The study compares detailed daily observations of cloud cover from Japan's GMS - 5 Geostationary Meteorological Satellite
with sea surface temperature data from the U. S. National Weather Service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction over a 20 - month period (January 1998 to August 1999).
To develop the model, they compared historic fire data from NASA's Terra satellite
with sea surface temperature data in the tropical Pacific and North Atlantic oceans from buoys and satellite images compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
They combined previously - collected penguin population data from 1982 to 2014
with sea surface temperature data from satellites, ships and buoys for the same time period.
Not exact matches
One of the challenges has been accurately determining the difference between
sea surface temperatures at the poles and the equator during the Eocene,
with models predicting greater differences than
data suggested.
Analyzing
data collected over a 20 - month period, scientists from NASA's Goddard Space Flight center in Greenbelt, Md., and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology found that the number of cirrus clouds above the Pacific Ocean declines
with warmer
sea surface temperatures.
«In our study we used satellite
data for
sea ice and
sea surface temperatures to run some coordinated hindcast experiments
with five different atmospheric models,» Ogawa says.
The first image, based on
data from January 1997 when El Nio was still strengthening shows a
sea level rise along the Equator in the eastern Pacific Ocean of up to 34 centimeters
with the red colors indicating an associated change in
sea surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
I found problems
with the
data including: ««⠉ NOAA buoys measuring near - to -
sea -
surface air
temperature — e.g. inadequate shielding of direct solar heating ««⠉ ship - based
sea surface temperature — e.g. variable points in cooling systems for diesel versus steam ship propulsion
A well - known issue
with LGM proxies is that the most abundant type of proxy
data, using the species composition of tiny marine organisms called foraminifera, probably underestimates
sea surface cooling over vast stretches of the tropical oceans; other methods like alkenone and Mg / Ca ratios give colder
temperatures (but aren't all coherent either).
The red line shows the observations (HadCRU3
data), the black line a standard IPCC - type scenario (driven by observed forcing up to the year 2000, and by the A1B emission scenario thereafter), and the green dots
with bars show individual forecasts
with initialised
sea surface temperatures.
Like almost all historical climate
data, ship - board
sea surface temperatures (SST) were not collected
with long term climate trends in mind.
Using monthly - averaged global satellite records from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP [5]-RRB- and the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) in conjunction
with Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) extended and reconstructed SST (ERSST) dataset [7] we have examined the reliability of long - term cloud measurements.
One thing I would have liked to see in the paper is a quantitative side - by - side comparison of
sea -
surface temperatures and upper ocean heat content; all the paper says is that only «a small amount of cooling is observed at the
surface, although much less than the cooling at depth» though they do report that it is consistent
with 2 - yr cooling SST trend — but again, no actual
data analysis of the SST trend is reported.
Here we analyze a series of climate model experiments along
with observational
data to show that the recent warming trend in Atlantic
sea surface temperature and the corresponding trans - basin displacements of the main atmospheric pressure centers were key drivers of the observed Walker circulation intensification, eastern Pacific cooling, North American rainfall trends and western Pacific
sea - level rise.
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As
with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of
Surface Air
Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear
data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predictors.
In a study published in the journal Nature the researchers say analysis of
sea surface temperature data shows that the AMOC has slowed down by roughly 15 % since the middle of the 20th century,
with human - made climate change a prime suspect.
A known problem
with that dataset is that GISS Deletes Arctic And Southern Ocean
Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
Data.
It's hard to imagine how Cowtan and Way could determine
with any degree of certainty how «the hybrid method works best over land and most importantly
sea ice» when there is so little
surface air
temperature data over
sea ice.
In the main part of the paper, for China, we compare a new homogenized station
data set
with gridded
temperature products and attempt to assess possible urban influences using
sea surface temperature (SST)
data sets for the area east of the Chinese mainland.
Investigators outside NOAA are finding interesting trends and showing that they seem to be correlated
with trends in such variables as SST [
Sea Surface Temperature] in key regions, the changes of which almost certainly are due to human - induced changes in the climate, though having enough
data to get all the statistics right is often problematic.
with corresponding
sea surface temperature data, will be downloaded and plotted.
Give the students the graph below from Johnstone 2014 and ask them to compare changes in
sea surface temperatures (SST in red)
with the raw and recently homogenized
temperature data from southern California.
Now
with a slightly different group, Li has compiled
data from multiple sources and performed model simulations to investigate the possibility that Arctic stratospheric ozone is connected to the ENSO via the North Pacific
sea -
surface temperature (SST).
What we know
with some certainty about oceans (if
data is to be believed) is that the intra-annual change in the insolation effects (suspiciously) high symmetricity in the N. Atlantic's
sea surface temperature, cantered on 1st of March and 31st of August.
That is, the animation of the GISS maps and the
data GISS provides
with those maps show that the trends in global
sea surface temperature are driven by the multidecadal variations in the strengths and magnitudes of El Niño and La Niña events.
