Sentences with phrase «within uncertainty estimates»

As it had turned out that even large - scale features of the model are rather sensitive to changes in the data set, particularly for the earlier part the model, the final model was obtained as the average of 2000 models where data and ages were varied within their uncertainty estimates and bootstraps on the final data sets were performed (hence version number 1b).

Global mean temperatures averaged over land and ocean surfaces, from three different estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty estimates over the period 1901 to 2005 and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.

Not exact matches

The measured differences in the mass - to - charge ratios are compatible with zero within the estimated uncertainties, in agreement with expectations for CPT symmetry.

«Although the different estimates of OHCA (ocean heat content anomaly) produce seemingly different estimates of interannual ocean heating rate variability, these differences are all within the range of observational uncertainty.

Comparisons with stellar parameter estimates from the literature show good agreement within uncertainties.

The 16 planetary candidates have estimated diameters within range of being super-Earths (1.26 to 2.0 times Earth's diameter), given error margins ranging from 25 to 35 percent due to the uncertainty in the size of their host star and of the «depth» of the observed transits (decrease in stellar luminosity) across the surface of the star.

When differences in scaling between previous studies are accounted for, the various current and previous estimates of NH mean surface temperature are largely consistent within uncertainties, despite the differences in methodology and mix of proxy data back to approximately A.D. 1000... Conclusions are less definitive for the SH and globe, which we attribute to larger uncertainties arising from the sparser available proxy data in the SH.

In my every day life it is useful even within uncertainties of 10 — 20 % (caused by uncertainty in predicted velocity) when estimating time of arrival.

Trend estimates from the latest reanalyses agree with those based on station data within the accepted uncertainties of those estimates.

Indeed, the bizarre resulting claim by MM of anomalous 15th century warmth (which falls within the heart of the «Little Ice Age») is at odds with not only the MBH98 reconstruction, but, in fact the roughly dozen other estimates now published that agree with MBH98 within estimated uncertainties.

Many different models have now demonstrated that our understanding of current forcings, long - term observations of the land surface and ocean temperature changes and the canonical estimates of climate forcing are all consistent within the uncertainties.

So after considering all of that, the estimated current «surface» temperature produces an estimated effective radiant return energy from the atmosphere of about 345Wm - 3 + / - 9 called DWLR which, had the average effective radiant energy of the oceans been used, ~ 334Wm - 2 would have created less confusion and still have been within a more realistic uncertainty range of + / - 17 Wm - 2.

Our experiments suggest that both statistical approaches should yield reliable reconstructions of the true climate history within estimated uncertainties, given estimates of the signal and noise attributes of actual proxy data networks.

This is within the uncertainty range of the observed rate of warming (0.15 ± 0.08 °C) per decade since 1990, and very close to the central estimate.

This ends up changing estimates of cumulative carbon emissions since the pre-industrial period, but given the large uncertainties involved the authors caution against using these revisions to draw conclusions about remaining carbon budgets associated with staying within the 2C or 1.5 C warming targets.

Because of the many uncertainties involved, any estimate of climate sensitivity comes with a range, a lower and upper limit within which the real value could reasonably lie.

In AR4 these mostly offset each other, but AR5 does have central estimates with wide uncertainties that the forcing really is changing faster than that from CO2 alone while the AR4 offsetting is still comfortably within the uncertainty too.

I acknowledge that 2011 fell within the uncertainty range of the model estimates, althought the range was 0.8 C wide.

Lewis's estimate for this budget, he says, lies «well within the uncertainty range» of the IPCC, meaning it's not outside their estimates.

When this is done, it is indeed possible to quantitatively compare the instrumental record of the past few decades with earlier estimates from the proxy reconstruction, within the context of the estimated uncertainties in the reconstructed values (again see the comparisons here, with the instrumental record clearly distinguished in red, the proxy reconstructions indicated by e.g. blue or green, and the uncertainties indicated by shading).

Taking into account the uncertainties, both methodologies place 2014 within the top 10 % of the warmest years over the reanalysis period (since 1979), demonstrating the consistency of these various estimates.

Rates computed using alternative approaches over the longest common interval (1900 — 2003) agree with this estimate within the uncertainty.

If we get estimates within 15 % (33ºC vs 28ºC) that is usually close enough, since other uncertainties are likely to be in the mix.

[15] A crude revised central estimate is 3.4 °C, being the median ECS of the 7 models (CGCM3.1, HadCM3, CanESM2, IPSL - CM5A, MRI - CGCM3, NCAR - CAM5, NorESM1 - M) whose seasonal variability lies within the uncertainty range for the observational estimate, after substituting the Brient & Schneider consistency assessment for the 4 models where if differs radically.