Sentences with phrase «with voting intention polls»

As with voting intention polls, if you look at oppositions that went on to win the next election, they won mid-term local elections hands down.

Not exact matches

Small - business owners, with their strong voting records and firm intentions of hitting the polls in November, represent an untapped but potentially game - changing force in this presidential race, particularly if overall voter turnout comes in low.

The graph below shows the BBC Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from local elections together with general election vote intention from the polls for the month before each round of local elections.

The forecasting model works by combining the number of seats won by parties in the previous election with vote intentions data from polls conducted six months prior to the election — in this case the data is from November 2014.

This is the only poll of the campaign that would usually be regarded as a «final poll», that is one that has been conducted sufficiently closely to polling day that its accuracy can reasonably be assessed by comparing its voting intentions with the tally of votes that actually emerges from the ballot boxes.

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent has topline voting intentions with changes from last month of CON 38 % -LRB--3), LAB 31 % (+1), LDEM 17 % (nc).

We still haven't seen a post-election Populus voting intention poll (though to answer Mike Smithson's question here, I understand they are still doing them, they are just having a quiet period following the election), but Lord Ashcroft has commissioned them to do some polling in marginal seats, with some interesting findings.

A new ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday has topline voting intention figures — with changes from the last ComRes poll — of CON 46 % (nc), LAB 25 % (+1), LDEM 16 % -LRB--2).

ICM also asked a voting intention question asking how people would vote assuming that Gordon Brown was Labour leader — like YouGov's poll earlier this week this showed Labour doing worse under Brown than under Blair; with Brown as leader voting intention would be CON 40 %, LAB 37 %, LD 18 %.

Westminister voting intentions in Wales, with changes from the previous ICM Welsh poll in February, are CON 23 % -LRB--1), LAB 38 % -LRB--4), LDEM 7 % -LRB--2), Plaid 13 % -LRB--1), UKIP 14 % (+7).

Not confimed yet, but apparently a new YouGov poll for the Standard has topline voting intentions, with changes from their last poll, of JOHNSON 47 % -LRB--2), LIVINGSTONE 37 % (nc), PADDICK 10 % -LRB--2), Others 5 %.

Previously, Essential polled weekly, with a rolling two - week sample used for voting intentions.

The polling company Tamedia asked 20,000 people about their voting intentions on the next referendum day (which includes 3 other issues along with basic income).

In one poll on voting intention last week the Tory lead was trimmed to 7 % with Labour up two to 32 %, the Conservatives on 39 % and the Liberal Democrats on 18 %, leaving the Tories 25 seats short of a Commons» majority.

In the constituencies surveyed, Labour lead the voting intention poll, at 38 %, three point ahead of the Tories at 35 % with the Lib Dems in third at 21 %.

YouGov analysed the voting intentions of individuals with the 130 most common first names among the 46,000 people it's polled in the past two months.

A new ComRes poll for Tuesday's Independent has headline voting intention figures, with changes from last month, of CON 40 % -LRB--1), LAB 27 % -LRB--6), LDEM 18 % (+2) and Others 14 %.

The usual caveats apply about it being just one poll, but it shows Labour support perking up in Wales since Jeremy Corbyn's election — Westminster voting intentions with changes from last month are CON 26 % -LRB--2), LAB 42 % (+5), LDEM 5 % (+1), Plaid 10 % -LRB--2), UKIP 16 % (+1).

A YouGov poll in the Sunday Times has voting intentions with changes from their last poll of CON 45 % (+2), LAB 32 % (nc), LDEM 14 % (nc).

Topline voting intentions are REMAIN 42 %, LEAVE 40 % — so wholly in line with ICM's polling before the deal.

It is polling as the third largest political force post-Brexit with 15 % of voting intentions.

Note also that, judging from the tables, ComRes have switched over to prompting for UKIP in their main voting intention question in this poll — as with their last national poll, it does not seem to have had a major effect (UPDATE — I think this is because ComRes have changed turnout weightings, so that there is a tighter turnout filter for the Greens and UKIP than for the main parties).

Topline voting intention figures, with changes from the Thursday poll, are CON 43 % (nc), LAB 36 % (+2), LDEM 16 % -LRB--1).

Topline voting intention figures, with changes from their previous poll a week and a half ago, are CON 40 % (+4), LAB 31 % (+1), LDEM 18 % -LRB--5).

Topline voting intentions with changes from YouGov's poll last month are.

No proper figures yet, but Matthew D'Ancona's column in tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph is already up and reveals ICM have a new poll including European election voting intentions, and that it shows Labour in third place with less than 20 %.

Secondly there is a ComRes poll of Londoners, the first I can recall seeing since Brian Paddick was selected as the Lib Dem candidate (and, therefore, the first to have a voting intention question with a proper candidate names for all parties, rather than featuring «a Lib Dem candidate»).

Like the Sunday Telegraph poll, ICM's Guardian poll also asked a theoretical voting intention poll with Gordon Brown as Labour leader.

Voting intention with Johnson was CON 42 %, LAB 25 %, LDEM 22 % — a 17 point Tory lead, compared to 13 points in the normal voting intention question in the same Populus poll.

Still, for those getting rather bored with the voting intention figures, we can look ahead to several potentially significant events — many commentators have suggested Gordon Brown is putting great weight in the G20 summit this week to give his premiership a boost, beyond that is the budget, which could work either way, and past that we have the local and european elections, which often lead to realignments in the national opinion polls.

The ICM poll for the Guardian also included a voting intention question with Brown as Labour leader, which showed the now normal pattern of the Conservatives doing better against Labour with Brown instead of Blair.

A new ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror has headline voting intentions (with changes from ICM's last poll) of CON 36 % (nc), LAB 35 % (+3), LDEM 19 % -LRB--3).

Since Cameron became leader, every time a hypothetical poll about voting intention with Gordon Brown as leader has been asked, it has shown either the parties neck and neck or a Tory lead, and the majority have shown Brown doing worse than Blair.

Polls like this can only either be hypothetical, so we'll never know what will really happen until Blair is replaced, but what would give us the best idea is a normal voting intention question prompting with party leader names, and then another voting intention question but with Gordon Brown as the Labour leader (and then possibly, just to put the cat among the pigeons, some with Alan Johnson, John Reid, Hilary Benn, etc, etc...)

Being utterly bored with what passes for news in the media, in particular the endless opinion polls supposedly showing voting intentions 3 months before the general election — and how many of those questioned actually know why they will be voting for the party they choose; even more importantly, how many of those questioned even understand what democracy is or how politics works in this country — I thought a little light relief was called for.

Past vote weighting of phone polls invariably involves making the sample more Conservative and less Labour and the cross-breaks of the ComRes poll for the Indy shows that answers to this question are very closely correlated with voting intention — 72 % of Tory voters answer Cameron & Osborne and 80 % of Labour voters answer Brown & Darling.

Unlike many other polls asking about voting intention in the referendum YouGov's tracker on the Alternative Vote referendum starts with text briefly summarising what First Past the Post and Alternative Vote actually are.

Despite being level with Labour on voting intention, the poll finds that the Conservatives are in a strong position on the crucial issue of the economy.

The topline voting intention figures, with changes from their previous poll a week ago are CON 38 % -LRB--2), LAB 30 % (+1), LDEM 20 % -LRB--1).