It is the speed of the response in the air as compared to the slowness of ocean changes that enables the air to cope
with the oceanic changes and thereby keep the temperature of the air and the vigour of the weather systems within bounds amenable to us as inhabitants of the planet.
Although the age model gives some uncertainty in the timings, it appears that storminess increased at the onset and close of North Atlantic cold events associated
with oceanic changes, with reduced storm activity at their peak.
Not exact matches
At that time,
changes in atmospheric -
oceanic circulation led to a stratification in the ocean
with a cold layer at the surface and a warm layer below.
Academics and companies are also striving to improve processed shrimp feed and replace the fish meal it contains
with other protein sources, a
change that could help prevent further depletion of fish species at the base of
oceanic food webs.
Monitoring, understanding, and predicting
oceanic variations associated
with natural climate variability and human - induced
changes, and assessing the related roles of the ocean on multiple spatial - temporal scales.
After participation in a ship expedition
with RV SONNE to the North Pacific in summer 2018, the tasks include to reconstruct the spatial and temporal
changes in near - surface and subsurface water temperatures in the North Pacific, salinity, thermocline depth, and water mass stratification of the upper
oceanic surface using geochemical proxy parameters, e.g. in planktic microfossils.
In July, the Office of Naval Research made a survey in the waters off Virginia Beach, Virginia using ScanEagle UAVs to study the effect of
oceanic and atmospheric
changes on radar and radio waves,
with the aim of improving military communications and the ability of radar to detect hostile craft..
Ongoing measurements of anthropogenic CO2, other gases and hydrographic parameters in these key marginal seas will provide information on
changes in global
oceanic CO2 uptake associated
with the predicted increasing atmospheric CO2 and future global climate
change.
Such
changes in
oceanic environmental conditions will have negative consequences for marine life and organisms producing calcium carbonate (CaCO3) structures are amongst the most vulnerable due to the additional costs associated
with calcification and maintenance of calcified structures under more acidic conditions.
The southern ice front of the ice shelf has
changed rapidly following climatic and
oceanic changes,
with sustained recession, mostly in the thinner central portion.
«Simply put, the shape of the ice sheet and the contact
with the ocean makes it likely that these areas respond more pronouncedly to
changes in climate boundary conditions — be they atmospheric,
oceanic or glaciological.»
This is consistent
with the finding that reduced warming is not mainly a result of a
change in radiation balance but due to
oceanic heat storage.
(For instance,
changes in wind or salinity or seaweed, surface warming in regions (in) sensitive to OHC, perhaps the southern oceans or perhaps NH / SH
with their different proportions of land, or variations in the frequency / amplitude of a known
oceanic wobble.)
The project will also analyze
changes in
oceanic circulation and processes in an ice - depleted Arctic Ocean, and in its interactions
with the sub arctic oceans.
In fact, they may do so more efficiently than more uniform temperature
change; warming one hemisphere
with respect to the other is an excellent way of pulling monsoonal circulations and
oceanic ITCZs towards the warm hemisphere (the last few years have seen numerous studies of this response, relevant for ice ages and aerosol forcing as well as the response to high latitude internal variability; Chiang and Bitz, 2005 is one of the first to discuss this, in the ice age context; I'll try to return to this topic in a future post.)
The irregularity of the temperature
changes within those main background trends can not have been anything to do
with humanity and can adequately be catered for by varying
oceanic effects on multidecadal time scales.
The mechanism (or, more likely, mechanisms) which explains the clear and obvious link between global air temperaures and solar /
oceanic changes has not been ascertained adequately but it isn't anything to do
with CO2.
With a dominant internal component having the structure of the observed warming, and with radiative restoring strong enough to keep the forced component small, how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of changes in oceanic heat cont
With a dominant internal component having the structure of the observed warming, and
with radiative restoring strong enough to keep the forced component small, how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of changes in oceanic heat cont
with radiative restoring strong enough to keep the forced component small, how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent
with any measures of changes in oceanic heat cont
with any measures of
changes in
oceanic heat content?
''... how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent
with any measures of
changes in
oceanic heat content?»
Sea ice
with its strong seasonal and interannual variability (Fig. 1) is a very critical component of the Arctic system that responds sensitively to
changes in atmospheric circulation, incoming radiation, atmospheric and
oceanic heat fluxes, as well as the hydrological cycle1, 2.
Such
oceanic temperature as now subsists would probably be a historical inheritance from a long past state possibly at the end of the last ice age when it was reset by a combination of
changed energy throughput from the sun plus the resistor effect of the oceans and air combined
with the then state of the air circulation.
Enhanced
oceanic warming along the equator is also evident in the zonal means of Figure 10.6, and can be associated
with oceanic heat flux
changes (Watterson, 2003) and forced by the atmosphere (Liu et al., 2005).
This article makes use of recent findings about the relatively short decadal or multi decadal (20 to 30 years)
oceanic oscillations that, the writer contends, are short enough to bring the time scales involved in
oceanic changes into line
with the solar cycles of 11 years or so.
US CLIVAR is collaborating
with the ocean carbon and biogeochemistry science community to increase observations and understanding of the coupled physical / biogeochemical processes that maintain the marine ecosystem and
oceanic sources and sinks of carbon and predict how they will evolve in response to climate variability and
change.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can
change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated
with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration
with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation /
oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along
with Milankovitch Cycles.
