In fact, UK unemployment rates are so out of line
with other economic indicators and what happened in previous recessions — improving even as the economy idles — that economists have been scratching their heads for an explanation.
He is responsible for managing a team of economists in producing the Conference Board's national and provincial medium and long - term economic forecasts along
with other economic indicators and reports.
Not exact matches
We need reliable
economic indicators and data for sound
economic policy, and to provide
other governments, businesses, and civil society
with the tools to enrich our national life.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve
with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and
other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment
indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled
with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe
economic weakness.
[That claim itself, of course, is wildly at odds
with the statistical record, as confirmed by Unifor's recent report. We compiled historical data on 16 conventional
economic indicators going back to 1946, and found that Canada's economy performed worse under Harper's leadership than any
other postwar Prime Minister — and lagged most OECD countries during Harper's tenure, as well.
First, they do not identify
economic activity solely
with real GDP and real GDI, but use a range of
other indicators.
This is consistent
with other indicators pointing to relatively tight conditions in the labour market (as discussed in the chapter on «Domestic
Economic Conditions»).
Suffice it to say that the improvement in new unemployment claims strikes me as a legitimately hopeful development, but there is too much short - term noise, and inconsistency
with other economic evidence (reliable leading
indicators, falling tax withholdings) to draw a convincing signal.
Preferences expressed today are far from settled, and will surely shift
with the news cycle and
other key political or
economic indicators.
A significant share of the gaps in income, education, crime, and
other socio -
economic indicators between Southern states and non-Southern states in the U.S. is associated statistically
with having larger African - American populations, although Southern whites are still lower in income, less likely to receive educations, and more likely to commit crimes, etc. than whites in metropolitan areas outside the South.
Energy consumption is correlated
with health, education, and
other desirable social and
economic indicators of development.