Sentences with phrase «with short term warming»

While the authors found decreases in radiation loss with short - term temperature increases, I find that the CMIP models exhibit an INCREASE in radiative loss with short term warming.

Not exact matches

in the end nasri, fabregas even robin would still be playing at their best or close to, had they stayed with us but we know what happened however where are they trading their skills now?nasri on loan with sevilla, fabregas is warming the bench on the wrong side of the city, robin is in the turkish league:) short terms they made the right move but long terms they might have one or two regrets i think koss knows better!!

Emissions of both sulfur and black carbon will go down with the switch, which means that the power industry will lose small short - term cooling and warming effects, in addition to gaining the larger long - term cooling effect of lower CO2 emissions.

«We have taken a major step forward in terms of short - term climate forecasting, especially with regard to the development of global warming.

The cooling effect of aerosols can partly offset global warming on a short - term basis, but many are made of organic material that comes from sources that scientists don't fully understand, said Joost de Gouw, a research physicist at NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder, Colo., who is unaffiliated with the studies.

But our main point does not depend on that and is robust: with any model and any reasonable data - derived forcing, the observed 20th Century warming trend can only be explained by anthropogenic greenhouse gases, while other factors can explain the shorter - term variations around this trend.

Those who argue otherwise are confusing short - term noise with long - term global warming (Figure 2).

The silicate + CO2 - > different silicate + carbonate chemical weathering rate tends to increase with temperature globally, and so is a negative feedback (but is too slow to damp out short term changes)-- but chemical weathering is also affected by vegetation, land area, and terrain (and minerology, though I'm not sure how much that varies among entire mountain ranges or climate zones)-- ie mountanous regions which are in the vicinity of a warm rainy climate are ideal for enhancing chemical weathering (see Appalachians in the Paleozoic, more recently the Himalayas).

The increased risk of further heat waves (intensive heat over relatively short time scales) as well as exposure to warmer temperatures over the longer term, suggest that recovery will depend on thermally - resistant individuals that may trade - off high temperature tolerance with other important attributes such as nutritional value or rapid growth.

Using that relationship for 2016 predicts a warming above the long - term trend of 0.14 degrees Celsius and, when the short - and long - term predictions are combined, gives 1.16 degrees Celsius (plus or minus 0.13 degrees Celsius, with 95 percent confidence) net warming above the late - 19th century baseline.

Zooming in on the period after 1970, one sees a record of largely unabated warming, with temperatures increasing steadily accompanied by some short - term variability driven by El Niño and La Niña events, and also by major volcanic eruptions like Pinatubo in 1992.

Mr. Trenberth was lamenting the inadequacy of observing systems to fully monitor warming trends in the deep ocean and other aspects of the short - term variations that always occur, together with the long - term human - induced warming trend.

Currently, instrumental temperature characteristics are consistent with natural climate variability of short - term events and steep warming trendlines.

(I guess I have a short - term memory...) This year, my rediscovered spring style is scarves worn with with warm - weather dresses...

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Dear comics, Its not my fault... that you release the same thing in 5 formats, that you micro-manage your talent so much that they can't tell a decent story and get so pissed off by egos that they go to the other boss, that you don't know how to advertise your product, that you are so trapped by short term thinking that you fuck your self over, that you don't know how to keep your books in print, that you drove away people with high prices, oh and I didn't cause global warming either.

Strong short - term variability would mean that even in a warming trend there would be more cool years than for the same trend with less variability, and vice-versa for cooling trends.

Those arguing that the fossil fuel greenhouse is unstoppable because of hard - wired human short - term greed, scientific illiteracy and failure of technological imagination may have a point, But think about this: Building seawalls, massively air conditioning new habitats inland and dealing with a flood of environmental refugees as the planet warms with take a huge chunk of additional energy in itself.

But our main point does not depend on that and is robust: with any model and any reasonable data - derived forcing, the observed 20th Century warming trend can only be explained by anthropogenic greenhouse gases, while other factors can explain the shorter - term variations around this trend.

In my YouTube interview with Dr. Hansen, he discusses how the public remains attuned mainly to anomalies on short time scales — cold or warm — and misses the point that it is the long - term trend that he and other experts say will transform the planet, but at a pace invisible day to day.

This fast - forward moment in human history (a k a «the great acceleration «-RRB- is characterized by a mix of clarity on long - term trends (greenhouse gases and warming; plunging poverty and rising income inequality; declining deaths in conflict...) and short - term turbulence and unpredictability, with impacts amplified by global interconnectedness.

Spencer + Braswell have shown that over the tropics on a shorter - term basis, the net overall feedback from clouds with warming is negative; this is largely due to an increase in reflection of incoming radiation by increased clouds with a smaller effect from the reduction of energy trapping high altitude clouds, which slow down outgoing radiation by absorbing and re-radiating energy.

It was well known — and in fact had been demonstrated most recently in an article in Nature — that, while el nino, along with volcanic eruptions, did explain a fair amoount of the short - term year - to - year variability in global temperatures, it could not accouny for the warming trend., Had McLean et al somehow discovered something that had eluded the entire research community fir decades?

