Corbyn's victory, which means he has now
won more Labour leadership elections than Tony Blair, and two more than Gordon Brown, was widely expected from the beginning of the contest, with Labour's self - styled «moderates» seemingly reliant on keeping Corbyn off the ballot paper, something they failed to do in July's NEC meeting.
Corbyn's victory, which means he has now
won more Labour leadership elections than -LSB-...]
Not exact matches
They can look for
win -
win ways to raise
labour standards to make workers better off and
more productive.
The financial sector
wins at the point where you don't see that the prices that the banks are inflating are asset prices — real estate prices, bond and stock prices — and that the role of commercial banks is to increase the power of wealth over the rest of society, over
labour, over industry, to create a new ruling - class of bankers that are even
more heavy than the landlords that were criticised in the last part of the 19th century.
A hundred years or
more of hard -
won labour rights will be out the window.
I clearly need to listen
more to my wife, who thought that Brexit would happen, that Trump would
win and that the UK media was materially underestimating
Labour's support among British voters.
Justin Brierley examines how Christians are attempting to affect politics from without and within When Gavin Shuker, a young
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A Christian
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Apart from Alexis Sanchez, the team looked
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Arsenal pulled together a run of five
wins at the end of the season but have
laboured far
more this campaign.
«Clearly I would have preferred to have got
more votes than we did, but this was always going to be a tough fight for
Labour - it's a seat that we've never
won,» he said.
Winning general elections is all about managing expectations — so it really matters that many are quietly deciding the
Labour leader is
more likely to end up in Downing Street after polling day.
Ultimately therefore the decision to extend voting rights to younger people will depend on both whether
Labour wins the next election and crucially whether the party sees it as advantageous to increase its vote share slightly at the expense of becoming
more reliant on a coalition of disparate interests.
thats my problem at the moment voting for
Labour or Cameron is now
more about personalities and we know who is going to
win that one.
Yet the Tories
won sixty seats
more than
Labour.
But unlike May, Heath was booted out of Number 10 to make way for Harold Wilson, whose
Labour party
won a mere four seats
more than the Tories.
Indeed, as EU observers have been noting, the
more extreme eurosceptic Conservative noises off from Westminster have been anticipating — in the event of a «Yes»
win - the end of Cameron, a caretaker leader until the May 2015 general election and a
Labour victory.
It needs
more funding and if that comes from Unions or Non Doms...
Labour has in the years shown us membership is not a priority but ensuring Unions funding is and the hot potato is that if the Tories
win the next election and the argument is about funding the Tories may hit back and state union funding is illegal.
The near certainty of a predicted
Labour victory above a certain threshold is largely driven by five
Labour candidates who spent over # 28,000, all of whom were victorious (by contrast 11 Conservative candidates spent
more than # 28,000 but only 5 of those
won).
In contrast, the effect of spending for Conservative candidates is much
more muted: although spending
more money increases their probability of
winning, they have to spend much
more than
Labour candidates for a fraction of the result.
These figures suggest that for
Labour to
win back the voters they have lost to the SNP since 2010, they should take a strong positive stance of further devolution and
more generally be seen to stand up for Scotland's interests.
I think activists can work to get Greens and Respect elected in a handful of FPTP seats and we must all hope for an embarrassingly massive Tory landslide (300 seats or so) on < 50 % of the vote that will make everyone see what an absurd situation we are in, make Cameron's parliamentary party
more unruly and nekedly nasty and — crucially — smash the
Labour Party so hard that both its right and its left give up all hope of ever
winning a FPTP election again, and destroy the hubris that decrees that they never collaborate with other progressive / left forces.
Well I suspect if David does
win the
Labour party will be the losers, it Ed wins I'm not sure but he is a child of new labour and more then likely will do his best to form an alliance to get back those nasty swing voters and a few Thatcherite voters still not sure of Ca
Labour party will be the losers, it Ed
wins I'm not sure but he is a child of new
labour and more then likely will do his best to form an alliance to get back those nasty swing voters and a few Thatcherite voters still not sure of Ca
labour and
more then likely will do his best to form an alliance to get back those nasty swing voters and a few Thatcherite voters still not sure of Cameron.
Some of Brown's advisers urge him to make
more of this, to declare at every opportunity that if
Labour wins this will be the last election under «first past the post».
But it is 2016 not 1981, political loyalties are
more fluid, and the success of the SNP and UKIP demonstrates that it is possible to organise and
win in
Labour heartlands.
