Those numbers are far
worse than the incumbent starter, Shaun Hill, who has gone 16 - 18 straight up (47.1 %) and 22 - 12 ATS (64.7 %).
Not exact matches
Local election results tend to differ from general elections in certain predicable ways — for example
incumbent government parties have tended to perform
worse on average at local elections
than their eventual general election results by about 4.5 %.
(That push eventually spawned a
worse -
than - nothing program that only applies to the 2014 comptroller's race, which the
incumbent comptroller immediately dismissed.)