As to the mechanics of both top down solar and bottom up
oceanic influences on the surface air pressure distribution (and thus the movements of the climate zones) I have dealt
with that in detail elsewhere so here suffice it to say that all climate
change is simply the surface air pressure distribution shifting to accommodate those three primary solar and
oceanic cycles.
In practice the power of the oceans is such that amplification could be more than 5 times up or down when all the
oceanic oscillations are in line
with solar
changes which is just what we had from 1970 to 2000.
They suggest that the recent
oceanic warming has caused the continents to warm through a different set of mechanisms than usually identified
with the global impacts of SST
changes.
On the other hand, the aqueous phase also interacts
with a small but important
oceanic component, solid CaCO3, so that as pH declines, this ionizes to add to the carbonate and bicarbonate (negative) components of TA without a compensating
change in other components of the balance.
Recognizing that
oceanic buffering overwhelms any possible CO2 effect conflicts
with their employers mandate, expressed by Interior Secretary Sally Jewell, who announced that «climate
change deniers are not welcome in the Department of the Interior», the umbrella agency that manages NOAA.
I think Leif looks more favourably on solely
oceanic influences on climate over human timescales but I don't feel able to go
with that as yet because of the size of
changes between ice ages and interglacials.
Changes in the watershed can, for example, lead to changes in alkalinity and CO2 fluxes that, together with metabolic processes and oceanic dynamics, yield high - magnitude decadal changes of up to 0.5 units in coastal pH. Metabolism results in strong diel to seasonal fluctuations in pH, with characteristic ranges of 0.3 pH units, with metabolically intense habitats exceeding this range on a daily
Changes in the watershed can, for example, lead to
changes in alkalinity and CO2 fluxes that, together with metabolic processes and oceanic dynamics, yield high - magnitude decadal changes of up to 0.5 units in coastal pH. Metabolism results in strong diel to seasonal fluctuations in pH, with characteristic ranges of 0.3 pH units, with metabolically intense habitats exceeding this range on a daily
changes in alkalinity and CO2 fluxes that, together
with metabolic processes and
oceanic dynamics, yield high - magnitude decadal
changes of up to 0.5 units in coastal pH. Metabolism results in strong diel to seasonal fluctuations in pH, with characteristic ranges of 0.3 pH units, with metabolically intense habitats exceeding this range on a daily
changes of up to 0.5 units in coastal pH. Metabolism results in strong diel to seasonal fluctuations in pH,
with characteristic ranges of 0.3 pH units,
with metabolically intense habitats exceeding this range on a daily basis.
Variability associated
with these latter processes, generally referred to as natural long - term climate variability, arises primarily from
changes in
oceanic circulation.
However,
with the new evidence that
changes in atmospheric and thus
oceanic circulation may have obscured
changes in sea level (http://environment.newscientist.com/article/dn12547-flatter-oceans-may-have-caused-1920s-sea-rise.html), is there any evidence that the previously apparently static sea levels caused groups to self - censor data on ice sheet melting?
The great
oceanic circulation will
change too
with highly unpredictable consequences.
While the
changes in e.g. PDI are highly correlated
with SST
changes, clearly SST is really only a proxy for a more complicated set of atmospheric and
oceanic environmental variables
with which it is correlated.
In common
with many such crises throughout Earth history, there is direct evidence from the rock and fossil records for elevated atmospheric CO2, rising temperatures, increased weathering and run - off, sealevel rise, expanded
oceanic anoxia as well as other warming - related environmental
changes.
When analyzing how precipitation
changes with time (e.g., in the Amazon or Congo regions) it is common to explore correlations
with oceanic temperature anomalies.
The
oceanic Gaa [atmospheric greenhouse effect] exhibits a notable increasing trend
with a rate of 0.21 W m − 2 yr − 1 in 1979 — 1991, whereas its rate of
change (− 0.04 W m − 2 yr − 1) during 1992 — 2014 is not statistically significant.
Since 2009, US CLIVAR has collaborated
with the OCB Program, whose mission is to study the impact of
oceanic variability in the global carbon cycle in the face of environmental variability and
change.
Topics that I work on or plan to work in the future include studies of: + missing aerosol species and sources, such as the primary
oceanic aerosols and their importance on the remote marine atmosphere, the in - cloud and aerosol water aqueous formation of organic aerosols that can lead to brown carbon formation, the primary terrestrial biological particles, and the organic nitrogen + missing aerosol parameterizations, such as the effect of aerosol mixing on cloud condensation nuclei and aerosol absorption, the semi-volatility of primary organic aerosols, the importance of in - canopy processes on natural terrestrial aerosol and aerosol precursor sources, and the mineral dust iron solubility and bioavailability + the
change of aerosol burden and its spatiotemporal distribution, especially
with regard to its role and importance on gas - phase chemistry via photolysis rates
changes and heterogeneous reactions in the atmosphere, as well as their effect on key gas - phase species like ozone + the physical and optical properties of aerosols, which affect aerosol transport, lifetime, and light scattering and absorption,
with the latter being very sensitive to the vertical distribution of absorbing aerosols + aerosol - cloud interactions, which include cloud activation, the aerosol indirect effect and the impact of clouds on aerosol removal +
changes on climate and feedbacks related
with all these topics In order to understand the climate system as a whole, improve the aerosol representation in the GISS ModelE2 and contribute to future IPCC climate
change assessments and CMIP activities, I am also interested in understanding the importance of natural and anthropogenic aerosol
changes in the atmosphere on the terrestrial biosphere, the ocean and climate.