Councillors that
won marginal seats on a tide of national popularity for their party are most likely to lose them when the tide ebbs.
Historically this has played to Labour's advantage with each party «lending» voters to the other to
win marginal seats.»
Not only is he a liberal Tory and a Remainer, he is also an accomplished and energetic campaigner - and the author of a book about «how to
win a marginal seat».
Ashcroft — who gave the Conservatives # 8m while the party was in opposition and led a drive to
win marginal seats — has said he decided to write the book when Cameron declined to reward him with a sufficiently senior job in government when he came to power in 2010.
As we meet in the lower whips office, around the corner from the Commons chamber, I ask Barwell to provide his top tip for
winning a marginal seat.
But that assumed the party would not
win any marginal seats off the Conservatives.
They are as desperate as us to
win this marginal seat and I really do appreciate the help that they give.
If there is a real story at all in the Tories»
winning a marginal seat in Cheshire two years before a General Election, then it is that Cameron can win without having to please the Tory base in the least, and indeed while defining himself against it for the amusement of the BBC / Fleet Street dinner party circuit.
The Liberal Party appeared to shift campaign resources into defending its safer seats, Labor achieving substantial swings to
win the marginal seats of Kingston, Makin and Wakefield, but failing to dislodge the Liberal Party in Boothby and Sturt.
The 52 - year - old is one of the few senior Tory MPs to have
won a marginal seat from Labour, taking Hastings and Rye in 2010.
In recent years Tory financier Lord Ashcroft has poured money into local parties to help
win marginal seats, he said.
When
she won the marginal seat of Falmouth and Camborne in 1997, famously defeating the Conservative incumbent, Sebastian Coe, she became the first Labour MP in Cornwall since 1970 and the first woman MP in the county since 1920.
Not exact matches
It clearly shows that in these
marginal seats, the key battleground
seats where the general election will be
won and lost, voters are very concerned about threats to religious liberty and free speech.
The Liberal MP for the Victorian
seat of Murray, Sharman Stone, said the Cadbury grant was all about trying to
win a
marginal Tasmanian
seat yet the loss of SPC Ardmona from her region would present a «real manufacturing emergency».
Corbyn plans to visit at least 40
marginal seats during the parliamentary recess that begins on Friday, enough to put him in Downing Street if Labour
won them all.
A fascinating three - way Con / Lab / Ukip
marginal — and perhaps the
seat in which Ukip stands the best chance of
winning.
«Ukip is getting itself now into a position in some of the
marginals where it is in a serious position to
win a
seat in parliament and not just to split the vote.»
Although gaining 22
seats, Labour lost all but one of its MPs in Scotland and ended up with a net loss of 26
seats, failing to
win a number of key
marginal seats that it had expected to
win comfortably.
Below is the text of my presentation at the Conservative Party Conference this afternoon setting out my latest research in
marginal seats and the Tories» challenge in building an election -
winning coalition of voters.
The Liberal candidate for the new WA
seat of Burt is «very, very hopeful» of
winning, despite
marginal seat polling showing it is the most likely electorate in the state to go to Labor.
«CCHQ approves strong immigration message for campaigning in
marginal seats Main The pre-election «ground war» is being
won by the Conservatives»
The 1992 election saw the pinnacle of Conservatives Abroad's history, with the expat vote recognised as helping the party
win a number of
marginal seats.
Stroud has been relative to others a very
marginal seat since 1992 as well as a swing
seat as its winner's majority has not exceeded 9.1 % of the vote since the 19.2 % majority
won in that year.
He began to become interested in political polling in the autumn of 2004 at a time when he was already working to help Conservative candidates
win — and hold on to — some of the most
marginal seats up and down the country.
If Nigel Farage
wins 2,000 to 3,000 unhappy Tories in each of the key
marginals, he has written, the party could lose thirty
seats and install Ed Miliband in Number 10 Downing Street.
She
won a 22.6 % swing, but the
seat will be
marginal next time it comes up for election in 2015.
First, the background: the party of the president in office essentially always loses
seats in the mid-term elections (2002 was a post-9 / 11 one - off), a tendency likely to be reinforced in 2010 by the fact that so many Democrats rode the Obama wave to
win marginal districts in» 08.
Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very
marginal seats: eleven were
won by fewer than 100 votes.
It comes as a series of new polls suggest that the party are making no progress in the
marginal seats they need to
win from Labour in order to form the next government.
But my fervent belief is that London's best hope for a better future is a Labour Government, so all of my campaigning energy is directed towards helping our Labour candidates in
marginal seats win in 2015.
My
seat, Brighton Pavilion, is a hotly contested three way
marginal which we must
win if we are to have a good working majority after the election.
Clearly even if the Lib Dem vote is holding up better in the Lib Dem Tory
marginals — that doesn» mean the Lib Dems would
win these
seats were a general election held tomorrow.
Both the main parties could count on
winning hundreds of safe
seats each and the electoral battle would be
won or lost in a smaller number of key
marginal seats.
Every
marginal seat is unique, and the reasons why one
seat is
won and another
seat is lost will vary markedly.
For the 2015 election, the party would focus single - mindedly on holding 40
marginal seats and
winning another 40.
Among those
seats listed above are a number of
marginal and target
seats, which could potentially make all the difference between a party
winning a decisive overall majority or not.
In many of the
marginal seats that Conservatives have to
win to gain an overall majority in 2015, trade union members could hold the balance of power.
Recent polling in Lib Dem - Tory
marginals suggests that Nick Clegg's party will keep almost all of the 23 Lib Dem
seats David Cameron needs to
win for a majority.
The
seat has been relative to others a
marginal seat since 2010 as its winner's majority has not exceeded 8.2 % of the vote since the 21.8 % majority
won in that year.
Such a result in these Labour / Conservative
marginals would leave the Tories short of
winning the 117
seats they need to take from the governing party in order to have an overall majority.
He
won back the
marginal seat in the 2017 general election after standing on proudly pro-Corbyn platform.
Good - looking political candidates are more likely to
win elections — particularly in
marginal seats.
David Cameron said the party's second place in Scotland and its showing in England, where it took control of Peterborough Council and
won council
seats in key Westminster
marginals such as Dudley and Nuneaton, represented a good result for a party in government for six years.
The polling by Lord Ashcroft found that despite the dreadful national figures, the party is actually running level with the Conservatives in most of the
marginal seats that David Cameron needs to
win a majority next year.
«Internet campaigning will never replace personal interaction; knocking on doors and leafleting is still where the battles will be
won and lost - particularly in
marginal seats,» Smith says.
Channel 4 News spoke to former MPs who lost their
marginal seats in May and to candidates who lost, despite standing in
seats where there had been a sitting Labour MP.They all aspire to
win back the
seats Labour will need to secure if the party is to return to government.
This makes it imperative that Labour
wins every
seat it can, including Labour - Lib Dem
marginals, lest Clegg by default act as kingmaker to Cameron in a fit of absence of strategy.
The ConservativeHome blog speculates that the Tories could
win an outright majority with just 37 % of the vote because the party is expected to do better in
marginal seats and its supporters tend to be older people who are more likely to vote than the younger generation «who have flocked to Nick Clegg».
As before, YouGov questioned people in the 60 Labour - Conservative
marginals in those
seats that Labour
won by a margin of between 6 and 14 percentage points.
But on election day, it will still let the Tories target
marginal voters in must -
win seats more precisely than ever before.»