The reason for a lack of short term correlation is probably that, absent a volcanic eruption, the Atlantic is warmer during an El Nino BUT the wind shear is greater, thus destroying, on such occasions, the agreement you would normally get with multidecadal changes in SST in the Atlantic RELATIVE to other ocean basins.

Now if someone were to dsay, as Judith clearly did not although she had many opportunities to do so, that «concurrent with warming of our oceans there has been a relatively short - term hiatus in the trend of significant increase in global surface temperatures,» then I would not have a problem with the logic.

I can see how it might be reconciled with a relatively short - term «hiatus» (if you must) in the trend of significant increase in surface temperatures, but not with a «hiatus in warming.»

Short - term observations by Minschwaner + Dessler (2004) showed that SH increased with warming, but only at less than one - fourth the amount required to maintain fixed relative humidity.

I hope you realize how stupid the supposition that coral bleaching doesn't happen without global warming and that corals can deal with long and short term variations, but not a modest trend is.

Climate modelling with improved resolutions has demonstrated the capability to diagnose the probability of occurrence of short - term extreme events under global warming (Meehl et al., 2007).

We can compare this with Jimmy D's pontifications on both mechanism — anthropogenically warming oceans that itself is minor and highly uncertain — and on absurdly short term data that fails by a vast margin to be definitive.

The fact that the cooling spans are gradual while warming episodes are short - term and abrupt is an issue that has been comfortably dealt with yet, regardless of the pet theory applied.

They did a simplistic linear regression with questionable proxies and attributed everything other than their admittedly short - term proxies to «the global warming signal».

I would have liked to see mention of uncertainty that inherent in examining short term data, whether the end points used introduces an element of bias, whether the «pause» is on a much higher plateau of warming than in the past, whether decadel cycles in ocean heat displacement may have interacted with the the known minimum levels of solar activity (not modelled) to cause this «pause».

Agree with your point that the pause is a «short term» phenomenon at this point (2001 - 2012), and that it therefore has less weight that a «longer term» record showing significant warming (1970 - 2000, for example).

Temperatures follow a 800 — 900 year long cycle (Roman Warming Period, Mediveial Warming Period, Modern Warming Period) with a shorter 60 - 70 year cycle superimposed on that long term trend.

In an analysis of global warming cloud feedbacks, Dessler (2010) used short term (i.e., not climate) variations in surface temperature and CERES data to determine that cloud cover was negatively correlated with temperature.

While this has always been a blatantly misleading argument that deliberately confuses short - term variation with long - term trends, a new study makes it perfectly clear that the world has warmed.

As a question put to leading climate scientist Phil Jones it demonstrates that whoever composed that particular question knew that «statistically - significant «is a technical term requiring a technically correct answer, knew that the period was too short to allow an unequivocal answer, knew that the general public would equate «no statistically significant global warming» with no real warming.

The authors show how regional short - term temperature fluctuations help explain the «gullibility» with which some people have been «so readily convinced of a false conclusion» that the planet has stopped warming.

As we discussed in Going Down the Up Escalator, Part 1, it's a very common mistake - even amongst some climate scientists - to confuse short - term climate noise with long - term global warming signal.

As a skeptic, my central issue is that I am not convinced that our noisy planet, with its intrinsic short and long term temperature variability from natural sources, can be adequately measured in such a way to detect anthropogenic CO2's warming affect.

Firstly, even with man - made global warming taken into account, because of the short - term noise due to the internal variability in the climate system, climate models predict that there will be decades where natural cycles dampen the man - made warming trend.

If, for example, Professor Jones wishes to demonstrate that the atmosphere is warming, he then conducts a test with a small sample, say 15 years, 50 years or 150 years in relation to a reasonable time frame say 2000 years (manipulating the shorter term data to supposedly filter out heat islands and station changes etc), he then uses a comparison to a proxy temperature reconstruction of the last 2000 years, because he doesn't have accurate data for that longer timeframe.

When constantly confronted with this myth that global warming stopped in 1998, or 2000, or 2002, or 2005, or [insert year], we wonder why distinguishing between short - term noise and long - term signal is such a difficult concept for climate «skeptics.»

While a long - term trend is for global warming, short - term periods of cooling can occur and have physical causes associated with natural variability.

If you care about avoiding warming later in the century (as the United Nations does with its 2 °C warming by 2100 target), there is relatively little problem with short - term methane emissions, as long as they are phased out in the next few decades.

Reductions of these pollutants will limit the rate of short - term warming, and when sustained and combined with reductions in carbon dioxide emissions, they help to limit long - term warming, which is the ultimate aim of closing the emissions gap.

Dessler finds that the short - term changes in surface temperature are related to exchanges of heat to and from the ocean - which tallies well with what we know about El Niño and La Niña, and their atmospheric warming / cooling cycles.

The strong influence of natural variability on surface air temperatures is the reason that climate researchers regularly point out that any record shorter than around 20 - 30 years is not useful for detecting long - term trends associated with anthropogenic warming.

With another year's worth of data to discern long - term signal from short - term noise that figure will increase to greater a than 95 % chance that the planet is warming.»