Canadian Ice Service; 5.0; Statistical As
with Canadian Ice Service (CIS) contributions in June 2009 and June 2010, the 2011 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic Multi-Year Ice (MYI) extents, as well as an examination of
Surface Air
Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere, and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model which uses an optimal linear
data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere, and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predictors.
Any discussion on that webpage you linked... https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/anomalies.php... regarding their preference for anomalies has to do
with land
surface, not
sea surface,
temperatures, which is why their land
surface temperature data and consequently their combined land + ocean
data are presented as anomalies.
Because the model - simulated
sea surface temperatures are too warm globally, this shortcut helps to better align the
data with the models.
Until recently, a systematic ocean
data collection did not exist,
with the exception of the frequent sampling of the
sea surface temperatures made by merchant vessels.
Because the GISS analysis combines available
sea surface temperature records
with meteorological station measurements, we test alternative choices for the ocean
data, showing that global
temperature change is sensitive to estimated
temperature change in polar regions where observations are limited.
It has been noted by investigators that the algorithms used for adjusting satellite observed SST
data has been inconsistent, cloud coverage has limited the adequacy of satellite coverage, and in - situ measurements by VOS and buoy networks has been inadequate
with respect to the datasets produced by the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometers (AVHRR), Cross Product
Sea Surface Temperature (CPSST), Non-Linear SST (NLSST), and Multi-Channel
Sea Surface Temperature (MCSST) methods.
«Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric warming in climate models and satellite
data» «Robust comparison of climate models
with observations using blended land air and ocean
sea surface temperatures» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4
temperature series and its impact on recent
temperature trends» «Reconciling warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global warming hiatus»»
If Karl was trying to come up
with an accurate
sea surface temperature dataset, he should have thrown out the inaccurate ship
data instead.
Figure 3: Global mean
sea level variations (light line) computed from the TOPEX / POSEIDON satellite altimeter
data compared
with the global averaged
sea surface temperature variations (dark line) for 1993 to 1998.
The issue is
with bad
data, as Dr. Pat Michaels Dr. Richard Lindzen, and Dr. Chip Knappenberger observed related to the switch from buckets on a rope to engine water inlets for measuring
sea surface temperature:
We also generated current and projected future
temperature maps, which we compared
with sea surface temperature (SST)
data from the 1980s.
While derived from
sea surface temperature data, the PDO index is well correlated
with many records of North Pacific and Pacific Northwest climate and ecology, including
sea level pressure, winter land —
surface temperature and precipitation, and stream flow.
Note we're using BEST land area, so actual rates of warming are slightly elevated from global levels including
sea surface temperatures, however BEST has enough resolution to allow us to work
with 12.5 years of
temperature data and not have such abysmal CI as to need to reject the comparisons outright..
As
with previous CIS contributions, the 2016 forecast was derived by considering a combination of methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness / extent, as well as winter
surface air
temperature, spring ice conditions and the summer
temperature forecast; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear
data filter to extrapolate the September
sea ice extent time - series into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predictors.
Now the NOAA
data comes in and confirms the GISS
data, and shows the http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2009/jun/global.html Global Highlights: Based on preliminary
data, the globally averaged combined land and
sea surface temperature was the second warmest on record for June and the January - June year - to - date tied
with 2004 as the fifth warmest on record.
Scientists at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York carried out their analysis by collating
data from about 6,300 meteorological stations around the world, along
with instruments that track
sea surface temperatures and Antarctic research stations.
aaron, all three datasets start
with the same source
data: land
surface air
temperatures and
sea surface temperatures.
2) The satellite tropospheric and
sea surface (SST)
data differ from the HADCRUT
surface temp anomaly,
with the present
temperatures of both right at the same level as in 1991 (while Fig. 1 here shows an increase over 1991 of about 0.25 °C).
Starting
with their January 2013 update, it uses NCDC ERSST.v3b
sea surface temperature data.
This is likely caused, in part, by GISS masking
sea surface temperature data in the polar oceans and replacing it
with land
surface air
temperature data, which is naturally more volatile.
Moreover, taking the proxy
sea surface temperature data for the peak Eocene period (55 — 48 Myr BP) at face value yields a global
temperature of 33 — 34 °C (fig. 3 of Bijl et al. [84]-RRB-, which would require an even larger CO2 amount
with the same climate models.
Hausfather separated out these different records and compared them
with independent
data from other sources, including satellites and robotic floats that also measured
sea surface temperatures.
Pictured above is the East Coast of the United States, in grey,
with the Gulf Stream, in yellow and orange, revealed through
Sea Surface Temperature data (SST), made from the MODIS instrument on the Terra satellite.
«Adjustments are largely to
sea surface temperatures (SST) and appear to align ship measurements of SST
with night marine air
temperature (NMAT) estimates, which have their own
data bias problems.
Combined
with data from satellites, the Global Drifter Network now provides scientists
with twice - weekly updates on currents and
sea surface temperatures throughout the world.