One possible development in this scenario is that several months into a Con - Lib government (coalition or otherwise) the polls suggest both
Labour and the Liberal Democrats would
win more seats if there were another general election.
The Green party may not emerge from the general election with
more representation in parliament but it is on course to
win its highest - ever vote — and it will be
Labour and the Liberal Democrats who feel its impact the most.
A declared Conservative columnist in Tueuday's FT — Janan Ganesh — is saying that a weak economy is
more likely to result in a Conservative
win at the general election since voters would be
more inclined to risk another
Labour government if the economy is performing strongly.
Last year, despite
winning more votes the Conservatives lost their parliamentary majority because the
Labour vote share went up by
more than did that for the Conservatives.
In 2010, though the Conservatives did not achieve the national vote share they wanted, the party's targeting strategy meant it
won 23
more Labour seats and 9
more Liberal Democrat seats than it would have done on a uniform swing.
He argues that to
win the next election, Ed Miliband needs to make clear to his supporters that there will be no return to the days of lavish spending, or fight an election knowing that most voters do not believe
Labour have learned their lessons, and that many of his potential voters fear
Labour would once again borrow and spend
more than the country can afford.
Indeed, it is entirely possible that the Conservatives could
win more votes and gain fewer seats than
Labour.
If
Labour goes ahead with its plan to argue for
more time and oppose the government motion, and if three dozen Tory and Liberal Democrat backbenchers join forces, then, with the support of at least some of the minor parties, a government defeat or a pyrrhic
win is far from impossible.
And if it does not happen the tally of seats the SNP might fail to
win would be no
more than four, two of them picked up by
Labour and one each by the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.
Of the three second - placed parties who
won nine seats, UKIP gained the largest share of the county - wide vote,
more than 10 % ahead of
Labour.
The reason Jeremy will never
win back Scotland for
Labour is because of Scottish
Labour who as they degenerate simply get
more right wing.
I hope @jeremycorbyn is
more sincere re uniting
Labour than @johnmcdonnellMP - that is a man who hates anyone who helped
Labour win #bbcqt
Perhaps, as the union leaders become even
more gung - ho, the
Labour Party will never come back to election -
winning strength, say Conservative thinkers.
If
Labour had finished with just 15 %
more seats than the Tories that would have been a dire night for
Labour, and a Tory -
win by any reasonable definition.
Despite talk of a surprise
win for Cooper it is still looking far
more likely that Jeremy Corbyn will emerge as the next leader of the
Labour party with all the polls still showing him well ahead.
Channel 4 picked up on my research to argue that
Labour hasn't done enough to
win the next election, whilst the BBC's Nick Robinson wondered whether this election might be
more than a case of the usual «mid-term blues» and a signal to an increasingly unpopular government that they will be kicked out at the next election.
Even if Cameron
wins the referendum following a negotiation that brings little immediate practical change there will be calls for
more reforms from those that lost and perhaps from a
Labour leadership that campaigned reluctantly to stay in.
To govern is to choose, and
Labour will have to find a
more pragmatic path which does not always involve state intervention, higher taxes and nationalisation if it wants to
win power again.
Well, based on the assumption that a vote is cast in anticipation that the recipient of the vote is going to
win, it seems to me that a vote cast for David Cameron or whoever is the leader of the
Labour Party at the time of the election is far
more likely to see a winner than any vote for the Liberal Democrats will do.
1) Each local election predicts that the Conservatives will
win more of the vote than
Labour at the next election, though the confidence intervals for the 2012 and 2013 elections are overlapping.
They make up
more than half the electorate in the vast majority of the English swing seats that
Labour needs to
win to secure a workable majority.
He then proceeded according to that view and negotiated primarily with the Conservatives, who had
won 48
more seats than the incumbent
Labour Party.
In practice,
Labour won more seats because
more seats were available in
Labour - supporting areas (most notably London).
If
Labour receives fewer votes than UKIP political commentators will no doubt discuss their «humiliating defeat» — however if their vote share is similar to what I've predicted (as polling indicates they might) then they will have done exactly as well as we should expect, indeed if they
win more than 12.25 % of the vote they will have done better than expected, regardless of where UKIP finish.
Before 2011, the seat was solidly
Labour with former First Minister Jack McConnell
winning his seat in 2007 with 48.4 % of the vote (23 %
more than his SNP opponent).