Not exact matches
Similarly, looking at it from an enterprise value basis, assuming a free
cash flow margin of 25 % for FY18 (consensus estimates are at 24 %) on sales growth of 12 % (in - line
with consensus) along
with a EV / FCF multiple of 11x (in - line
with the peak multiple leading up to the iPhone 6
cycle), we come up
with a stock value in the mid $ 160s as well.
Often, business owners can optimize
cash flow by negotiating longer payment
cycles with creditors and encouraging debtors to pay in shorter time periods.
Now there's no doubt that something has, indeed, gone badly wrong
with capitalism in the recent economic
cycle, but we hasten to add that stocks are not only a claim on one year or one
cycle of
cash flows, but are claims on a stream of future deliverable
cash flows with an effective duration of about 50 years.
For businesses
with inconsistent
cash flow cycles, this could be an issue.
You can not control the risk of the asset like you could
with real estate by using creative legal structuring, having proper insurance, or protecting yourself against economic
cycles through positive
cash flow.
Cash gives you the flexibility to stress less, even
with the ebbs and
flows of business
cycles, and also not rely on debt or long - term investments to cover your short - term needs.
For businesses
with inconsistent
cash flow cycles, this could be an issue.
An MCA is advantageous for businesses
with unsteady
cash flow or seasonal business
cycles, as it's not a fixed amount of money demanded each day, but a percentage of your sales.
In addition, seasonal businesses or businesses
with irregular
cash flow cycles may find the daily repayments to be unmanageable.
This
cycle will turn when the
cash flow yield of assets reaches levels people can make money on in the worst environments; where equity funds new projects
with no debt, and the profit is obvious.
You can not control the risk of the asset like you could
with real estate by using creative legal structuring, having proper insurance, or protecting yourself against economic
cycles through positive
cash flow.
With case
cycles averaging 12 - 18 months,
cash flow becomes an issue quickly if your TV advertising budget is not adequately funded up front.
In general, the best
cash flow investment locations are the ones that do not have great swings
with economic
cycles.
I would have to think that anybody that was set
with cash flow from buy and hold property would have made out like bandits in this housing
cycle / downturn.