Without boundary changes this is simply the share of seats up that were
won by the party minus the share they were defending (i.e. won four years ago).
The graphs below show how changes in the shares of council seats
won by each party are strongly correlated with changes in general election vote intentions.
Percentage of total seats available
won by each party in English local elections from 2012 to 2015.
The forecasting model works by combining the number of seats
won by parties in the previous election with vote intentions data from polls conducted six months prior to the election — in this case the data is from November 2014.
Although the Irish electoral system is classified as a proportional electoral system, the proportion of seats
won by parties will not measure up exactly to their actual share of the first preference votes, mainly because geography has a very significant impact here.
This share of the vote was down on the 14.7 % vote share
won by the party at the 2009 Local Elections.
But she secured a full 56 more seats than Labour, while swelling the Conservative vote to the second highest
won by any party in history — beaten only by John Major in 1992.
Under the leadership of Tony Blair, the governing Labour Party was re-elected to serve a second term in government with another landslide victory, returning 413 of the 418 seats
won by the party in the previous general election, a net loss of 5 seats, though with significantly lower turnout than before — 59.4 %, compared to 71.3 % in the previous election.
``... This impression that people are saying that because there has been an election
won by another party and the Electoral Commission has declared them as winners does not mean that this government should stop functioning all together and there should be a total shut down.
Lord Tebbit told today's Telegraph that UK elections «are
won by the party that gets its own traditional supporters out and discourages those of the other parties from doing the same».
[42] All of Scotland's 59 seats were
won by the parties that won them at the 2005 election, with Labour regaining the two seats they lost in by - elections since 2005.
* assuming a voting system in which % of seats
won by each party is equal to % of total UK votes won ^ the FPTP factor is the % difference between % of votes and % of seats
The best bellwether seats in the country now are Dartford and Chorley which have both been
won by the party that won the general election since 1964.
Bellwether seats: these are the seats that, historically, have always been
won by the party that went on to form the government.
Politics: Loughborough is a key marginal, having been
won by the party that received the most seats at every general election since February 1974.
It has been a bellwether seat since October 1974,
won by the party that won the most seats at each general election.
Not exact matches
Given the time and resources swallowed up
by healthcare (not to mention pushback on the Russia investigation), the Republican
party is desperate for a
win, so pressuring holdouts on tax reform could come easier.
Right behind them on 19 per cent is the pro-unionist
party Ciudadanos, led in Catalonia
by the telegenic Ines Arrimadas who has pledged to unravel the separatist movement if her
party wins.
Lipinski's
win is a blow to the anti-Trump resistance, which has been fueled
by energy from the
party's base, and it's a relief for the dwindling Blue Dog Coalition of conservative House Democrats, which hopes to make a comeback this year.
What I mean
by this is that it can be very difficult to find solutions where both
parties in a negotiation «
win.»
Trump vowed at his rally that he would
win Washington state, even though the state tends to support Democrats and that
party's nominee, Hillary Clinton, leads
by large margins in opinion polls ahead of the Nov. 8 election.
Netizens just can't seem to work out why Li, who had returned Tuesday to her hometown of Hubei following her second Grand Slam
win, wouldn't at least feign some type of excitement when being given a check for such a huge amount
by Hubei Communist
Party chief Li Hongzhong.
Warren is expected to try tugging her
party toward more progressive policies, while some more moderate Democrats are emphasizing the need to appeal to the type of working - class white voters who helped Trump
win Midwestern states carried in recent elections
by Democrats.
The
party likely needs to
win the seat currently held
by outgoing Republican Sen. Jeff Flake if it has any chance of
winning a Senate majority.
The rebels
won the British parliamentary vote
by 307 to 294 votes, a majority of 13, after they received support from the Labour
Party, a generally pro-European group accused
by Cameron of «rank opportunism».
To prevent this, set clear - cut, quantifiable criteria for who
wins — and ensure that the tallying of sales reps» achievements is done
by an impartial
party.
However,
wins by established
parties in each country eased populist fears.
Rachline reiterated that if the
party led
by Marine Le Pen
wins the presidential election, it will seek a new relationship with the EU.
