station
data and the adjusted SST
data were found to give a significantly better agreement
with the observed
land temperatures.
I want to point out that all of the surface
data sets over
land suffer from i) a systematic warm bias associated
with using minimum
temperatures in the construction of trends and I) in blending non-spatially representative sites
with good sites.
Figure 2: Berkeley Earth Surface
Temperature (BEST) land - only surface temperature data (green) with linear trends applied to the timeframes 1973 to 1980, 1980 to 1988, 1988 to 1995, 1995 to 2001, 1998 to 2005, 2002 to 2010 (blue), and 1973 to
Temperature (BEST)
land - only surface
temperature data (green) with linear trends applied to the timeframes 1973 to 1980, 1980 to 1988, 1988 to 1995, 1995 to 2001, 1998 to 2005, 2002 to 2010 (blue), and 1973 to
temperature data (green)
with linear trends applied to the timeframes 1973 to 1980, 1980 to 1988, 1988 to 1995, 1995 to 2001, 1998 to 2005, 2002 to 2010 (blue), and 1973 to 2010 (red).
While derived from sea surface
temperature data, the PDO index is well correlated
with many records of North Pacific and Pacific Northwest climate and ecology, including sea level pressure, winter
land — surface
temperature and precipitation, and stream flow.
Figure 2.4 (Folland et al., 2001) shows simulations of global
land - surface air
temperature anomalies in model runs forced
with SST,
with and without bias adjustments to the SST
data before 1942.
Note we're using BEST
land area, so actual rates of warming are slightly elevated from global levels including sea surface
temperatures, however BEST has enough resolution to allow us to work
with 12.5 years of
temperature data and not have such abysmal CI as to need to reject the comparisons outright..
Now the NOAA
data comes in and confirms the GISS
data, and shows the http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2009/jun/global.html Global Highlights: Based on preliminary
data, the globally averaged combined
land and sea surface
temperature was the second warmest on record for June and the January - June year - to - date tied
with 2004 as the fifth warmest on record.
aaron, all three datasets start
with the same source
data:
land surface air
temperatures and sea surface
temperatures.
I don't mean to step on Michael Tobis» toes, but the level of CO2 has always so far as the various ice core and like
data strongly suggest (above 99.5 %
with consilience) been seasonally variable over
land due to interaction of plants and
temperature as proven by NH / SH trends, just as it is diurnally variable due to photosynthesis.
If someone can help me see the supposed trend in US
land temperature without putting all the
data through a huge meat grinder (after 20 years of working
with data I don't trust meat grinders), I would be grateful.
In their second approach, the BEST team performed a global
land temperature reconstruction
with their own methodology, using all the
data and the very - rural sites only.
This is likely caused, in part, by GISS masking sea surface
temperature data in the polar oceans and replacing it
with land surface air
temperature data, which is naturally more volatile.
Recently, Philip Jones of CRU (Climatic Research Unit) claimed to have entered into a variety of confidentiality agreements
with national meteorological services that prevent him from publicly archiving the
land temperature data relied upon by IPCC.
Temperatures are recorded on
land and at sea, in part
with satellite
data.
In no way is this comparable to the manufacture of
data where no measurements have been taken or the substitution of one measured variable (daily mean
land air
temperature)
with another (instantaneous SST observations) whose sampling method varies, is exceedingly uneven geographically, and no credible, alias - free time - series can be obtained.
If this is the best such
land area surface
temperature assessment system on the planet (covering, as well, a broad range of metropolitan, suburban, and rural areas), and the quality of the system is now proven to be demonstrably more prone to error than had been previously assumed —
with the preponderance of error shown to produce the impression of warming in excess of real conditions prevailing — what may be reliably inferred about surface
temperature monitoring systems
data from even less reliable thermometers all over the rest of the world?
There are many problems
with using satellite
data to estimate air
temperatures over
land.
Bates takes particular issue
with the way Karl handled
land temperature data in the Science study which addressed the so - called «climate hiatus.»
With due respect, I consider that it is completely and absolutely inappropriate to present any
temperature statistic that combines
land and SST
data.
This will be the first post in a three - part series examining adjustments in
temperature data,
with a specific focus on the U.S.
land temperatures.
Combining this
data with surface air
temperature over
land would avoid the problem identified by Cowtan and Way.