He's betting that he can broaden his Tea
Party following
by winning over social conservatives, and use a victory in Iowa — where he's in a virtual dead heat with Donald Trump in a new Des Moines Register / Bloomberg poll released Wednesday — as a springboard to success in South Carolina.
Their presidential election — which opposed Norbert Hofer of the Austrian Freedom
Party to Alexander van der Bellen from the Greens and was only very narrowly
won by van der Bellen — was declared invalid
by the Austrian Constitutional Court and will have to take place a second time.
During the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign, Wikileaks published internal emails of top Democratic
Party officials, which the agencies said were hacked
by Moscow as part of a coordinated influence campaign to help Republican Donald Trump
win the presidency.
Even when voters seek redress for high unemployment or inflation, it's based on buying into a short term narrative that is successfully sold
by the
winning party, not previous experience.
Another tab had a history of election results in my district
by party win.
MAY 2, 2011: Harper's Conservative
party, having been endorsed
by the Globe and the Post,
wins a majority government, as Jack Layton's NDP surges to opposition status.
He would become the longest - serving leader of a major political
party in Canadian history and the only Prime Minister to
win four consecutive federal elections
by backing up his pledge of real change with real action.
The Prime Minister
won his job
by earning the loyalty of the old Reform
party even though he used to be Preston Manning's most persistent internal critic.
Barring a political earthquake, it is expected the Conservative
Party candidate will
win the
by - election in this sprawling southeast Alberta riding with a large Mormon community and a strong social conservative base.
The opposition Wildrose had hoped to
win at least two of the
by - elections, but were upstaged
by the NDP in Edmonton - Whitemud and an insurgent Alberta
Party in Calgary - Elbow.
With national elections due to take place during the first half of 2018, Five Star's failure to
win in a region seen as one of its strongholds was characterized
by some commentators as evidence the
party's appeal had peaked.
Mr. Kenney is reportedly backed
by a cadre of federal Conservative strategists and insiders, including former Reform
Party and Wildrose
Party campaign strategist Tom Flanagan, who told CBC that the group discussed whether «he could
win the PC leadership then negotiate a merger [with Wildrose].»
Their control of the House has been strengthened
by two factors: 1) Democrats» tendency to
win with overwhelming margins in heavily Democratic urban areas, thus wasting votes; and 2) gerrymandering, which is the process of redrawing the boundaries of legislative districts to favour one's
party.
Although Mr. Dent did not
win the
by - election, the strong showing for the NDP foreshadowed that
party's first federal electoral
win in Alberta two year's later when Ross Harvey was elected in Edmonton - East.
This represented a significant improvement from the last election in 2004, where the
Party (led at the time
by Premier Ralph Klein)
won 62 seats and 47 percent of the vote.
We have been a leader in helping candidates accept bitcoin, beginning in 2012 with New Hampshire Representative Mark Warden's
winning re-election campaign and followed
by 2012 Congressional Candidate Eric Olson in North Dakota and the national Libertarian
Party.
No matter who
wins, it's another sure sign of shifting political lines, in which political
parties are shaped less
by policy than identity.
Since 1806 Mexico has suffered military intervention at least ten times
by U.S. troops, and if there are no interventions in the offing now, perhaps it is largely because the U.S. has been shoring up the rule of one
party, which
wins rigged elections and then fails to challenge U.S. investment and business practices that increase human suffering for campesinos and urban poor there.
The one that grabbed me was «The Hair Styles of Mieczyslaw Rakowski,»
by Leopold Tyrmand, about the way this communist official's personal appearance changed from era to era, often quite subtly, the better to fit the most -
winning image for a
party official at the particular time.
The Democrats» present failure stems from their presumption that on economic issues they
win by default, that non-wealthy voters know their own material interests» those historically opposed or left unaddressed
by Republicans» and do not require instruction or reminding as to which
party is on their side.
For example, business leaders in the aftermath of the popular protests that challenged U.S. involvement in Vietnam complained about too much democracy in the United States.6 In a similar way, free elections are held up
by U.S. leaders as essential for democracy unless political
parties opposed to U.S. interests
win.
Not surprisingly, Jackson was feared
by the power brokers of his own
party, who were hopeful he could bring new voters to the Democratic
party but terrified that he might actually
win the nomination for or the actual presidency.